Los Angeles Kings vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 15, 2018

FinalMonday, Oct 15, 2018· Scotiabank Arena

away

Los Angeles KingsLAK

1

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
LAK	0	1	0	1		LAK	9	15	10	34
TOR	2	1	1	4		TOR	10	8	7	25

: LAK 72TOR 55
: LAK 3.21TOR 2.26
PP goals: LAK 0TOR 1
Hits: LAK 29TOR 26
Blocks: LAK 21TOR 21
PIM: LAK 4TOR 6
: LAK 52%TOR 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Los Angeles Kings 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Los Angeles Kings 4–1 at home. Kasperi Kapanen (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. LAK scored 1 goal on 3.21 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Kasperi Kapanen had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:48.Kapanen
Points
Auston Matthews had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:44.Matthews
Points
Jake Gardiner had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:19.Gardiner
Luck
LAK scored 1 goal on 3.21 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for LAK: Carter–Thompson–Amadio skated 6:13 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Carter Thompson Amadio
New line
New look for LAK: Lewis–Clifford–Anderson-Dolan skated 4:46 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lewis Clifford Anderson-Dolan
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 2.26 expected goals (55 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Josh Leivo (TOR) played 10:22, −3:43 down on his 14:05 season average over 75 games.Leivo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← LAK attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
LAK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · TOR 55 · LAK 72

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
LAK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
LAK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: LAK 42% of the game, TOR 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

LAK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	LAK	TOR
	71	55
	2.93	2.03
	2.67	1.97
	12	8
	5	8
	23	20
	−0.020	+0.020
	42%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Los Angeles Kings

L1Kovalchuk – Kopitar – Iafallo
11:5865% CF
L2Toffoli – Pearson – Kempe
9:0276% CF
L3Carter – Thompson – Amadio
6:1350% CF
L4Lewis – Clifford – Anderson-Dolan
4:4630% CF
D1Doughty – Forbort
16:0971% CF
D2Muzzin – Martinez
15:1250% CF
D3Phaneuf – Fantenberg
10:4439% CF

PP1Kovalchuk – Carter – Kopitar – Doughty – Anderson-Dolan
3:3083% CF
PP2Phaneuf – Martinez – Toffoli – Pearson – Amadio
2:05100% CF
PK1FKopitar – Iafallo
1:40
PK2FThompson – Lewis
1:13
PK1DDoughty – Forbort
2:14
PK2DMuzzin – Martinez
1:13

Current LAK line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
13:4538% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
12:0141% CF
L3Kadri – Brown – Lindholm
10:1655% CF
L4Leivo – Johnsson – Gauthier
6:5563% CF
D1Dermott – Ozhiganov
15:5869% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
14:3938% CF
D3Hainsey – Rielly
13:2624% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
2:08100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Leivo – Brown – Johnsson
1:04100% CF
PK1FHyman – Lindholm
2:42
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
1:16
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
3:54
PK2DRielly – Dermott
1:42

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:46
TORKasperi Kapanen (Jake Gardiner, Auston Matthews)wrist0.04 xG
LAK: Kovalchuk, Kopitar, Muzzin, Doughty, IafalloTOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews
LAK 0 – 1 TOR
19:38
TORPatrick MarleauPP (Josh Leivo, Jake Gardiner)wrist0.11 xG
LAK: Kopitar, Doughty, Forbort, IafalloTOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Leivo, Brown, Johnsson
LAK 0 – 2 TOR

2nd period

3:38
LAKIlya Kovalchuk (Alex Iafallo, Derek Forbort)wrist0.11 xG
LAK: Kovalchuk, Kopitar, Doughty, Forbort, IafalloTOR: Gardiner, Leivo, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev
LAK 1 – 2 TOR
8:32
TORMitch Marner (John Tavares, Zach Hyman)wrist0.16 xG
LAK: Phaneuf, Kopitar, Doughty, Toffoli, PearsonTOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev
LAK 1 – 3 TOR

3rd period

7:45
TORKasperi Kapanen (Auston Matthews)backhand0.11 xG
LAK: Kovalchuk, Kopitar, Doughty, Forbort, IafalloTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews
LAK 1 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Los Angeles Kings

LAK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anze Kopitar C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.51	2	0	0	22:13	—	—	67	68
Ilya Kovalchuk L	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.40	1	0	0	19:18	—	—	69	75
Alex Iafallo L	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.01	1	1	0	15:35	—	—	61	64
Tyler Toffoli C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.66	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	58	71
Tanner Pearson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.15	2	0	0	16:30	—	—	71	79
Adrian Kempe R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	1	2	12:48	—	—	73	83
Jeff Carter C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	4	1	0	15:40	—	—	38	11
Nate Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	2	1	0	14:01	—	—	55	52
Michael Amadio R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:53	—	—	48	15
Trevor Lewis C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	1	0	12:17	—	—	48	81
Jaret Anderson-Dolan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	11:42	—	—	29	17
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	0	2	10:13	—	—	30	62
Drew Doughty D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	2	1	0	25:53	—	—	66	70
Derek Forbort D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	18:53	—	—	71	80
Alec Martinez D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	1	4	0	21:02	—	—	50	48
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	1	2	0	20:05	—	—	56	42
Dion Phaneuf D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	2	5	0	16:22	—	—	41	42
Oscar Fantenberg D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	2	3	0	13:53	—	—	48	42

LAK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	L	25	21	4	.840	2.26	59:45

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.14	0	0	0	17:44	—	—	32	24
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	2	0	2	+1	2	0.15	1	1	0	16:48	—	—	36	31
Patrick Marleau C	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.12	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	32	27
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.32	0	2	4	17:22	—	—	35	36
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.52	0	1	0	17:09	—	—	39	39
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	41	45
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.49	1	1	0	16:21	—	—	48	58
Par Lindholm C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	2	0	15:21	—	—	55	76
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	55	75
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	1	0	0	10:22	—	—	58	34
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	2	9:13	—	—	59	43
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	8:38	—	—	63	48
Travis Dermott D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	4	0	0	20:12	—	—	64	57
Igor Ozhiganov D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	19:27	—	—	62	51
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	6	2	0	19:35	—	—	43	40
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.25	1	0	0	19:19	—	—	37	31
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	6	0	19:15	—	—	27	34
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	4	0	18:56	—	—	25	32

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Garret Sparks(start)	W	34	33	1	.971	3.21	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.