Carolina Hurricanes vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 24, 2018

FinalSaturday, Mar 24, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	1	3	5		CAR	5	8	11	24
OTT	1	0	1	2		OTT	12	8	16	36

: CAR 51OTT 50
: CAR 2.07OTT 1.68
PP goals: CAR 0OTT 0
Hits: CAR 16OTT 28
Blocks: CAR 7OTT 17
PIM: CAR 4OTT 0
: CAR 55%OTT 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Ottawa Senators 5–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Ottawa Senators 5–2 at OTT. Jordan Staal (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for OTT: Ryan–Dzingel–Pageau skated 10:46 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jordan Staal had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:13.Staal
Points
Phillip Di Giuseppe had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:40.Di Giuseppe
Points
Valentin Zykov had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:55.Zykov
New line
New look for OTT: Ryan–Dzingel–Pageau skated 10:46 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ryan Dzingel Pageau
Luck
CAR scored 5 goals on 2.07 expected goals (51 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Ryan Dzingel (OTT) played 23:37, +7:13 up on his 16:24 season average over 78 games.Dzingel
Goalie
Cam Ward (CAR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +8 against a season average of 27.6; the win.Ward
New line
New look for OTT: Burrows–Hoffman–Duchene skated 4:09 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Burrows Hoffman Duchene

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 101 of 101 attempts · OTT 50 · CAR 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 38% of the game, OTT 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	OTT
	56	54
	1.27	1.90
	1.26	1.88
	6	13
	5	6
	26	13
	+0.059	−0.059
	38%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Zykov – Aho
11:1150% CF
L2Williams – Staal – McGinn
10:5752% CF
L3Skinner – Di Giuseppe – Lindholm
10:2347% CF
L4Stempniak – Nordstrom – Ryan
9:4045% CF
D1Fleury – McKeown
9:3453% CF
D2Dahlbeck – Slavin
8:4333% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
8:0660% CF

PP1Williams – Skinner – Zykov – Hanifin – Ryan
1:02
PP2Staal – Teravainen – Slavin – Lindholm – Aho
0:58100% CF
PK1FMcGinn – Lindholm
1:38
PK2FStaal – Nordstrom
0:54
PK1DSlavin – van Riemsdyk
1:15
PK2DDahlbeck – Fleury
0:38

Current CAR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Dzingel – Pageau
10:4647% CF
L2Pyatt – Smith – Paajarvi
7:4660% CF
L3Burrows – Hoffman – Duchene
4:0957% CF
D1Ceci – Harpur
12:2334% CF
D2Karlsson – Chabot
11:0347% CF
D3Borowiecki – Claesson
7:0250% CF

PP1Ryan – Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Pageau
2:3150% CF
PP2Burrows – Dzingel – Chabot – Chlapik – Wolanin
1:14
PK1FPaajarvi – Pageau
0:41
PK2FPyatt – Smith
0:34
PK1DBorowiecki – Ceci
1:13
PK2DKarlsson – Claesson
0:34

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:34
CARPhillip Di Giuseppe (Valentin Zykov)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Di Giuseppe, Slavin, Zykov, van Riemsdyk, AhoOTT: Smith, Karlsson, Paajarvi, McCormick, Chabot
CAR 1 – 0 OTT
9:38
OTTBobby Ryan (Ryan Dzingel, Erik Karlsson)deflected0.06 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Nordstrom, McKeown, HanifinOTT: Ryan, Karlsson, Dzingel, Pageau, Wolanin
CAR 1 – 1 OTT

2nd period

17:19
CARBrock McGinn (Klas Dahlbeck, Jordan Staal)tip-in0.04 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Dahlbeck, McGinn, SlavinOTT: Pyatt, Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Harpur
CAR 2 – 1 OTT

3rd period

8:29
CARNoah Hanifin (Sebastian Aho, Valentin Zykov)wrist0.09 xG
CAR: Teravainen, Zykov, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, AhoOTT: Pyatt, Smith, Paajarvi, Claesson, Ceci
CAR 3 – 1 OTT
9:37
CARJeff Skinner (Phillip Di Giuseppe)backhand0.07 xG
CAR: Skinner, Dahlbeck, Di Giuseppe, Slavin, LindholmOTT: Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot
CAR 4 – 1 OTT
16:34
OTTThomas Chabot (Mike Hoffman, Magnus Paajarvi)snap0.09 xG
CAR: Stempniak, Nordstrom, van Riemsdyk, Hanifin, RyanOTT: Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Paajarvi, Chabot
CAR 4 – 2 OTT
19:25
CARJordan StaalEN (Justin Williams, Elias Lindholm)wrist0.74 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Slavin, Lindholm, van RiemsdykOTT: Ryan, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Pageau
CAR 5 – 2 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:37	—	—	50	60
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	1	0	14:11	—	—	50	58
Valentin Zykov L	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.15	2	0	0	13:55	—	—	48	44
Jordan Staal C	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.74	1	0	2	17:13	—	—	48	26
Justin Williams R	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	1	0	0	16:23	—	—	48	33
Brock McGinn L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.12	0	0	0	16:19	—	—	55	28
Elias Lindholm C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.05	1	0	0	16:46	—	—	50	34
Jeff Skinner L	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.33	1	0	0	15:32	—	—	54	58
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	0.01	1	1	0	13:40	—	—	52	35
Lee Stempniak R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:09	—	—	60	24
Derek Ryan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:00	—	—	57	21
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:14	—	—	43	16
Haydn Fleury D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	19:57	—	—	47	27
Roland McKeown D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	1	0	0	15:19	—	—	48	32
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	+4	4	0.36	0	2	0	26:10	—	—	58	51
Klas Dahlbeck D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	1	0	18:43	—	—	27	25
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.09	0	1	2	19:28	—	—	70	68
Noah Hanifin D	D3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.09	2	0	0	18:24	—	—	50	27

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Ward(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	1.68	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.13	1	1	0	23:37	—	—	40	63
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	21:32	—	—	45	82
Bobby Ryan R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.12	4	4	0	20:12	—	—	48	68
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.30	3	0	0	16:05	—	—	53	47
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	1	1	-2	3	0.08	1	1	0	13:24	—	—	55	43
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	57	42
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	0	2	0	21:24	—	—	42	39
Mike Hoffman C	L3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.09	2	0	0	19:51	—	—	50	69
Alexandre Burrows R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	12:48	—	—	59	83
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	1	4	0	25:11	—	—	36	53
Ben Harpur D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	0	0	14:02	—	—	36	45
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.07	1	1	0	24:45	—	—	64	68
Thomas Chabot D	D2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.10	1	2	0	16:04	—	—	47	53
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	7	1	0	13:45	—	—	60	65
Fredrik Claesson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	1	0	9:14	—	—	53	66
Christian Wolanin D	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	13:03	—	—	58	78
Filip Chlapik C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:19	—	—	42	50
Max McCormick L	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	2	0	0	9:54	—	—	50	70

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Condon(start)	L	23	19	4	.826	1.32	58:26

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.