Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado AvalancheFeb 14, 2023

Final / SOTuesday, Feb 14, 2023· Ball Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

home

Colorado AvalancheCOL

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	0	1	2	0	1	4		TBL	15	9	10	1	35
COL	1	1	1	0	0	3		COL	17	16	12	1	46

: TBL 74COL 63
: TBL 3.37COL 3.86
PP goals: TBL 0COL 0
Hits: TBL 31COL 31
Blocks: TBL 11COL 19
PIM: TBL 9COL 13
: TBL 54%COL 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Colorado Avalanche 4–3 (SO)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Colorado Avalanche 4–3 in a shootout at COL. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 46 shots and stopped 43 (.935), +15 against a season average of 31.3; the win.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 22:48.MacKinnon
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 46 shots and stopped 43 (.935), +15 against a season average of 31.3; the win.Vasilevskiy
Usage
Denis Malgin (COL) played 5:24, −5:36 down on his 11:00 season average over 64 games.Malgin
Goalie
Alexandar Georgiev (COL) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +4 against a season average of 30.7; the overtime loss.Georgiev
Usage
Steven Stamkos (TBL) played 23:43, +4:45 up on his 18:58 season average over 80 games.Stamkos
Usage
Kurtis MacDermid (COL) played 14:51, +6:40 up on his 8:11 season average over 43 games.MacDermid
Usage
Victor Hedman (TBL) played 27:12, +3:32 up on his 23:40 season average over 75 games.Hedman
Usage
Anthony Cirelli (TBL) played 19:39, +3:09 up on his 16:30 season average over 57 games.Cirelli

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 137 of 137 attempts · COL 63 · TBL 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 28% of the game, COL 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	COL
	72	58
	3.19	3.57
	3.05	3.45
	19	8
	6	5
	10	11
	+0.010	−0.010
	28%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
9:3229% CF
L2Kucherov – Point – Hagel
7:5568% CF
L3Maroon – Paul – Colton
5:1375% CF
L4Perry – Namestnikov – Bellemare
3:3329% CF
D1Cole – Foote
12:1050% CF
D2Cernak – Sergachev
12:0967% CF
D3Bogosian – Hedman
11:5256% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Hagel
5:1967% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Paul – Sergachev – Colton
2:0350% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:58
PK2FNamestnikov – Bellemare
0:52
PK1DCole – Cernak
1:02
PK2DBogosian – Hedman
0:59

Current TBL line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin
9:0950% CF
L2Compher – Rantanen – Rodrigues
8:3233% CF
L3Cogliano – O'Connor – Newhook
6:5341% CF
L4Nieto – Malgin – Meyers
3:3660% CF
D1Toews – Girard
11:1536% CF
D2Englund – Byram
8:3544% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Toews – Rantanen
2:26100% CF
PP2Rodrigues – Malgin – Girard – Byram – Newhook
1:00
PK1FNieto – Compher
1:05
PK2FCogliano – O'Connor
0:26
PK1DToews – Girard
3:53

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:50
COLArtturi Lehkonen (Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, HagelCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Girard
TBL 0 – 1 COL

2nd period

6:21
COLNathan MacKinnon (Bowen Byram)tip-in0.53 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, CernakCOL: MacKinnon, Englund, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Byram
TBL 0 – 2 COL
13:09
TBLNikita Kucherov (Brayden Point)tip-in0.03 xG
TBL: Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, HagelCOL: Compher, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard
TBL 1 – 2 COL

3rd period

0:26
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Steven Stamkos, Victor Hedman)snap0.12 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, Paul, CirelliCOL: Englund, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Byram, Newhook
TBL 2 – 2 COL
2:03
COLDenis Malginwrist0.14 xG
TBL: Perry, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, FooteCOL: Nieto, Englund, Malgin, Byram, Meyers
TBL 2 – 3 COL
4:10
TBLVladislav Namestnikov (Corey Perry)backhand0.12 xG
TBL: Perry, Cole, Namestnikov, Colton, FooteCOL: Cogliano, MacDermid, Compher, Rantanen, Byram
TBL 3 – 3 COL

Decided in the shootout: TBL 4 – 3 COL.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.18	2	0	0	23:43	—	—	38	24
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	1	0	0	19:39	—	—	44	24
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	0	7	17:41	—	—	38	12
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.32	2	1	0	20:52	—	—	54	39
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.27	1	0	0	19:37	—	—	51	37
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	1	0	0	18:39	—	—	69	68
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.27	3	0	0	15:31	—	—	77	88
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.59	3	0	0	14:38	—	—	70	71
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	2	0	0	11:19	—	—	71	73
Corey Perry R	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.19	1	0	0	12:21	—	—	45	52
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	2	0	0	10:11	—	—	31	39
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:11	—	—	54	41
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	0	2	17:46	—	—	47	46
Cal Foote D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	1	0	14:06	—	—	44	46
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	3	3	0	25:45	—	—	62	47
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.07	3	0	0	16:32	—	—	65	37
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.11	1	3	0	27:12	—	—	50	40
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.02	2	2	0	16:37	—	—	62	68

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	46	43	3	.935	3.86	64:40

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	1	2	+2	7	0.79	1	0	0	22:48	—	—	44	57
Valeri Nichushkin R	L1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.52	0	0	0	20:20	—	—	50	69
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.45	4	0	2	18:08	—	—	43	57
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	0	0	0	-2	5	0.49	1	1	0	23:07	—	—	41	49
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.32	1	0	7	20:03	—	—	45	58
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.35	1	0	2	18:37	—	—	49	63
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	2	15:08	—	—	35	27
Alex Newhook C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	1	2	0	13:34	—	—	42	45
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	1	0	12:44	—	—	44	33
Matt Nieto L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	2	0	10:17	—	—	37	37
Denis Malgin C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	5:24	—	—	60	58
Ben Meyers C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:52	—	—	62	52
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	3	4	0	30:04	—	—	34	47
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	5	4	0	24:37	—	—	39	46
Bowen Byram D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	4	2	0	24:21	—	—	44	62
Andreas Englund D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	6	0	0	14:49	—	—	46	56
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	3	0	14:51	—	—	57	49
Brad Hunt D	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	13:16	—	—	57	48

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alexandar Georgiev(start)	O	35	32	3	.914	3.37	65:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.