Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington CapitalsDec 21, 2019

FinalSaturday, Dec 21, 2019· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	6	7	14	27
WSH	0	1	2	3		WSH	13	16	6	35

: TBL 65WSH 65
: TBL 3.14WSH 2.94
PP goals: TBL 0WSH 0
Hits: TBL 35WSH 23
Blocks: TBL 18WSH 21
PIM: TBL 4WSH 14
: TBL 55%WSH 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–1

Washington Capitals beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–1 at home. Dmitry Orlov (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Alex Killorn (TBL) played 26:57, +9:10 up on his 17:47 season average over 67 games.

Points
Dmitry Orlov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:08.Orlov
Usage
Alex Killorn (TBL) played 26:57, +9:10 up on his 17:47 season average over 67 games.Killorn
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 24:38, +5:51 up on his 18:47 season average over 67 games.Kucherov
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 3.14 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 22:06, +3:15 up on his 18:51 season average over 65 games.Point
Usage
Luke Schenn (TBL) played 7:03, −5:38 down on his 12:41 season average over 24 games.Schenn
Usage
Ondrej Palat (TBL) played 13:11, −3:03 down on his 16:14 season average over 68 games.Palat
Usage
Steven Stamkos (TBL) played 23:07, +4:47 up on his 18:20 season average over 56 games.Stamkos

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · WSH 65 · TBL 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 33% of the game, WSH 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	WSH
	44	58
	1.94	1.71
	1.83	1.66
	6	7
	1	2
	18	17
	+0.052	−0.052
	33%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
11:0750% CF
L2Palat – Kucherov – Point
9:5853% CF
L3Maroon – Gourde – Paquette
8:0018% CF
D1Shattenkirk – Sergachev
10:4172% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
7:5426% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
7:1348% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
7:4892% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Johnson – Palat – Cirelli – Sergachev
1:1933% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
3:46
PK2FGourde – Paquette
2:02
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:43
PK2DHedman – Rutta
1:01

Current TBL line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson
10:1568% CF
L2Oshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana
9:5645% CF
L3Hagelin – Eller – Panik
7:3165% CF
L4Dowd – Leipsic – Hathaway
6:3965% CF
D1Carlson – Kempny
14:1453% CF
D2Orlov – Jensen
13:3553% CF
D3Gudas – Siegenthaler
8:3967% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Carlson – Kuznetsov
4:0591% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Orlov – Wilson – Vrana
1:3450% CF
PK1FHagelin – Eller
3:48
PK2FDowd – Wilson
1:23
PK1DGudas – Siegenthaler
2:46
PK2DOrlov – Jensen
1:02

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

4:40
WSHRadko Gudas (Lars Eller, Jonas Siegenthaler)slap0.03 xG
TBL: Maroon, McDonagh, Schenn, Gourde, PaquetteWSH: Hagelin, Eller, Panik, Gudas, Siegenthaler
TBL 0 – 1 WSH

3rd period

10:00
TBLNikita Kucherov (Ondrej Palat, Brayden Point)wrist0.24 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Palat, Kucherov, Point, SergachevWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Orlov, Jensen, Wilson
TBL 1 – 1 WSH
13:57
WSHDmitry Orlov (Jakub Vrana, Evgeny Kuznetsov)slap0.02 xG
TBL: Maroon, McDonagh, Gourde, Paquette, CernakWSH: Oshie, Orlov, Gudas, Kuznetsov, Vrana
TBL 1 – 2 WSH
17:37
WSHNic DowdEN (Tom Wilson, Dmitry Orlov)wrist0.51 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, PointWSH: Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Wilson
TBL 1 – 3 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.39	4	0	0	26:57	—	—	44	43
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.27	2	3	0	23:07	—	—	45	47
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.49	2	2	0	19:33	—	—	52	60
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.66	0	0	0	24:38	—	—	59	83
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.40	0	0	0	22:06	—	—	43	67
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.10	4	1	0	13:11	—	—	56	85
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	2	1	0	15:22	—	—	31	19
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:09	—	—	25	31
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	3	1	0	11:03	—	—	32	30
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	0	2	0	17:04	—	—	63	89
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	2	2	0	15:00	—	—	61	77
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	3	0	18:03	—	—	29	21
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	1	0	15:41	—	—	27	33
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.26	3	1	0	24:08	—	—	44	52
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	11:17	—	—	46	61
Tyler Johnson C	—	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	1	0	0	13:48	—	—	53	33
Mitchell Stephens C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	0	2	7:33	—	—	43	26
Luke Schenn D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	7:03	—	—	22	22

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	34	32	2	.941	2.43	57:17

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tom Wilson R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	2	2	2	18:12	—	—	65	46
Alex Ovechkin L	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.35	2	0	2	17:41	—	—	64	48
Nicklas Backstrom C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	1	0	17:36	—	—	62	46
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.19	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	46	32
T.J. Oshie R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	2	1	0	16:31	—	—	44	32
Jakub Vrana L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	0	1	0	14:21	—	—	48	25
Lars Eller C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.37	1	2	2	17:14	—	—	64	59
Carl Hagelin L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.19	0	0	0	15:29	—	—	55	45
Richard Panik R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:41	—	—	61	59
Nic Dowd C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.57	2	1	0	11:02	—	—	58	60
Garnet Hathaway R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	3	1	2	10:26	—	—	55	58
Brendan Leipsic L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:05	—	—	65	81
John Carlson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	3	2	25:21	—	—	53	47
Michal Kempny D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	2	0	16:23	—	—	54	51
Dmitry Orlov D	D2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.02	1	0	0	21:08	—	—	60	34
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	2	2	18:46	—	—	48	31
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	3	2	16:50	—	—	57	63
Radko Gudas D	D3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.10	2	2	0	16:03	—	—	71	81

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Braden Holtby(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	3.14	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.