Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 7, 2019

Final / OTThursday, Feb 7, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

6

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	1	1	3	1	6		CAR	7	9	11	3	30
BUF	0	2	3	0	5		BUF	15	14	9	1	39

: CAR 58BUF 59
: CAR 2.78BUF 3.31
PP goals: CAR 1BUF 0
Hits: CAR 9BUF 16
Blocks: CAR 5BUF 14
PIM: CAR 4BUF 6
: CAR 34%BUF 66%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Buffalo Sabres 6–5 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 6–5 in overtime at BUF. Teuvo Teravainen (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Teravainen and Aho) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:24 together.

Points
Teuvo Teravainen had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 19:44.Teravainen
Points
Jeff Skinner had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 21:24.Skinner
Points
Andrei Svechnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:04.Svechnikov
Points
Jordan Martinook had 2 assists (2 points) in 14:29.Martinook
Points
Rasmus Ristolainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:27.Ristolainen
Points
Sam Reinhart had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:11.Reinhart
Points
Sebastian Aho had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 22:56.Aho
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Teravainen and Aho) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:24 together.Williams Faulk Niederreiter Teravainen Aho

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · BUF 59 · CAR 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 30% of the game, BUF 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	56	55
	2.30	3.24
	2.23	2.99
	13	20
	2	2
	20	13
	−0.165	+0.165
	30%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
15:5047% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Svechnikov
11:0259% CF
L3Ferland – Teravainen – Wallmark
10:4333% CF
L4McKegg – Maenalanen – Foegele
6:3280% CF
D1Faulk – Pesce
18:2859% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
16:4438% CF
D3de Haan – van Riemsdyk
12:5957% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
2:2486% CF
PP2Ferland – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
1:16100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:05
PK2FMartinook – McGinn
0:53
PK1Dde Haan – Faulk
1:28
PK2DPesce – van Riemsdyk
1:10

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Skinner – Eichel
13:5244% CF
L2Sobotka – Larsson – Girgensons
10:0936% CF
L3Sheary – Reinhart – Mittelstadt
8:5958% CF
L4Okposo – Rodrigues – Smith
6:4358% CF
D1Ristolainen – Pilut
15:4139% CF
D2Scandella – McCabe
14:1346% CF
D3Bogosian – Dahlin
13:0546% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
2:24100% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Rodrigues
1:20100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:29
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
1:13
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
1:23
PK2DScandella – Ristolainen
0:57

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:04
CARJustin Faulk (Sebastian Aho, Justin Williams)slap0.10 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Pesce, AhoBUF: Pominville, Skinner, Ristolainen, Eichel, Pilut
CAR 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

1:37
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Jordan Martinook, Andrei Svechnikov)backhand0.13 xG
CAR: de Haan, Teravainen, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, SvechnikovBUF: Okposo, Scandella, McCabe, Sheary, Mittelstadt
CAR 2 – 0 BUF
8:15
BUFEvan Rodrigues (Conor Sheary, Rasmus Ristolainen)wrist0.11 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Slavin, Maenalanen, Foegele, WallmarkBUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues
CAR 2 – 1 BUF
15:14
BUFJason Pominville (Zach Bogosian)wrist0.20 xG
CAR: Williams, de Haan, Niederreiter, van Riemsdyk, AhoBUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Rodrigues, Smith, Dahlin
CAR 2 – 2 BUF

3rd period

1:54
CARGreg McKegg (Trevor van Riemsdyk, Calvin de Haan)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: de Haan, McKegg, Maenalanen, van Riemsdyk, FoegeleBUF: Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen
CAR 3 – 2 BUF
5:48
BUFJeff Skinner (Rasmus Ristolainen, Lawrence Pilut)backhand0.15 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Pesce, AhoBUF: Pominville, Scandella, Skinner, McCabe, Mittelstadt
CAR 3 – 3 BUF
11:03
CARBrock McGinn (Jordan Martinook, Andrei Svechnikov)wrist0.27 xG
CAR: de Haan, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, SvechnikovBUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Skinner, Eichel, Dahlin
CAR 4 – 3 BUF
14:58
CARNino NiederreiterPP (Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Teravainen, AhoBUF: Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe
CAR 5 – 3 BUF
15:41
BUFMarco Scandella (Sam Reinhart, Casey Mittelstadt)wrist0.06 xG
CAR: de Haan, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, SvechnikovBUF: Scandella, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Mittelstadt
CAR 5 – 4 BUF
19:04
BUFJeff Skinner (Sam Reinhart, Jack Eichel)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: de Haan, Niederreiter, Teravainen, Slavin, AhoBUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Rodrigues, Dahlin
CAR 5 – 5 BUF

OT period

3:25
CARTeuvo Teravainenwrist0.18 xG
CAR: Williams, Teravainen, SlavinBUF: Skinner, Eichel, Dahlin
CAR 6 – 5 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	2	2	-2	4	0.26	0	1	0	22:56	—	—	44	30
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	1	0	1	-2	8	0.78	1	0	0	21:41	—	—	50	31
Justin Williams R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	20:54	—	—	47	33
Brock McGinn L	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.34	0	0	0	15:16	—	—	54	54
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.16	0	0	0	14:29	—	—	62	67
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	2	2	+1	4	0.09	1	0	0	14:04	—	—	64	71
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	2	1	3	+1	2	0.36	0	0	0	19:44	—	—	40	32
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	23	9
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:28	—	—	33	12
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	2	0	2	10:36	—	—	50	50
Greg McKegg C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	0	1	0	8:42	—	—	67	65
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	7:34	—	—	64	57
Justin Faulk D	D1	1	0	1	0	2	0.14	1	1	0	24:23	—	—	57	48
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	23:10	—	—	60	49
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	2	23:20	—	—	36	25
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	1	0	20:03	—	—	39	29
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	16:10	—	—	56	50
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	55	48

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	39	34	5	.872	3.31	63:25

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.23	2	3	0	23:42	—	—	46	53
Jeff Skinner L	L1	2	0	2	-1	6	0.83	1	0	2	21:24	—	—	47	54
Jason Pominville R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.52	0	0	0	16:51	—	—	55	58
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	6	1	0	14:43	—	—	33	23
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	2	1	0	13:47	—	—	29	23
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	12:46	—	—	33	41
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	2	2	+2	2	0.22	0	1	0	19:11	—	—	59	78
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:11	—	—	52	68
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.35	0	0	0	14:11	—	—	59	73
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	1	0	1	+3	4	0.36	0	1	0	13:10	—	—	65	73
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	1	0	2	11:15	—	—	43	53
C.J. Smith L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:01	—	—	58	65
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.13	2	0	0	25:27	—	—	50	56
Lawrence Pilut D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	17:06	—	—	40	50
Marco Scandella D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.22	1	1	0	18:41	—	—	48	52
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	2	17:00	—	—	46	41
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	0	0	20:48	—	—	53	64
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	3	0	20:34	—	—	53	65

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	O	30	24	6	.800	2.78	62:39

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.