Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington CapitalsOct 16, 2021

Final / OTSaturday, Oct 16, 2021· Capital One Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

1

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	0	0	1	1	2		TBL	4	10	8	2	24
WSH	0	1	0	0	1		WSH	10	8	12	3	33

: TBL 56WSH 57
: TBL 2.39WSH 2.24
PP goals: TBL 0WSH 0
Hits: TBL 18WSH 17
Blocks: TBL 15WSH 16
PIM: TBL 8WSH 2
: TBL 52%WSH 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Washington Capitals 2–1 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Washington Capitals 2–1 in overtime at WSH. Steven Stamkos (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Erik Cernak (TBL) played 25:22, +6:20 up on his 19:02 season average over 54 games.

Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:54.Stamkos
Usage
Erik Cernak (TBL) played 25:22, +6:20 up on his 19:02 season average over 54 games.Cernak
Usage
Jan Rutta (TBL) played 8:27, −8:03 down on his 16:30 season average over 75 games.Rutta
Usage
Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) played 27:17, +4:53 up on his 22:24 season average over 77 games.Sergachev
New line
New look for TBL: Bellemare–Joseph–Katchouk skated 5:27 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bellemare Joseph Katchouk
Usage
Lars Eller (WSH) played 21:52, +5:50 up on his 16:02 season average over 71 games.Eller
Usage
Alex Ovechkin (WSH) played 23:43, +3:11 up on his 20:32 season average over 76 games.Ovechkin
Usage
Andrej Sustr (TBL) played 10:27, −4:23 down on his 14:50 season average over 37 games.Sustr

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · WSH 57 · TBL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 34% of the game, WSH 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	WSH
	61	50
	2.48	1.50
	2.40	1.48
	16	1
	6	5
	17	7
	+0.005	−0.005
	34%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
13:0744% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
12:2180% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Colton
11:4039% CF
L4Bellemare – Joseph – Katchouk
5:2767% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
12:1056% CF
D2Sustr – Sergachev
6:5344% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
5:3450% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
1:26100% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Palat – Cirelli – Sergachev
0:34
PK1FBellemare – Joseph
3:04
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
2:01
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:51
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:48

Current TBL line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Hagelin – Dowd – Hathaway
11:4276% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
11:4046% CF
L3Eller – Mantha – Sprong
7:1340% CF
L4Oshie – Sheary – Lapierre
4:4925% CF
D1Orlov – Jensen
16:5556% CF
D2Carlson – Fehérváry
15:3824% CF
D3Schultz – van Riemsdyk
10:3160% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Carlson – Kuznetsov – Mantha
3:24100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Eller – Schultz – Wilson – Lapierre
2:08100% CF
PK1FEller – Wilson
0:50
PK2FKuznetsov – Sheary
0:30
PK1DJensen – van Riemsdyk
1:14
PK2DCarlson – Fehérváry
0:43

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

18:51
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Trevor van Riemsdyk, Tom Wilson)snap0.15 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Cernak, CirelliWSH: Ovechkin, Schultz, Dowd, Wilson, van Riemsdyk
TBL 0 – 1 WSH

3rd period

4:23
TBLMikhail Sergachev (Steven Stamkos, Erik Cernak)slap0.02 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli, SergachevWSH: Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Sheary
TBL 1 – 1 WSH

OT period

4:45
TBLSteven Stamkos (Pierre-Edouard Bellemare)snap0.10 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, BellemareWSH: Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov
TBL 2 – 1 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	1	0	0	21:10	—	—	47	64
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	1	1	2	18:31	—	—	53	84
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	1	0	0	17:26	—	—	41	69
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	21:00	—	—	70	66
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	17:46	—	—	71	66
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.48	1	0	0	16:54	—	—	69	68
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	5	0	0	14:40	—	—	45	50
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.31	0	1	0	13:32	—	—	43	52
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	1	2	12:50	—	—	39	41
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.14	0	0	0	11:41	—	—	73	71
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	10:56	—	—	69	51
Boris Katchouk L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:22	—	—	64	46
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.09	3	3	0	25:22	—	—	60	60
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	25:07	—	—	54	46
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	2	2	2	27:17	—	—	54	67
Andrej Sustr D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	10:27	—	—	44	69
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	2	0	29:15	—	—	61	70
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	8:27	—	—	42	52

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	2.24	64:45

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nic Dowd C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	0	0	14:33	—	—	72	70
Carl Hagelin L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	0	2	13:28	—	—	68	62
Garnet Hathaway R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	3	0	0	13:08	—	—	77	62
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	1	0	1	0	8	0.69	2	0	0	23:43	—	—	47	41
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.54	0	0	0	21:44	—	—	50	44
Tom Wilson R	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	4	1	0	18:08	—	—	43	47
Lars Eller C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	1	2	0	21:52	—	—	29	21
Anthony Mantha R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	1	0	14:37	—	—	33	17
Daniel Sprong R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:57	—	—	33	11
T.J. Oshie R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.31	1	0	0	20:50	—	—	27	25
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:13	—	—	29	21
Hendrix Lapierre C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:51	—	—	17	8
Dmitry Orlov D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	2	0	23:02	—	—	54	49
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	2	2	0	20:22	—	—	53	36
John Carlson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	1	0	26:07	—	—	30	17
Martin Fehérváry D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	4	0	18:04	—	—	30	30
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	0	2	0	17:21	—	—	48	47
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:43	—	—	60	51

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Vitek Vanecek(start)	O	24	22	2	.917	2.39	64:45

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.