Winnipeg Jets vs. Buffalo SabresMar 30, 2022

Final / SOWednesday, Mar 30, 2022· KeyBank Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
WPG	0	2	0	0	1	3		WPG	5	11	10	1	27
BUF	1	1	0	0	0	2		BUF	13	9	9	6	37

: WPG 44BUF 65
: WPG 3.03BUF 4.41
PP goals: WPG 0BUF 0
Hits: WPG 15BUF 14
Blocks: WPG 12BUF 5
PIM: WPG 6BUF 4
: WPG 54%BUF 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (SO)

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 in a shootout at BUF. Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for WPG: Wheeler–Sanford–Dubois skated 12:48 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Zemgus Girgensons had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 13:22.Girgensons
Points
Kyle Okposo had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:36.Okposo
New line
New look for WPG: Wheeler–Sanford–Dubois skated 12:48 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Wheeler Sanford Dubois
New line
New look for WPG: Lowry–Svechnikov–Appleton skated 7:14 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lowry Svechnikov Appleton
Usage
Ville Heinola (WPG) played 20:55, +6:34 up on his 14:21 season average over 11 games.Heinola
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 4.41 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +4 against a season average of 32.7; the win.Hellebuyck
Usage
Dylan DeMelo (WPG) played 23:22, +4:56 up on his 18:26 season average over 75 games.DeMelo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · BUF 65 · WPG 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 14% of the game, BUF 48%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	BUF
	44	60
	3.19	3.93
	3.01	3.58
	16	13
	1	2
	16	18
	+0.017	−0.017
	14%	48%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Wheeler – Sanford – Dubois
12:4844% CF
L2Lowry – Svechnikov – Appleton
7:1450% CF
L3Stastny – Scheifele – Ehlers
6:4615% CF
L4Toninato – Harkins – Brooks
6:4022% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
17:5652% CF
D2Pionk – Heinola
17:4032% CF
D3Dillon – Stanley
14:0536% CF

PP1Wheeler – Scheifele – Morrissey – Ehlers – Dubois
1:0150% CF
PP2Stastny – Lowry – Sanford – Pionk – Heinola
0:43100% CF
PK1FLowry – Appleton
1:11
PK2FStastny – Toninato
0:45
PK1DDeMelo – Stanley
1:11
PK2DDillon – Morrissey
0:45

Current WPG line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Eakin – Girgensons
10:3839% CF
L2Hinostroza – Krebs – Cozens
10:2950% CF
L3Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
10:2864% CF
L4Olofsson – Asplund – Mittelstadt
9:4280% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
16:4063% CF
D2Pysyk – Butcher
13:4058% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Bryson
13:3371% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
1:34100% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Jokiharju – Krebs – Cozens
0:26
PK1FTuch – Thompson
0:45
PK2FOkposo – Eakin
0:36
PK1DPysyk – Dahlin
1:10
PK2DFitzgerald – Bryson
0:41

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:39
BUFZemgus Girgensons (Will Butcher, Kyle Okposo)snap0.12 xG
WPG: Stastny, Dillon, Scheifele, Ehlers, StanleyBUF: Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Girgensons, Butcher
WPG 0 – 1 BUF

2nd period

4:13
WPGBlake Wheeler (Pierre-Luc Dubois, Paul Stastny)tip-in0.56 xG
WPG: Wheeler, Stastny, Dillon, Dubois, PionkBUF: Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Dahlin
WPG 1 – 1 BUF
8:24
BUFZemgus Girgensons (Henri Jokiharju, Kyle Okposo)wrist0.37 xG
WPG: Wheeler, DeMelo, Sanford, Morrissey, DuboisBUF: Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Dahlin
WPG 1 – 2 BUF
19:39
WPGMason Appleton (Nikolaj Ehlers, Ville Heinola)wrist0.06 xG
WPG: Lowry, Ehlers, Appleton, Pionk, HeinolaBUF: Pysyk, Hinostroza, Butcher, Krebs, Cozens
WPG 2 – 2 BUF

Decided in the shootout: WPG 3 – 2 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Blake Wheeler R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.73	1	1	0	19:35	—	—	48	67
Zachary Sanford L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.34	1	0	0	19:09	—	—	38	46
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.60	0	0	4	18:48	—	—	52	69
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	16:24	—	—	40	30
Mason Appleton C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	52	52
Evgeny Svechnikov L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	1	0	0	14:34	—	—	62	42
Mark Scheifele C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.21	1	2	0	18:55	—	—	40	29
Paul Stastny C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	18:25	—	—	40	45
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	1	1	0	17:43	—	—	32	32
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	9:30	—	—	31	17
Adam Brooks C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	0	1	0	9:06	—	—	25	29
Jansen Harkins C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	8:02	—	—	30	33
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	1	2	0	25:03	—	—	50	50
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	1	1	0	23:22	—	—	53	51
Ville Heinola D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.05	1	0	0	20:55	—	—	35	26
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	20:31	—	—	37	50
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	2	0	18:35	—	—	39	32
Brenden Dillon D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:29	—	—	43	53

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	4.41	65:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	52	48
Cody Eakin C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	48	47
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	2	0	2	+1	4	0.95	1	1	0	13:22	—	—	48	54
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	44	56
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	0	14:43	—	—	50	60
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	0	0	13:43	—	—	54	70
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.44	0	0	0	20:12	—	—	63	46
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	2	1	0	18:55	—	—	71	49
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	0	0	0	18:20	—	—	69	49
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.37	0	0	0	19:47	—	—	71	64
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.48	1	0	0	14:44	—	—	65	63
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	69	74
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	6	1	0	28:32	—	—	64	52
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.20	1	0	4	23:24	—	—	59	52
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	0	0	0	18:25	—	—	50	49
Will Butcher D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	14:32	—	—	58	57
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	20:23	—	—	50	67
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	18:23	—	—	61	64

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	O	27	25	2	.926	3.03	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.