Carolina Hurricanes vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 6, 2019

FinalSunday, Jan 6, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

5

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	2	2	1	5		CAR	11	8	10	29
OTT	0	4	0	4		OTT	10	19	2	31

: CAR 52OTT 57
: CAR 1.39OTT 2.19
PP goals: CAR 2OTT 1
Hits: CAR 27OTT 18
Blocks: CAR 14OTT 13
PIM: CAR 8OTT 4
: CAR 46%OTT 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Ottawa Senators 5–4

Carolina Hurricanes beat Ottawa Senators 5–4 at OTT. Brock McGinn (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen and Aho) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 1:35 together.

Points
Brock McGinn had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:31.McGinn
Points
Justin Faulk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:18.Faulk
Points
Chris Tierney had 2 assists (2 points) in 15:16.Tierney
Points
Sebastian Aho had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:28.Aho
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:52.Teravainen
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen and Aho) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 1:35 together.Williams Faulk Ferland Teravainen Aho
Luck
CAR scored 5 goals on 1.39 expected goals (52 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Smith–Paajarvi–Pageau skated 8:52 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith Paajarvi Pageau

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · OTT 57 · CAR 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 25% of the game, OTT 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	OTT
	52	61
	1.08	2.26
	1.06	2.20
	1	11
	5	1
	14	10
	−0.027	+0.027
	25%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – McGinn – Aho
10:5458% CF
L2Williams – Martinook – Wallmark
8:1433% CF
L3Ferland – Rask – Svechnikov
7:5128% CF
L4McKegg – Maenalanen – Foegele
5:1344% CF
D1de Haan – Faulk
18:2865% CF
D2Slavin – Pesce
16:5938% CF
D3Hamilton – van Riemsdyk
13:2332% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Ferland – Teravainen – Aho
1:35100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
3:00
PK2FMcGinn – Wallmark
2:00
PK1Dde Haan – Faulk
3:57
PK2DSlavin – Pesce
2:54

Current CAR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel
12:0354% CF
L2Smith – Paajarvi – Pageau
8:5271% CF
L3Stone – White – Tkachuk
8:1147% CF
L4Boedker – Tierney – Balcers
7:3233% CF
D1Ceci – Lajoie
16:3977% CF
D2Borowiecki – Jaros
15:0841% CF
D3DeMelo – Wolanin
11:4655% CF

PP1Duchene – Stone – White – Wolanin – Tkachuk
4:0933% CF
PP2Ryan – Boedker – Dzingel – Tierney – Jaros
3:2450% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
0:44
PK2FStone – Tierney
0:31
PK1DCeci – Lajoie
1:35

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:12
CARJustin FaulkPP (Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho)slap0.04 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, AhoOTT: Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Lajoie
CAR 1 – 0 OTT
4:28
CARBrock McGinnSHbackhand0.08 xG
CAR: Martinook, McGinn, Slavin, PesceOTT: Duchene, Stone, White, Wolanin, Tkachuk
CAR 2 – 0 OTT

2nd period

2:32
OTTMatt Duchene (Bobby Ryan, Christian Wolanin)snap0.22 xG
CAR: de Haan, Faulk, Ferland, Rask, SvechnikovOTT: Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, DeMelo, Wolanin
CAR 2 – 1 OTT
6:13
CARJaccob Slavin (Victor Rask)slap0.03 xG
CAR: Ferland, Rask, Slavin, Pesce, SvechnikovOTT: Boedker, Dzingel, DeMelo, Tierney, Wolanin
CAR 3 – 1 OTT
12:17
OTTRyan DzingelPP (Chris Tierney)backhand0.07 xG
CAR: de Haan, Faulk, Foegele, AhoOTT: Ryan, Boedker, Dzingel, Tierney, Jaros
CAR 3 – 2 OTT
14:54
CARDougie Hamilton (Sebastian Aho, Brock McGinn)snap0.07 xG
CAR: Hamilton, Teravainen, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, AhoOTT: Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, Ceci, Lajoie
CAR 4 – 2 OTT
19:12
OTTRudolfs Balcers (Chris Tierney, Mikkel Boedker)wrist0.15 xG
CAR: Williams, Hamilton, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, WallmarkOTT: Boedker, DeMelo, Tierney, Wolanin, Balcers
CAR 4 – 3 OTT
19:20
OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau (Mark Stone, Dylan DeMelo)wrist0.01 xG
CAR: Williams, Hamilton, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, WallmarkOTT: Smith, Stone, DeMelo, Pageau, Wolanin
CAR 4 – 4 OTT

3rd period

7:34
CARJustin WilliamsPP (Teuvo Teravainen, Justin Faulk)deflected0.04 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, AhoOTT: Smith, Paajarvi, Ceci, Lajoie
CAR 5 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.07	0	1	0	19:28	—	—	50	53
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	58	69
Brock McGinn L	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.39	3	0	2	16:31	—	—	61	64
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	3	2	0	16:50	—	—	50	45
Lucas Wallmark C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	1	0	16:06	—	—	44	36
Justin Williams R	L2	1	0	1	-2	4	0.21	0	0	0	16:06	—	—	44	35
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	2	0	0	13:09	—	—	32	16
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	4	0	2	12:34	—	—	32	15
Victor Rask C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	11:15	—	—	33	8
Warren Foegele L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	0	11:58	—	—	39	12
Greg McKegg C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	0	0	11:01	—	—	58	48
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	9:55	—	—	47	13
Justin Faulk D	D1	1	1	2	-1	3	0.07	5	0	0	24:18	—	—	65	32
Calvin de Haan D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	3	0	0	22:59	—	—	65	32
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	21:59	—	—	38	49
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.05	0	2	2	21:11	—	—	38	49
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	0	2	0	14:27	—	—	32	21
Dougie Hamilton D	D3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.08	1	2	0	13:31	—	—	32	21

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	31	27	4	.871	2.19	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.32	1	1	0	22:10	—	—	52	74
Matt Duchene C	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.45	0	0	0	20:26	—	—	58	79
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.26	1	3	2	17:50	—	—	57	72
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	+1	5	0.15	2	0	2	14:58	—	—	69	64
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.01	2	0	0	13:13	—	—	75	71
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:41	—	—	72	68
Mark Stone R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.30	1	2	0	20:51	—	—	48	63
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	0	0	15:35	—	—	44	52
Brady Tkachuk L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	0	0	13:44	—	—	50	62
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:16	—	—	39	61
Mikkel Boedker L	L4	0	1	1	0	2	0.19	1	0	0	13:41	—	—	39	64
Rudolfs Balcers L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	0	1	0	8:45	—	—	39	66
Maxime Lajoie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	20:06	—	—	77	82
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	0	0	0	19:44	—	—	66	81
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	1	0	18:44	—	—	44	49
Christian Jaros D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	2	0	18:41	—	—	38	55
Christian Wolanin D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:57	—	—	52	74
Dylan DeMelo D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	0	1	0	16:15	—	—	55	68

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson	L	13	11	2	.846	0.77	32:35
Marcus Hogberg(start)	—	16	13	3	.813	0.63	26:13

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.