Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado AvalancheDec 16, 2017

FinalSaturday, Dec 16, 2017· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	4	2	6		TBL	15	10	6	31
COL	0	1	4	5		COL	11	7	19	37

: TBL 50COL 61
: TBL 2.48COL 1.89
PP goals: TBL 0COL 2
Hits: TBL 16COL 14
Blocks: TBL 18COL 9
PIM: TBL 16COL 21
: TBL 43%COL 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Colorado Avalanche 6–5

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Colorado Avalanche 6–5 at COL. Gabriel Landeskog (COL) led the scoring with 3G 2A. TBL won it by committee.

Points
Gabriel Landeskog had a hat trick and 2 assists (5 points) on 5 shots in 22:00.Landeskog
Points
Anton Stralman had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 19:07.Stralman
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 7 shots in 21:01.MacKinnon
Points
Yanni Gourde had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 15:35.Gourde
Points
Tyson Barrie had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 22:44.Barrie
Points
Mikhail Sergachev had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:37.Sergachev
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:04.Kucherov
Points
Victor Hedman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 25:38.Hedman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · COL 61 · TBL 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 36% of the game, COL 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	COL
	47	52
	2.17	1.06
	2.09	1.05
	8	6
	1	7
	5	5
	−0.083	+0.083
	36%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
12:1465% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Point
9:2535% CF
L3Kunitz – Killorn – Paquette
4:2738% CF
D1Hedman – Dotchin
11:1848% CF
D2Stralman – Sergachev
5:3540% CF
D3Coburn – Girardi
4:180% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Conacher – Namestnikov
3:01100% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
2:0775% CF
PK1FGourde – Point
2:41
PK2FKillorn – Johnson
2:11
PK1DGirardi – Hedman
1:44
PK2DStralman – Dotchin
1:26

Current TBL line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
9:2665% CF
L2Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
4:0633% CF
L3Wilson – Andrighetto – Jost
3:3425% CF
D1Barrie – Nemeth
6:5955% CF
D2Johnson – Zadorov
4:2420% CF
D3Barberio – Lindholm
4:1771% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
4:42100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Andrighetto – Jost – Girard
2:11
PK1FNieto – Compher
1:39
PK2FComeau – Soderberg
0:57
PK1DBarberio – Lindholm
2:34
PK2DNemeth – Zadorov
2:26

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:11
TBLNikita Kucherov (Victor Hedman, Yanni Gourde)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, DotchinCOL: Barberio, Compher, Lindholm, Rantanen
TBL 1 – 0 COL
9:30
TBLAnton Stralman (Tyler Johnson, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Stralman, Johnson, Palat, SergachevCOL: Johnson, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
TBL 2 – 0 COL
11:22
TBLVictor Hedman (Nikita Kucherov, Jake Dotchin)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Paquette, DotchinCOL: Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Nemeth
TBL 3 – 0 COL
13:21
TBLYanni Gourde (Alex Killorn, Cory Conacher)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Conacher, Gourde, DotchinCOL: Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Nieto, Girard
TBL 4 – 0 COL
14:16
COLGabriel Landeskog (Nail Yakupov, Nikita Zadorov)backhand0.13 xG
TBL: Kunitz, Stralman, Killorn, Paquette, SustrCOL: Nemeth, Landeskog, Yakupov, Zadorov, Jost
TBL 4 – 1 COL

3rd period

2:29
TBLAnton Stralman (Yanni Gourde, Brayden Point)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Kunitz, Stralman, Gourde, Dotchin, PointCOL: Comeau, Barberio, Nieto, Yakupov, Lindholm
TBL 5 – 1 COL
4:58
COLGabriel Landeskog (Tyson Barrie, Nathan MacKinnon)tip-in0.07 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, Conacher, Gourde, SergachevCOL: Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
TBL 5 – 2 COL
7:17
COLGabriel LandeskogPP (Tyson Barrie, Mikko Rantanen)slap0.16 xG
TBL: Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, PointCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
TBL 5 – 3 COL
9:22
COLNathan MacKinnonPP (Tyson Barrie, Gabriel Landeskog)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stralman, Killorn, PointCOL: Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen
TBL 5 – 4 COL
11:32
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Ondrej Palat, Anton Stralman)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Stralman, Stamkos, Palat, SergachevCOL: Landeskog, Compher, Zadorov, Girard
TBL 6 – 4 COL
14:14
COLNathan MacKinnon (Nikita Zadorov, Gabriel Landeskog)tip-in0.03 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, NamestnikovCOL: Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen
TBL 6 – 5 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	18:05	—	—	68	70
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	0	0	0	17:48	—	—	58	54
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.31	1	0	2	16:04	—	—	68	72
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.65	0	1	0	20:52	—	—	41	83
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.19	0	3	2	18:21	—	—	29	69
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.23	1	2	0	17:11	—	—	32	69
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.07	0	0	2	17:36	—	—	33	55
Chris Kunitz L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	14:27	—	—	50	44
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	9:39	—	—	42	36
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	1	2	+3	2	0.09	2	0	2	25:38	—	—	53	81
Jake Dotchin D	D1	0	1	1	+4	3	0.03	5	2	0	17:37	—	—	50	83
Anton Stralman D	D2	2	1	3	0	4	0.21	1	0	0	19:07	—	—	56	70
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.23	2	1	0	15:37	—	—	48	55
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	6	0	17:53	—	—	38	45
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	2	12:13	—	—	36	63
Yanni Gourde C	—	1	2	3	+1	2	0.23	0	0	0	15:35	—	—	54	82
Cory Conacher C	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.08	1	0	2	8:08	—	—	22	70
Andrej Sustr D	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	6:47	—	—	41	36

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Peter Budaj(start)	W	37	32	5	.865	1.89	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	3	2	5	+2	5	0.63	2	1	0	22:00	—	—	61	45
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	2	1	3	0	7	0.31	1	0	0	21:01	—	—	56	39
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.11	0	0	0	19:29	—	—	60	31
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.14	2	0	2	14:59	—	—	43	24
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	46	19
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	0	1	0	12:08	—	—	25	9
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	1	0	16:26	—	—	52	42
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:11	—	—	48	41
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	0	0	13:55	—	—	75	90
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	3	3	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	22:44	—	—	61	30
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	1	2	15:52	—	—	42	29
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	19:51	—	—	39	46
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.00	1	0	17	11:32	—	—	39	14
Mark Barberio D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	0	0	0	13:45	—	—	78	52
Anton Lindholm D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	1	0	11:14	—	—	73	29
J.T. Compher L	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	0	0	0	21:49	—	—	50	20
Samuel Girard D	—	0	0	0	-3	3	0.07	0	1	0	16:30	—	—	61	49
Nail Yakupov R	—	0	1	1	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	11:26	—	—	65	67

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	31	25	6	.806	2.48	57:17

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.