Tampa Bay Lightning vs. St. Louis BluesDec 12, 2017

FinalTuesday, Dec 12, 2017· Scottrade Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	0	2	3		TBL	6	12	7	25
STL	0	0	0	0		STL	6	12	14	32

: TBL 61STL 57
: TBL 3.69STL 2.60
PP goals: TBL 0STL 0
Hits: TBL 19STL 24
Blocks: TBL 9STL 24
PIM: TBL 4STL 8
: TBL 37%STL 63%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat St. Louis Blues 3–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat St. Louis Blues 3–0 at STL. Tyler Johnson (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. STL scored 0 goals on 2.60 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:43.Point
Points
Tyler Johnson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:14.Johnson
Luck
STL scored 0 goals on 2.60 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) played 21:30, +6:13 up on his 15:17 season average over 78 games.Sergachev
New line
New look for TBL: Kunitz–Brown–Paquette skated 7:00 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kunitz Brown Paquette
Usage
Colton Parayko (STL) played 27:44, +5:11 up on his 22:33 season average over 81 games.Parayko
Usage
Anton Stralman (TBL) played 24:49, +3:22 up on his 21:27 season average over 79 games.Stralman
Usage
Jordan Schmaltz (STL) played 14:13, +3:31 up on his 10:42 season average over 12 games.Schmaltz

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)STL attacks right (top on phones) →

STL
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · STL 57 · TBL 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

STL
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

STL pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 31% of the game, STL 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

STL

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	STL
	52	58
	2.50	2.45
	2.41	2.35
	13	7
	0	6
	6	13
	−0.073	+0.073
	31%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
12:5143% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Point
11:1355% CF
L3Killorn – Conacher – Gourde
8:3214% CF
L4Kunitz – Brown – Paquette
7:0067% CF
D1Stralman – Sergachev
16:2733% CF
D2Hedman – Dotchin
12:5954% CF
D3Girardi – Koekkoek
9:0722% CF

PP1Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
2:52100% CF
PP2Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
2:50100% CF
PK1FGourde – Point
1:18
PK2FKillorn – Johnson
0:28
PK1DStralman – Koekkoek
1:09
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
0:37

Current TBL line combinations →

St. Louis Blues

L1Stastny – Sobotka – Tarasenko
11:1570% CF
L2Steen – Schenn – Jaskin
8:1163% CF
L3Berglund – Paajarvi – Barbashev
6:3843% CF
L4Upshall – Brodziak – Sundqvist
4:5875% CF
D1Edmundson – Parayko
17:0859% CF
D2Schmaltz – Dunn
12:4264% CF
D3Gunnarsson – Bortuzzo
12:0829% CF

PP1Steen – Schenn – Tarasenko – Jaskin – Dunn
1:1450% CF
PP2Stastny – Sobotka – Berglund – Tarasenko – Parayko
0:42100% CF
PK1FUpshall – Paajarvi
1:17
PK2FBrodziak – Sobotka
1:16
PK1DEdmundson – Parayko
3:54
PK2DGunnarsson – Bortuzzo
1:49

Current STL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:15
TBLBrayden Point (Tyler Johnson, Alex Killorn)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Girardi, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, PointSTL: Berglund, Jaskin, Edmundson, Parayko, Barbashev
TBL 1 – 0 STL

3rd period

13:37
TBLNikita Kucherov (Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Stralman, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov, SergachevSTL: Upshall, Steen, Schenn, Edmundson, Parayko
TBL 2 – 0 STL
19:38
TBLTyler JohnsonEN (Brayden Point, Victor Hedman)wrist0.95 xG
TBL: Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, PointSTL: Steen, Stastny, Sobotka, Schenn, Tarasenko, Parayko
TBL 3 – 0 STL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	20:46	—	—	40	34
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.34	2	0	0	19:55	—	—	46	43
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	0	0	0	19:50	—	—	34	32
Tyler Johnson C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	1.00	0	0	0	18:14	—	—	52	58
Brayden Point C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.55	0	0	2	17:43	—	—	58	64
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.32	1	1	0	16:00	—	—	54	66
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:07	—	—	11	11
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.06	1	0	0	15:07	—	—	25	21
Cory Conacher C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:25	—	—	18	12
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	2	0	2	10:49	—	—	73	80
Chris Kunitz L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	65	76
JT Brown R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.54	1	0	0	8:13	—	—	61	66
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	2	1	0	24:49	—	—	40	37
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.22	0	2	0	21:30	—	—	37	20
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.07	1	1	0	23:53	—	—	59	71
Jake Dotchin D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	6	0	0	18:32	—	—	61	73
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	3	0	14:36	—	—	50	61
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:36	—	—	30	43

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	32	32	0	.1000	2.60	60:00

St. Louis Blues

STL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L1	-1	7	0.71	1	0	0	22:12	—	—	66	53
Vladimir Sobotka C	L1	-1	2	0.13	3	1	0	19:33	—	—	64	52
Paul Stastny C	L1	-1	2	0.16	0	0	0	18:49	—	—	70	55
Alexander Steen L	L2	-2	1	0.17	1	1	2	19:56	—	—	44	64
Brayden Schenn C	L2	-2	3	0.22	3	0	0	18:05	—	—	55	69
Dmitrij Jaskin R	L2	-1	8	0.69	1	2	0	11:45	—	—	56	79
Patrik Berglund C	L3	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	13:39	—	—	47	9
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	0	0	0.01	3	1	0	10:34	—	—	50	5
Ivan Barbashev L	L3	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:10	—	—	46	7
Kyle Brodziak C	L4	0	1	0.16	1	2	2	12:49	—	—	33	41
Scottie Upshall R	L4	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	12:09	—	—	45	44
Oskar Sundqvist C	L4	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	8:12	—	—	33	77
Colton Parayko D	D1	-3	2	0.14	1	3	0	27:44	—	—	59	46
Joel Edmundson D	D1	-2	2	0.04	1	4	0	22:54	—	—	60	47
Vince Dunn D	D2	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	16:53	—	—	71	83
Jordan Schmaltz D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:13	—	—	67	78
Carl Gunnarsson D	D3	0	0	0.07	1	4	0	17:16	—	—	26	31
Robert Bortuzzo D	D3	0	1	0.02	1	4	0	16:56	—	—	39	53

STL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jake Allen(start)	L	24	22	2	.917	2.74	58:11

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.