Carolina Hurricanes vs. Ottawa SenatorsFeb 12, 2019

FinalTuesday, Feb 12, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	4	4		CAR	12	10	15	37
OTT	1	0	0	1		OTT	7	14	5	26

: CAR 58OTT 57
: CAR 2.86OTT 2.38
PP goals: CAR 2OTT 0
Hits: CAR 25OTT 27
Blocks: CAR 15OTT 12
PIM: CAR 6OTT 20
: CAR 47%OTT 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Ottawa Senators 4–1

Carolina Hurricanes beat Ottawa Senators 4–1 at OTT. Micheal Ferland (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Teravainen and Aho) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:03 together.

Points
Micheal Ferland had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 12:29.Ferland
Points
Teuvo Teravainen had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:57.Teravainen
Points
Justin Williams had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:46.Williams
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Teravainen and Aho) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:03 together.Williams Faulk Niederreiter Teravainen Aho
Goalie
Anders Nilsson (OTT) faced 37 shots and stopped 33 (.892), +7 against a season average of 30.5; the loss.Nilsson
Usage
Ben Harpur (OTT) played 10:44, −7:02 down on his 17:46 season average over 50 games.Harpur
Usage
Cody Ceci (OTT) played 18:35, −4:02 down on his 22:37 season average over 73 games.Ceci
Usage
Maxime Lajoie (OTT) played 14:46, −4:13 down on his 18:59 season average over 55 games.Lajoie

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · OTT 57 · CAR 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 32% of the game, OTT 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	OTT
	56	62
	2.09	2.57
	2.06	2.48
	8	13
	6	4
	19	18
	+0.000	+0.001
	32%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
12:3845% CF
L2Martinook – McGinn – Svechnikov
10:2161% CF
L3McKegg – Maenalanen – Foegele
7:2350% CF
L4Ferland – Teravainen – Wallmark
6:5842% CF
D1de Haan – van Riemsdyk
15:1853% CF
D2Faulk – Pesce
14:2952% CF
D3Hamilton – Slavin
13:1647% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
3:03100% CF
PP2Ferland – Hamilton – Slavin – Wallmark – Svechnikov
1:35
PK1FMartinook – McGinn
2:43
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
0:58
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:03
PK2Dde Haan – Faulk
1:51

Current CAR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Duchene – Dzingel
11:1271% CF
L2Smith – Paajarvi – Pageau
10:5852% CF
L3Stone – White – Tkachuk
8:1935% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
12:2258% CF
D2Borowiecki – Jaros
9:3454% CF
D3Ceci – Lajoie
9:1644% CF

PP1Duchene – Stone – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
2:0667% CF
PP2Ryan – Dzingel – Tierney – Balcers – Lajoie
1:31
PK1FPageau – Tierney
1:33
PK2FSmith – Paajarvi
1:25
PK1DBorowiecki – DeMelo
1:25
PK2DCeci – Lajoie
1:00

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:09
OTTMark Stone (Cody Ceci, Chris Tierney)deflected0.04 xG
CAR: McKegg, Hamilton, Maenalanen, Pesce, FoegeleOTT: Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Chabot, Balcers
CAR 0 – 1 OTT

3rd period

0:16
CARMicheal Ferland (Dougie Hamilton)wrist0.12 xG
CAR: Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, AhoOTT: Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Jaros
CAR 1 – 1 OTT
7:29
CARJustin WilliamsPP (Micheal Ferland, Sebastian Aho)wrist0.14 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, AhoOTT: Borowiecki, Tierney, Harpur
CAR 2 – 1 OTT
9:03
CARTeuvo TeravainenPP (Nino Niederreiter, Justin Williams)snap0.23 xG
CAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Teravainen, AhoOTT: Pageau, Tierney, Jaros, Lajoie
CAR 3 – 1 OTT
16:10
CARTeuvo Teravainen (Micheal Ferland)wrist0.20 xG
CAR: Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Pesce, WallmarkOTT: Duchene, Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Chabot
CAR 4 – 1 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.18	0	2	0	19:50	—	—	49	47
Justin Williams R	L1	1	1	2	0	5	0.42	2	0	0	17:46	—	—	50	65
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.19	3	0	4	17:34	—	—	44	56
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	1	0	17:56	—	—	50	25
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	4	0	0	17:35	—	—	48	30
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	1	0	2	14:55	—	—	54	31
Greg McKegg C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	2	0	0	11:02	—	—	42	23
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	1	0	10:54	—	—	44	30
Saku Maenalanen R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	8:31	—	—	44	27
Teuvo Teravainen C	L4	2	0	2	+2	5	0.66	0	0	0	17:57	—	—	43	62
Micheal Ferland L	L4	1	2	3	+2	1	0.12	1	0	0	12:29	—	—	50	59
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.43	0	3	0	11:20	—	—	50	73
Calvin de Haan D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	2	0	20:56	—	—	53	63
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	16:59	—	—	50	53
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	2	0	20:58	—	—	56	71
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	19:20	—	—	40	57
Jaccob Slavin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:19	—	—	40	23
Dougie Hamilton D	D3	0	1	1	0	4	0.03	2	1	0	17:25	—	—	49	32

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.38	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	20:51	—	—	62	40
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	1	0	2	16:45	—	—	68	49
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	16:15	—	—	68	44
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	2	16:14	—	—	46	48
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.27	2	0	10	14:29	—	—	45	47
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	1	0	0	13:19	—	—	50	50
Mark Stone R	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	22:00	—	—	47	65
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	2	0	15:13	—	—	44	76
Brady Tkachuk L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	1.04	3	1	0	14:54	—	—	42	75
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	2	24:42	—	—	58	74
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	3	0	0	18:26	—	—	56	81
Christian Jaros D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	2	0	14:36	—	—	55	55
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	4	2	0	14:28	—	—	45	43
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	2	1	4	18:35	—	—	53	32
Maxime Lajoie D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	14:46	—	—	50	9
Chris Tierney C	—	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	15:37	—	—	47	41
Rudolfs Balcers L	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:42	—	—	53	70
Ben Harpur D	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	4	0	0	10:44	—	—	48	72

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson(start)	L	37	33	4	.892	2.86	59:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.