Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington CapitalsNov 11, 2022

FinalFriday, Nov 11, 2022· Capital One Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

1

@

home

Washington CapitalsWSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	9	11	9	29
WSH	1	2	2	5		WSH	7	11	6	24

: TBL 66WSH 65
: TBL 2.75WSH 2.71
PP goals: TBL 0WSH 0
Hits: TBL 15WSH 13
Blocks: TBL 25WSH 22
PIM: TBL 41WSH 48
: TBL 62%WSH 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals rout Tampa Bay Lightning 5–1

Washington Capitals beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–1 at home. Sonny Milano (WSH) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Cal Foote (TBL) played 5:02, −10:18 down on his 15:20 season average over 49 games.

Points
Sonny Milano had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 14:17.Milano
Points
Anthony Mantha had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:27.Mantha
Usage
Cal Foote (TBL) played 5:02, −10:18 down on his 15:20 season average over 49 games.Foote
Luck
WSH scored 5 goals on 2.71 expected goals (65 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Nicolas Aube-Kubel (WSH) played 4:28, −7:01 down on his 11:29 season average over 52 games.Aube-Kubel
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 2.75 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Nick Perbix (TBL) played 19:19, +3:59 up on his 15:20 season average over 68 games.Perbix
Usage
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare (TBL) played 14:24, +3:10 up on his 11:14 season average over 72 games.Bellemare

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 131 of 131 attempts · WSH 65 · TBL 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, WSH 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	WSH
	49	52
	1.82	2.71
	1.64	2.60
	8	12
	11	2
	10	13
	+0.041	−0.041
	27%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
8:1525% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Paul
5:5955% CF
L3Namestnikov – Colton – Koepke
4:1654% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
2:2780% CF
D1Sergachev – Perbix
8:4755% CF
D2Hedman – Cernak
6:3358% CF
D3Cole – Foote
3:4033% CF

PP1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev – Hagel
5:07100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Hedman – Namestnikov – Colton
2:05100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
5:02
PK2FPaul – Hagel
1:55
PK1DCole – Cernak
6:19
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
4:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Dowd – Hathaway – Protas
8:0658% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Sheary
4:2355% CF
L3Eller – Mantha – Aube-Kubel
3:5671% CF
L4Johansson – Milano – Strome
3:3314% CF
D1Jensen – Fehérváry
14:1252% CF
D2Carlson – Gustafsson
9:3865% CF
D3Irwin – van Riemsdyk
7:2553% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Carlson – Johansson – Kuznetsov – Strome
7:43100% CF
PP2Ovechkin – Gustafsson – Mantha – Sheary – Milano
2:0983% CF
PK1FEller – Sheary
2:51
PK2FJohansson – Protas
1:19
PK1DJensen – van Riemsdyk
3:07
PK2DCarlson – Fehérváry
2:45

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:32
WSHAnthony Mantha (Lars Eller)snap0.16 xG
TBL: Namestnikov, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix, KoepkeWSH: Eller, Irwin, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Aube-Kubel
TBL 0 – 1 WSH

2nd period

7:03
WSHSonny Milano (John Carlson)wrist0.22 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Cernak, Sergachev, HagelWSH: Eller, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Milano
TBL 0 – 2 WSH
14:25
WSHAliaksei Protas (Nick Jensen, Martin Fehérváry)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, PerbixWSH: Eller, Jensen, Dowd, Fehérváry, Protas
TBL 0 – 3 WSH

3rd period

4:53
WSHConor Sheary (Anthony Mantha, Sonny Milano)snap0.26 xG
TBL: Cole, Hedman, Namestnikov, Colton, KoepkeWSH: Gustafsson, Mantha, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Milano
TBL 0 – 4 WSH
12:09
TBLNick Perbix (Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Ian Cole)slap0.04 xG
TBL: Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, Perbix, KoepkeWSH: Eller, Irwin, Gustafsson, Mantha, Sheary
TBL 1 – 4 WSH
17:45
WSHSonny Milano (Evgeny Kuznetsov, Alex Ovechkin)wrist0.18 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Hedman, KucherovWSH: Ovechkin, Irwin, Kuznetsov, van Riemsdyk, Milano
TBL 1 – 5 WSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	0	1	0	20:27	—	—	30	19
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.48	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	36	32
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.36	0	2	0	18:53	—	—	36	30
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	18:09	—	—	53	28
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.45	1	0	2	15:39	—	—	44	20
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	0	14:54	—	—	47	47
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	5	14:32	—	—	39	26
Cole Koepke L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.34	0	1	0	11:37	—	—	65	64
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.23	0	1	8	10:34	—	—	42	4
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	1	2	0	14:24	—	—	82	83
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	9	11:42	—	—	55	62
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.30	0	0	15	7:01	—	—	71	87
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.13	1	4	0	22:55	—	—	47	38
Nick Perbix D	D1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.06	2	3	2	19:19	—	—	52	51
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.13	2	2	0	24:53	—	—	41	21
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	3	0	19:25	—	—	55	41
Ian Cole D	D3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.06	0	5	0	19:34	—	—	52	47
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	5:02	—	—	50	37

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	24	19	5	.792	2.71	60:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nic Dowd C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.22	3	0	2	17:48	—	—	60	86
Aliaksei Protas L	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	13:31	—	—	68	89
Garnet Hathaway R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	1	4	17	13:01	—	—	50	74
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.19	0	0	0	22:49	—	—	58	50
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	1	1	0	18:49	—	—	67	77
Conor Sheary L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.61	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	40	54
Lars Eller C	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.01	1	1	0	14:01	—	—	52	52
Anthony Mantha R	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.29	0	2	5	13:27	—	—	41	46
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	0	15	4:28	—	—	71	52
Dylan Strome C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	0	0	16:31	—	—	29	31
Marcus Johansson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:23	—	—	40	65
Sonny Milano L	L4	2	1	3	+3	4	0.65	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	42	71
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	3	2	19:51	—	—	53	60
Martin Fehérváry D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	3	0	19:13	—	—	50	58
John Carlson D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.12	3	2	0	26:12	—	—	68	69
Erik Gustafsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	0	5	16:23	—	—	47	51
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	+3	1	0.03	0	5	2	17:07	—	—	48	83
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	2	0	0	10:03	—	—	41	47

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Darcy Kuemper(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.75	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.