Winnipeg Jets vs. Buffalo SabresFeb 23, 2020

FinalSunday, Feb 23, 2020· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	0	0	1		WPG	11	6	9	26
BUF	1	0	1	2		BUF	8	9	8	25

: WPG 46BUF 36
: WPG 2.29BUF 1.87
PP goals: WPG 0BUF 0
Hits: WPG 16BUF 19
Blocks: WPG 6BUF 8
PIM: WPG 6BUF 2
: WPG 68%BUF 32%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Winnipeg Jets 2–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Winnipeg Jets 2–1 at home. Kyle Okposo (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for WPG: Wheeler–Scheifele–Harkins skated 12:10 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (76.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Kyle Okposo had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 15:09.Okposo
Points
Zemgus Girgensons had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:05.Girgensons
New line
New look for WPG: Wheeler–Scheifele–Harkins skated 12:10 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (76.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Wheeler Scheifele Harkins
Usage
Nathan Beaulieu (WPG) played 24:57, +8:10 up on his 16:47 season average over 37 games.Beaulieu
New line
New look for WPG: Eakin–Ehlers–Roslovic skated 9:37 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eakin Ehlers Roslovic
Usage
Henri Jokiharju (BUF) played 21:39, +4:30 up on his 17:09 season average over 68 games.Jokiharju
Usage
Jansen Harkins (WPG) played 13:44, +3:13 up on his 10:31 season average over 28 games.Harkins
Usage
Tucker Poolman (WPG) played 12:28, −5:04 down on his 17:32 season average over 56 games.Poolman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 82 of 82 attempts · BUF 36 · WPG 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 36% of the game, BUF 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	BUF
	52	36
	2.68	1.94
	2.63	1.86
	8	10
	4	2
	12	8
	+0.126	−0.126
	36%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Copp – Connor – Laine
15:5957% CF
L2Wheeler – Scheifele – Harkins
12:1076% CF
L3Eakin – Ehlers – Roslovic
9:3750% CF
L4Bourque – Shore – Appleton
3:4871% CF
D1DeMelo – Beaulieu
19:2259% CF
D2Kulikov – Pionk
17:5475% CF
D3Bitetto – Poolman
12:0543% CF

PP1Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor – Laine – Pionk
0:20
PK1FShore – Copp
2:38
PK2FEakin – Appleton
1:14
PK1DDeMelo – Beaulieu
2:49
PK2DKulikov – Bitetto
1:29

Current WPG line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
13:0523% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
11:4735% CF
L3Frolik – Skinner – Lazar
9:4753% CF
L4Johansson – Vesey – Sheary
7:4422% CF
D1McCabe – Jokiharju
19:2527% CF
D2Ristolainen – Montour
17:4052% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
12:2643% CF

PP1Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:3480% CF
PP2Okposo – Johansson – Skinner – Miller – Sheary
1:23
PK1FFrolik – Lazar
0:20
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
0:20

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:58
BUFKyle Okposo (Zemgus Girgensons, Henri Jokiharju)wrist0.16 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Bitetto, Scheifele, Poolman, EhlersBUF: Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Jokiharju
WPG 0 – 1 BUF
16:37
WPGBlake Wheeler (Jansen Harkins, Mark Scheifele)wrist0.22 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Kulikov, Scheifele, Harkins, PionkBUF: Johansson, Vesey, McCabe, Sheary, Jokiharju
WPG 1 – 1 BUF

3rd period

7:47
BUFKyle Okposo (Zemgus Girgensons, Brandon Montour)wrist0.11 xG
WPG: DeMelo, Scheifele, Beaulieu, Harkins, LaineBUF: Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Montour
WPG 1 – 2 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrew Copp C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	20:53	—	—	55	38
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	1	0	0	20:41	—	—	50	32
Patrik Laine L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	0	0	2	19:12	—	—	50	32
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	20:29	—	—	57	69
Blake Wheeler R	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.58	1	1	4	18:11	—	—	57	72
Jansen Harkins C	L2	0	1	1	0	6	0.67	1	0	0	13:44	—	—	74	83
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	0	0	15:26	—	—	44	45
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	0	14:23	—	—	55	30
Jack Roslovic C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	13:34	—	—	67	64
Nicholas Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	1	0	8:16	—	—	80	73
Mason Appleton C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	0	7:16	—	—	78	54
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	1	0	4:45	—	—	71	54
Nathan Beaulieu D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	24:57	—	—	57	65
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	3	0	0	22:52	—	—	59	66
Dmitry Kulikov D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	0	0	22:09	—	—	75	79
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	21:02	—	—	72	74
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	3	1	0	14:33	—	—	41	35
Tucker Poolman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:28	—	—	43	35

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	25	23	2	.920	1.87	59:09

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	0	0	22:59	—	—	39	45
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	1	2	0	21:09	—	—	35	44
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	16:46	—	—	29	17
Kyle Okposo R	L2	2	0	2	+2	5	0.37	1	0	0	15:09	—	—	40	44
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.11	1	0	0	14:28	—	—	39	43
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.00	4	0	0	14:05	—	—	39	37
Curtis Lazar C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.44	3	0	0	13:05	—	—	58	60
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	0	0	12:42	—	—	56	53
Michael Frolik R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:40	—	—	58	52
Marcus Johansson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	0	0	14:02	—	—	36	29
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	12:39	—	—	23	18
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	9:42	—	—	30	29
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	21:39	—	—	27	30
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:04	—	—	29	33
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	1	0	23:29	—	—	50	41
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	2	19:45	—	—	50	40
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	16:40	—	—	42	53
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	2	0	16:03	—	—	46	60

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.29	59:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.