Winnipeg Jets vs. Buffalo SabresMar 3, 2024

FinalSunday, Mar 3, 2024· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	0	4	5		WPG	13	8	14	35
BUF	1	1	0	2		BUF	6	6	7	19

: WPG 69BUF 50
: WPG 4.25BUF 2.69
PP goals: WPG 0BUF 1
Hits: WPG 23BUF 22
Blocks: WPG 19BUF 22
PIM: WPG 4BUF 4
: WPG 51%BUF 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at BUF. Josh Morrissey (WPG) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Skinner, Mittelstadt, Peterka and Power) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:24 together.

Points
Josh Morrissey had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:30.Morrissey
Points
Vladislav Namestnikov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:56.Namestnikov
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Okposo, Skinner, Mittelstadt, Peterka and Power) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:24 together.Okposo Skinner Mittelstadt Peterka Power
New line
New look for WPG: Barron–Gustafsson–Perfetti skated 7:41 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (31.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Barron Gustafsson Perfetti
Usage
Neal Pionk (WPG) played 25:16, +4:30 up on his 20:46 season average over 81 games.Pionk
Usage
Nate Schmidt (WPG) played 11:20, −5:34 down on his 16:54 season average over 62 games.Schmidt
Usage
Henri Jokiharju (BUF) played 23:20, +4:25 up on his 18:55 season average over 73 games.Jokiharju
Usage
Owen Power (BUF) played 26:16, +3:23 up on his 22:53 season average over 75 games.Power

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← WPG attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
WPG
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · BUF 50 · WPG 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
WPG
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
WPG pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: WPG 40% of the game, BUF 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

WPG

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	WPG	BUF
	72	52
	2.16	2.05
	2.12	1.84
	11	8
	6	5
	12	2
	+0.012	−0.012
	40%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Winnipeg Jets

L1Niederreiter – Lowry – Appleton
11:0472% CF
L2Scheifele – Ehlers – Connor
8:3150% CF
L3Barron – Gustafsson – Perfetti
7:4131% CF
L4Namestnikov – Monahan – Iafallo
7:2456% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
14:1170% CF
D2Dillon – Pionk
12:0544% CF
D3Schmidt – Samberg
8:4354% CF

PP1Niederreiter – Schmidt – Ehlers – Pionk – Perfetti
2:05100% CF
PP2Scheifele – Monahan – Morrissey – Connor – Iafallo
1:39100% CF
PK1FNamestnikov – Appleton
0:46
PK2FMonahan – Iafallo
0:31
PK1DDeMelo – Samberg
0:54
PK2DSchmidt – Pionk
0:46

Current WPG line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Greenway – Thompson
12:4838% CF
L2Okposo – Skinner – Mittelstadt
9:5832% CF
L3Girgensons – Robinson – Krebs
8:4567% CF
L4Cozens – Peterka – Benson
8:4329% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
19:2532% CF
D2Bryson – Power
12:5552% CF
D3Clifton – Johnson
7:0157% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Mittelstadt – Peterka – Power
2:2480% CF
PP2Tuch – Greenway – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
0:22100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
1:47
PK2FTuch – Benson
0:39
PK1DClifton – Power
2:10
PK2DBryson – Dahlin
0:58

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.15	3	0	0	15:57	—	—	65	31
Adam Lowry C	L1	0	1	1	+3	3	0.05	3	2	0	14:49	—	—	71	97
Mason Appleton C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.20	1	0	2	14:41	—	—	61	32
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.08	2	0	0	19:57	—	—	61	46
Kyle Connor L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	2	0	18:32	—	—	62	75
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	2	0	15:20	—	—	57	74
Cole Perfetti C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.45	0	1	0	11:50	—	—	42	12
Morgan Barron C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	1	1	0	11:46	—	—	48	44
David Gustafsson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:13	—	—	31	1
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	1.07	3	0	0	16:56	—	—	66	77
Alex Iafallo L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	0	0	16:05	—	—	63	67
Sean Monahan C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	1.13	0	1	0	15:48	—	—	61	66
Josh Morrissey D	D1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.45	0	0	0	24:30	—	—	72	73
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	1	0	23:05	—	—	61	55
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.12	3	3	0	25:16	—	—	57	46
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	0	0	+3	2	0.01	1	1	2	17:47	—	—	48	45
Dylan Samberg D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	15:24	—	—	56	37
Nate Schmidt D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	2	0	11:20	—	—	54	25

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Laurent Brossoit(start)	W	19	17	2	.895	2.69	59:49

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.58	3	0	0	20:15	—	—	38	13
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:50	—	—	39	12
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.04	0	1	0	17:22	—	—	40	19
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:31	—	—	37	44
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.26	0	0	0	14:12	—	—	33	44
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.24	0	0	2	14:01	—	—	33	44
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.49	1	0	2	13:59	—	—	60	68
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.36	4	0	0	11:35	—	—	60	82
Eric Robinson L	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.18	3	0	0	10:58	—	—	67	84
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.21	2	1	0	14:57	—	—	35	41
JJ Peterka R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.19	1	1	0	14:44	—	—	37	53
Zach Benson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:22	—	—	39	53
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.01	2	2	0	27:24	—	—	40	26
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	3	0	23:20	—	—	29	18
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	1	3	0	26:16	—	—	50	65
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	3	0	14:53	—	—	50	81
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	14:32	—	—	44	58
Ryan Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	3	0	10:20	—	—	41	71

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	33	30	3	.909	2.46	59:29

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

JJ Peterka (BUF PP) 1st 17:33 · assists Kyle Okposo, Jeff Skinner · Forecheck turnover · 44.5 mph shot.

JJ Peterka · 1st 17:33 · BUF PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 44.5 mph
Distance: 20 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nino Niederreiter · 1st 19:54 · WPG

Play: deflection
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 20.2 mph
Distance: 4 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Eric Robinson · 2nd 9:20 · BUF

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 49.7 mph
Distance: 27 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Josh Morrissey · 3rd 10:38 · WPG

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 2
Shot: 8.3 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Entry to goal: 3.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Morgan Barron · 3rd 13:55 · WPG

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 83.6 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 1.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 18:39 · WPG EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 0
Shot: 12.0 mph
Distance: 115 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Sean Monahan · 3rd 19:06 · WPG EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 43.7 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Winnipeg Jets vs. Buffalo SabresMar 3, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Winnipeg Jets

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

JJ Peterka · 1st 17:33 · BUF PP

Nino Niederreiter · 1st 19:54 · WPG

Eric Robinson · 2nd 9:20 · BUF

Josh Morrissey · 3rd 10:38 · WPG

Morgan Barron · 3rd 13:55 · WPG

Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 18:39 · WPG EN

Sean Monahan · 3rd 19:06 · WPG EN