Carolina Hurricanes vs. Minnesota WildMar 6, 2018

FinalTuesday, Mar 6, 2018· Xcel Energy Center

away

Carolina HurricanesCAR

2

@

home

Minnesota WildMIN

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	0	2	2		CAR	11	9	11	31
MIN	1	4	1	6		MIN	9	15	7	31

: CAR 60MIN 58
: CAR 2.13MIN 2.90
PP goals: CAR 1MIN 2
Hits: CAR 6MIN 8
Blocks: CAR 11MIN 17
PIM: CAR 4MIN 6
: CAR 54%MIN 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild rout Carolina Hurricanes 6–2

Minnesota Wild beat Carolina Hurricanes 6–2 at home. Eric Staal (MIN) led the scoring with 2G 0A. CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin and Ryan) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:44 together.

Points
Eric Staal had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 16:25.Staal
Points
Jared Spurgeon had 2 assists (2 points) in 20:28.Spurgeon
Points
Mikko Koivu had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:29.Koivu
Points
Ryan Suter had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:19.Suter
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin and Ryan) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:44 together.Williams Skinner Rask Hanifin Ryan
Luck
MIN scored 6 goals on 2.90 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Ryan Suter (MIN) played 21:19, −5:32 down on his 26:51 season average over 77 games.Suter
New line
New look for CAR: Stempniak–Wallmark–Ryan skated 8:44 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stempniak Wallmark Ryan

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← CAR attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
CAR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · MIN 58 · CAR 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
CAR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
CAR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: CAR 23% of the game, MIN 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

CAR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	CAR	MIN
	60	64
	1.64	3.07
	1.60	3.03
	13	16
	7	5
	8	17
	+0.021	−0.022
	23%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
12:0648% CF
L2Skinner – Rask – Di Giuseppe
11:0467% CF
L3Williams – Staal – McGinn
10:4342% CF
L4Stempniak – Wallmark – Ryan
8:4456% CF
D1Pesce – Hanifin
10:1033% CF
D2Faulk – Slavin
9:5659% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Fleury
8:5463% CF

PP1Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
2:44100% CF
PP2Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
1:58100% CF
PK1FStempniak – Staal
0:52
PK1DSlavin – van Riemsdyk
0:52

Current CAR line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Staal – Zucker – Granlund
13:3642% CF
L2Koivu – Parise – Niederreiter
11:2456% CF
L3Winnik – Foligno – Eriksson Ek
11:2070% CF
L4Cullen – Ennis – Coyle
11:0547% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
19:3942% CF
D2Suter – Spurgeon
16:1552% CF
D3Prosser – Olofsson
15:5571% CF

PP1Koivu – Suter – Parise – Spurgeon – Niederreiter
0:52100% CF
PP2Staal – Suter – Spurgeon – Zucker – Granlund
0:47100% CF
PK1FKoivu – Winnik
1:07
PK2FParise – Eriksson Ek
0:40
PK1DSuter – Spurgeon
2:31
PK2DBrodin – Dumba
1:40

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:35
MINEric StaalPP (Ryan Suter, Jason Zucker)wrist0.08 xG
CAR: Staal, McGinn, Slavin, PesceMIN: Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund
CAR 0 – 1 MIN

2nd period

0:23
MINNino Niederreiter (Jared Spurgeon, Mikko Koivu)deflected0.11 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, SlavinMIN: Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter
CAR 0 – 2 MIN
2:23
MINZach ParisePP (Mikko Koivu, Jared Spurgeon)tip-in0.07 xG
CAR: Stempniak, Staal, Slavin, van RiemsdykMIN: Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter
CAR 0 – 3 MIN
3:36
MINDaniel Winnik (Jonas Brodin, Mathew Dumba)wrist0.02 xG
CAR: Stempniak, Pesce, Fleury, Wallmark, RyanMIN: Winnik, Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek
CAR 0 – 4 MIN
3:51
MINEric Staal (Ryan Suter, Mikael Granlund)wrist0.18 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, Faulk, McGinn, SlavinMIN: Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund
CAR 0 – 5 MIN

3rd period

9:23
CARPhillip Di Giuseppe (Trevor van Riemsdyk, Jeff Skinner)tip-in0.07 xG
CAR: Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, van Riemsdyk, HanifinMIN: Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter
CAR 1 – 5 MIN
14:46
MINMatt Cullen (Charlie Coyle)slap0.08 xG
CAR: Williams, Staal, McGinn, Slavin, PesceMIN: Cullen, Ennis, Coyle, Brodin, Dumba
CAR 1 – 6 MIN
18:19
CARDerek RyanPP (Victor Rask, Noah Hanifin)tip-in0.07 xG
CAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Hanifin, RyanMIN: Cullen, Prosser, Granlund, Brodin
CAR 2 – 6 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	2	0	17:46	—	—	46	54
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	45	50
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	0	0	0	15:24	—	—	48	55
Victor Rask C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	0	2	2	15:14	—	—	60	47
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.20	1	0	0	15:09	—	—	67	63
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	12:25	—	—	67	63
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.10	0	1	0	16:23	—	—	41	17
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.11	2	0	0	15:09	—	—	41	17
Justin Williams R	L3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.14	0	1	0	14:44	—	—	41	17
Lee Stempniak R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	15:56	—	—	50	42
Derek Ryan C	L4	1	0	1	-1	3	0.30	0	0	0	14:43	—	—	53	49
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	2	0	0	14:21	—	—	48	41
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.09	0	2	2	21:03	—	—	31	11
Noah Hanifin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	1	1	0	20:40	—	—	41	23
Justin Faulk D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.20	0	0	0	20:57	—	—	55	38
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.02	0	1	0	19:51	—	—	50	41
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	64	71
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	0	0	16:15	—	—	56	40

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Darling	—	18	16	2	.889	1.95	36:14
Cam Ward(start)	L	13	9	4	.692	0.95	23:36

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.33	0	0	4	17:00	—	—	46	71
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.55	1	0	0	16:26	—	—	42	69
Eric Staal C	L1	2	0	2	+1	5	0.43	0	2	0	16:25	—	—	40	68
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	2	2	0	1	0.14	0	1	2	15:29	—	—	52	64
Zach Parise L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.34	1	0	0	14:46	—	—	59	72
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.14	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	52	58
Daniel Winnik L	L3	1	0	1	+1	7	0.49	0	1	0	14:29	—	—	73	90
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	13:28	—	—	70	87
Marcus Foligno L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	0	0	0	11:41	—	—	70	87
Charlie Coyle C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	0	1	0	14:04	—	—	46	47
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:55	—	—	39	36
Matt Cullen C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	0	1	0	13:24	—	—	45	37
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	2	2	0	22:56	—	—	43	42
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	3	0	21:49	—	—	42	46
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.02	0	1	0	21:19	—	—	54	76
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:28	—	—	52	75
Gustav Olofsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	0	1	0	16:47	—	—	73	97
Nate Prosser D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	16:41	—	—	63	71

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	2.13	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.