Los Angeles Kings vs. Buffalo SabresDec 11, 2018

Final / OTTuesday, Dec 11, 2018· KeyBank Center

away

Los Angeles KingsLAK

3

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
LAK	1	2	0	0	3		LAK	10	15	4	0	29
BUF	1	0	2	1	4		BUF	16	11	16	4	47

: LAK 48BUF 74
: LAK 2.44BUF 3.08
PP goals: LAK 0BUF 2
Hits: LAK 24BUF 18
Blocks: LAK 15BUF 12
PIM: LAK 19BUF 13
: LAK 40%BUF 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Los Angeles Kings 4–3 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Los Angeles Kings 4–3 in overtime at home. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 18 attempts in 8:09 together.

Points
Jack Eichel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 10 shots in 25:57.Eichel
Points
Jake Muzzin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 30:35.Muzzin
Points
Rasmus Ristolainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 31:08.Ristolainen
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 18 attempts in 8:09 together.Skinner Ristolainen Reinhart Eichel Dahlin
Goalie
Cal Petersen (LAK) faced 47 shots and stopped 43 (.915), +15 against a season average of 32.3; the overtime loss.Petersen
Usage
Drew Doughty (LAK) played 9:25, −17:22 down on his 26:47 season average over 81 games.Doughty
Usage
Jake Muzzin (LAK) played 30:35, +9:22 up on his 21:13 season average over 79 games.Muzzin
Usage
Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF) played 31:08, +6:35 up on his 24:33 season average over 77 games.Ristolainen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← LAK attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
LAK
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · BUF 74 · LAK 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
LAK
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
LAK pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: LAK 23% of the game, BUF 56%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

LAK

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	LAK	BUF
	44	50
	2.16	1.59
	2.14	1.53
	10	7
	5	2
	8	13
	−0.109	+0.109
	23%	56%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Los Angeles Kings

L1Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo
10:3138% CF
L2Toffoli – Scherbak – Kempe
7:4955% CF
L3Carter – Leipsic – Luff
6:1350% CF
L4Thompson – Amadio – Wagner
4:0943% CF
D1Muzzin – Fantenberg
11:0160% CF
D2Forbort – Walker
10:5450% CF
D3Phaneuf – Doughty
0:00

PP1Carter – Brown – Kopitar – Muzzin – Iafallo
2:58100% CF
PP2Phaneuf – Toffoli – Leipsic – Kempe – Luff
1:2050% CF
PK1FBrown – Kopitar
4:41
PK2FThompson – Toffoli
2:42
PK1DForbort – Fantenberg
2:26
PK2DMuzzin – Doughty
0:22

Current LAK line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
12:5858% CF
L2Larsson – Girgensons – Rodrigues
8:4069% CF
L3Okposo – Sheary – Mittelstadt
8:1650% CF
L4Pominville – Sobotka – Thompson
6:2429% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
10:4241% CF
D2Ristolainen – Pilut
8:5673% CF
D3Beaulieu – Tennyson
8:0236% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
8:0995% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Rodrigues – Thompson – Pilut
1:06100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:31
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
1:37
PK1DBogosian – Ristolainen
3:38
PK2DBeaulieu – Dahlin
0:33

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:11
LAKJake Muzzin (Anze Kopitar, Alex Iafallo)snap0.07 xG
LAK: Brown, Kopitar, Muzzin, Iafallo, FantenbergBUF: Okposo, Beaulieu, Tennyson, Sheary, Mittelstadt
LAK 1 – 0 BUF
13:26
BUFZemgus Girgensonswrist0.10 xG
LAK: Doughty, Forbort, Scherbak, Kempe, LuffBUF: Larsson, Beaulieu, Tennyson, Girgensons, Rodrigues
LAK 1 – 1 BUF

2nd period

0:52
LAKMatt Luff (Jake Muzzin)backhand0.12 xG
LAK: Carter, Forbort, Leipsic, Luff, FantenbergBUF: Sobotka, Bogosian, Skinner, Reinhart, Dahlin
LAK 2 – 1 BUF
12:55
LAKAdrian Kempe (Brendan Leipsic, Derek Forbort)wrist0.06 xG
LAK: Toffoli, Forbort, Scherbak, Kempe, WalkerBUF: Okposo, Bogosian, Sheary, Mittelstadt, Pilut
LAK 3 – 1 BUF

3rd period

3:47
BUFJack EichelPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.03 xG
LAK: Carter, Muzzin, Toffoli, FantenbergBUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
LAK 3 – 2 BUF
7:23
BUFJohan Larsson (Lawrence Pilut, Evan Rodrigues)tip-in0.09 xG
LAK: Carter, Forbort, Leipsic, Luff, WalkerBUF: Larsson, Girgensons, Rodrigues, Dahlin, Pilut
LAK 3 – 3 BUF

OT period

1:49
BUFJeff SkinnerPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Jack Eichel)slap0.05 xG
LAK: Kopitar, Muzzin, ForbortBUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Eichel, Dahlin
LAK 3 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Los Angeles Kings

LAK skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anze Kopitar C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	3	0	27:16	—	—	38	30
Dustin Brown R	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.29	3	1	0	23:09	—	—	48	36
Alex Iafallo L	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.43	1	1	0	17:26	—	—	41	37
Tyler Toffoli C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.82	1	0	0	18:20	—	—	56	87
Adrian Kempe R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.07	0	1	0	13:29	—	—	58	80
Nikita Scherbak R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	9:42	—	—	59	80
Jeff Carter C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	4	17:22	—	—	44	44
Brendan Leipsic L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	1	0	2	13:44	—	—	53	56
Matt Luff R	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.12	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	38	27
Nate Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	5	12:11	—	—	36	69
Michael Amadio R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	0	0	6:29	—	—	33	49
Austin Wagner L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	6:10	—	—	43	79
Jake Muzzin D	D1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.08	7	0	0	30:35	—	—	51	38
Oscar Fantenberg D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	4	24:23	—	—	48	59
Derek Forbort D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	3	5	2	26:22	—	—	46	69
Sean Walker D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	16:09	—	—	48	63
Dion Phaneuf D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	1	0	2	11:22	—	—	50	49
Drew Doughty D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	9:25	—	—	20	17

LAK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cal Petersen(start)	O	47	43	4	.915	3.08	61:36

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	1	2	0	10	0.49	1	2	0	25:57	—	—	62	81
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.29	0	0	0	23:08	—	—	57	71
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.45	1	0	2	22:55	—	—	57	68
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	0	1	0	15:51	—	—	72	58
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.13	3	0	0	12:25	—	—	71	56
Johan Larsson L	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.17	1	0	0	12:24	—	—	71	58
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	2	12:34	—	—	44	48
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	0	0	0	11:38	—	—	47	48
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:23	—	—	47	49
Vladimir Sobotka C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	0	2	11:01	—	—	31	12
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	0	10:29	—	—	27	5
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	7:40	—	—	33	13
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	8	0.65	0	3	0	28:34	—	—	52	63
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	2	1	5	21:53	—	—	42	29
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	2	2	0	6	0.34	3	1	0	31:08	—	—	73	79
Lawrence Pilut D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	15:53	—	—	59	50
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	0	1	2	15:34	—	—	53	33
Matt Tennyson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	0	9:55	—	—	36	21

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	29	26	3	.897	2.44	61:43

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.