Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado AvalancheOct 24, 2018

FinalWednesday, Oct 24, 2018· Pepsi Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	4	8	12	24
COL	0	0	0	0		COL	11	6	5	22

: TBL 51COL 44
: TBL 1.75COL 1.82
PP goals: TBL 1COL 0
Hits: TBL 19COL 13
Blocks: TBL 8COL 18
PIM: TBL 13COL 11
: TBL 47%COL 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Colorado Avalanche 1–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Colorado Avalanche 1–0 at COL. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Miller) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 3:59 together.

PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Miller) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 3:59 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Miller
Luck
COL scored 0 goals on 1.82 expected goals (44 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 16:49, −3:11 down on his 20:00 season average over 81 games.Kucherov
Usage
Nikita Zadorov (COL) played 13:29, −3:46 down on his 17:15 season average over 69 games.Zadorov
Usage
Sven Andrighetto (COL) played 14:48, +3:47 up on his 11:01 season average over 63 games.Andrighetto
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 15:56, −3:01 down on his 18:57 season average over 78 games.Point
Usage
Ryan Callahan (TBL) played 14:10, +3:05 up on his 11:05 season average over 51 games.Callahan
PP1
COL's PP1 (Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen and Jost) went scoreless in 4:42 of 5v4 time with 8 attempts.Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen Jost

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 95 of 95 attempts · COL 44 · TBL 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 34% of the game, COL 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	COL
	44	31
	1.24	1.18
	1.21	1.15
	4	7
	7	4
	10	10
	−0.043	+0.043
	34%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Palat – Kucherov
9:5440% CF
L2Stamkos – Gourde – Point
9:0353% CF
L3Callahan – Miller – Paquette
8:1350% CF
L4Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
7:1775% CF
D1Stralman – McDonagh
14:4853% CF
D2Girardi – Hedman
12:5354% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
12:4558% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller
3:5990% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
1:39100% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
2:29
PK2FJohnson – Cirelli
1:03
PK1DGirardi – Hedman
3:49
PK2DStralman – McDonagh
2:38

Current TBL line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
13:3350% CF
L2Soderberg – Calvert – Nieto
9:3421% CF
L3Wilson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
7:2036% CF
L4Bourque – Dano – Jost
4:2920% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
13:3055% CF
D2Cole – Barrie
10:1933% CF
D3Nemeth – Zadorov
7:5020% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Jost
4:4289% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Andrighetto – Girard
2:39100% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Bourque
1:42
PK2FCalvert – Nieto
1:18
PK1DJohnson – Cole
3:46
PK2DNemeth – Zadorov
1:21

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

6:24
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Steven Stamkos)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, MillerCOL: Soderberg, Johnson, Cole, Bourque
TBL 1 – 0 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	3	0.28	0	0	0	16:49	—	—	58	75
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:57	—	—	54	21
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	15:01	—	—	53	48
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	4	0.28	2	0	2	17:20	—	—	46	36
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	15:56	—	—	52	49
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	1	5	15:52	—	—	56	29
J.T. Miller C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	14:28	—	—	56	41
Ryan Callahan R	L3	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	14:10	—	—	60	58
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.17	3	0	0	13:43	—	—	56	65
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	4	15:15	—	—	72	61
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	12:15	—	—	74	54
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	10:44	—	—	73	71
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	2	21:10	—	—	56	52
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:40	—	—	55	33
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	3	0.13	1	3	0	22:51	—	—	55	66
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	17:42	—	—	57	55
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	2	0	17:20	—	—	63	38
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	15:49	—	—	64	53

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	22	22	0	.1000	1.82	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	1	0.04	0	1	2	23:10	—	—	47	52
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	2	0.28	0	0	0	22:46	—	—	57	64
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	4	0.34	0	0	0	22:45	—	—	50	58
Carl Soderberg C	L2	1	0.12	0	1	0	17:58	—	—	37	16
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:27	—	—	19	6
Matt Calvert L	L2	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:46	—	—	32	6
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	3	0.29	0	1	0	14:48	—	—	47	67
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	2	0.23	0	2	0	14:08	—	—	38	65
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0.00	0	4	0	12:56	—	—	47	66
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:47	—	—	46	66
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	1	0.14	1	0	0	8:30	—	—	38	56
Marko Dano C	L4	0	0.13	5	0	5	6:36	—	—	29	48
Erik Johnson D	D1	2	0.05	1	0	0	22:35	—	—	57	66
Samuel Girard D	D1	2	0.05	1	0	0	22:18	—	—	48	65
Tyson Barrie D	D2	2	0.09	1	1	2	20:29	—	—	29	20
Ian Cole D	D2	2	0.06	1	6	0	18:12	—	—	43	45
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0.01	1	0	0	14:04	—	—	24	40
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:29	—	—	25	34

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	24	23	1	.958	1.75	58:27

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.