Carolina Hurricanes vs. Buffalo SabresNov 14, 2019

Final / OTThursday, Nov 14, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
CAR	2	1	1	1	5		CAR	10	7	9	3	29
BUF	1	1	2	0	4		BUF	9	10	14	0	33

: CAR 48BUF 46
: CAR 2.19BUF 2.66
PP goals: CAR 2BUF 0
Hits: CAR 11BUF 29
Blocks: CAR 5BUF 11
PIM: CAR 8BUF 28
: CAR 62%BUF 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Buffalo Sabres 5–4 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 5–4 in overtime at BUF. Teuvo Teravainen (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. CAR's first power-play unit (Haula, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho and Svechnikov) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:22 together.

Points
Andrei Svechnikov had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 20:18.Svechnikov
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 21:52.Teravainen
Points
Dougie Hamilton had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:18.Hamilton
Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 19:23.Skinner
Points
Sebastian Aho had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:14.Aho
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Haula, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho and Svechnikov) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:22 together.Haula Hamilton Teravainen Aho Svechnikov
Luck
CAR scored 5 goals on 2.19 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Vesey–Lazar–Mittelstadt skated 6:01 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Vesey Lazar Mittelstadt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 94 of 94 attempts · BUF 46 · CAR 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 29% of the game, BUF 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	BUF
	43	42
	1.74	2.12
	1.68	2.05
	6	10
	6	2
	8	12
	+0.121	−0.121
	29%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
15:0062% CF
L2Staal – Dzingel – Foegele
11:0833% CF
L3Niederreiter – Wallmark – Necas
8:2842% CF
L4Haula – Gibbons – McGinn
6:5157% CF
D1Edmundson – Pesce
17:4836% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
16:0847% CF
D3Gardiner – Fleury
10:0253% CF

PP1Haula – Hamilton – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
2:22100% CF
PP2Staal – Gardiner – Niederreiter – Dzingel – Necas
0:51100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:43
PK2FGibbons – Foegele
1:08
PK1DHamilton – Slavin
2:55
PK2DEdmundson – Pesce
1:45

Current CAR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
13:2057% CF
L2Skinner – Sheary – Rodrigues
9:0455% CF
L3Vesey – Lazar – Mittelstadt
6:0129% CF
L4Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
5:5833% CF
D1Montour – Dahlin
14:3953% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
14:1935% CF
D3Scandella – Jokiharju
12:0856% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
3:3583% CF
PP2Okposo – Vesey – Ristolainen – Montour – Mittelstadt
1:30100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:22
PK2FVesey – Rodrigues
0:32
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
2:31
PK2DScandella – Montour
0:51

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:26
BUFJeff Skinner (Conor Sheary, Evan Rodrigues)wrist0.13 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Niederreiter, Fleury, Wallmark, NecasBUF: Skinner, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues, Dahlin
CAR 0 – 1 BUF
12:07
CARJordan Staal (Brett Pesce, Joel Edmundson)wrist0.00 xG
CAR: Staal, Dzingel, Edmundson, Pesce, FoegeleBUF: Scandella, Vesey, Lazar, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju
CAR 1 – 1 BUF
17:17
CARSebastian AhoPP (Teuvo Teravainen, Andrei Svechnikov)tip-in0.12 xG
CAR: Haula, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho, SvechnikovBUF: Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen
CAR 2 – 1 BUF

2nd period

0:49
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov)tip-in0.06 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, SvechnikovBUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
CAR 3 – 1 BUF
15:04
BUFCurtis Lazarwrist0.09 xG
CAR: Gardiner, Haula, Gibbons, McGinn, FleuryBUF: Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar, Mittelstadt
CAR 3 – 2 BUF

3rd period

13:35
BUFHenri Jokiharjuwrist0.20 xG
CAR: Staal, Gardiner, Gibbons, Dzingel, PesceBUF: Scandella, Larsson, Skinner, Sheary, Jokiharju
CAR 3 – 3 BUF
16:06
CARAndrei SvechnikovPP (Teuvo Teravainen, Dougie Hamilton)wrist0.08 xG
CAR: Haula, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho, SvechnikovBUF: Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen
CAR 4 – 3 BUF
19:19
BUFJohan Larsson (Jeff Skinner, Victor Olofsson)wrist0.07 xG
CAR: Haula, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, WallmarkBUF: Larsson, Skinner, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
CAR 4 – 4 BUF

OT period

2:28
CARDougie Hamilton (Martin Necas)slap0.17 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Aho, NecasBUF: Rodrigues, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
CAR 5 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.19	1	0	2	22:14	—	—	65	48
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	1	2	3	+1	3	0.39	0	0	0	21:52	—	—	68	48
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	1	2	3	+1	1	0.12	3	0	4	20:18	—	—	62	45
Jordan Staal C	L2	1	0	1	0	6	0.37	1	0	0	17:43	—	—	28	18
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	15:24	—	—	28	21
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:44	—	—	33	19
Martin Necas C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	12:47	—	—	47	61
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.11	0	1	0	12:42	—	—	47	64
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.21	0	1	0	11:50	—	—	43	56
Erik Haula L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	0	0	0	13:03	—	—	62	73
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	11:01	—	—	67	74
Brian Gibbons C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	2	9:38	—	—	50	47
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.05	0	0	0	24:20	—	—	47	39
Joel Edmundson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	21:25	—	—	45	38
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.26	2	0	0	25:18	—	—	53	40
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	1	0	24:20	—	—	60	43
Jake Gardiner D	D3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.00	1	0	0	12:48	—	—	52	55
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	1	0	0	11:04	—	—	53	61

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	33	29	4	.879	2.66	62:28

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.58	2	1	0	25:05	—	—	55	58
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	1	0	12	21:08	—	—	59	60
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.24	0	0	0	20:09	—	—	58	56
Jeff Skinner L	L2	1	1	2	+4	6	0.67	1	0	0	19:23	—	—	57	70
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.11	2	0	0	15:24	—	—	53	58
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.11	1	0	0	13:12	—	—	53	58
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:33	—	—	36	26
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	0	13:10	—	—	33	39
Curtis Lazar C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.09	2	2	0	8:47	—	—	30	30
Johan Larsson L	L4	1	0	1	+2	1	0.24	2	1	2	13:59	—	—	44	60
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:35	—	—	36	49
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	9:24	—	—	43	52
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.05	1	1	0	22:42	—	—	63	58
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	1	1	0	21:16	—	—	48	46
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	9	3	12	24:25	—	—	41	56
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:48	—	—	36	64
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.20	4	0	0	15:28	—	—	55	47
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	15:18	—	—	55	57

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	O	29	24	5	.828	2.19	61:24

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.