Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New Jersey DevilsMar 14, 2023

FinalTuesday, Mar 14, 2023· Prudential Center

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	3	0	4		TBL	12	7	11	30
NJD	1	0	0	1		NJD	10	7	6	23

: TBL 56NJD 59
: TBL 2.38NJD 2.11
PP goals: TBL 0NJD 0
Hits: TBL 12NJD 13
Blocks: TBL 19NJD 17
PIM: TBL 4NJD 4
: TBL 40%NJD 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat New Jersey Devils 4–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat New Jersey Devils 4–1 at NJD. Brandon Hagel (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for TBL: Killorn–Paul–Cirelli skated 11:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Brandon Hagel had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 20:22.Hagel
New line
New look for TBL: Killorn–Paul–Cirelli skated 11:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Killorn Paul Cirelli
New line
New look for TBL: Maroon–Eyssimont–Jeannot skated 9:03 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (31.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Maroon Eyssimont Jeannot
Usage
Miles Wood (NJD) played 5:07, −7:05 down on his 12:12 season average over 75 games.Wood
Luck
TBL scored 4 goals on 2.38 expected goals (56 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 16:46, −3:25 down on his 20:11 season average over 81 games.Kucherov
Usage
John Marino (NJD) played 16:00, −5:09 down on his 21:09 season average over 63 games.Marino
Usage
Dawson Mercer (NJD) played 20:24, +3:53 up on his 16:31 season average over 81 games.Mercer

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NJD attacks right (top on phones) →

NJD
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · NJD 59 · TBL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NJD
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NJD pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 29% of the game, NJD 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NJD

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NJD
	58	62
	2.06	2.28
	2.04	2.17
	8	12
	2	5
	17	16
	−0.045	+0.045
	29%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Paul – Cirelli
11:1843% CF
L2Kucherov – Point – Hagel
10:2873% CF
L3Maroon – Eyssimont – Jeannot
9:0332% CF
L4Perry – Bellemare – Colton
6:130% CF
D1Cole – Cernak
12:3443% CF
D2Raddysh – Sergachev
10:5656% CF
D3Hedman – Perbix
10:3329% CF

PP1Killorn – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev – Hagel
3:0167% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Hedman – Paul – Colton
0:49100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
2:02
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:48
PK1DCole – Cernak
1:21
PK2DSergachev – Perbix
0:29

Current TBL line combinations →

New Jersey Devils

L1Meier – Bratt – Hughes
10:3354% CF
L2Haula – Palat – Boqvist
10:2064% CF
L3Tatar – Hischier – Mercer
9:5550% CF
L4Wood – Lazar – McLeod
3:33100% CF
D1Hamilton – Siegenthaler
16:5151% CF
D2Graves – Marino
12:2340% CF
D3Smith – Severson
12:0473% CF

PP1Hamilton – Meier – Bratt – Hischier – Hughes
2:1350% CF
PP2Tatar – Haula – Palat – Severson – Mercer
1:45100% CF
PK1FHaula – Mercer
1:05
PK2FLazar – Hischier
0:24
PK1DSmith – Graves
1:12
PK2DSiegenthaler – Marino
0:54

Current NJD line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:55
NJDDamon Severson (Timo Meier, Jack Hughes)snap0.23 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Bellemare, Cernak, ColtonNJD: Smith, Severson, Meier, Bratt, Hughes
TBL 0 – 1 NJD
16:17
TBLAnthony CirelliSH (Brandon Hagel, Erik Cernak)backhand0.23 xG
TBL: Hedman, Cirelli, Sergachev, HagelNJD: Hamilton, Meier, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes
TBL 1 – 1 NJD

2nd period

8:52
TBLBrandon Hagel (Mikhail Sergachev)snap0.10 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev, HagelNJD: Tatar, Graves, Marino, Hischier, Mercer
TBL 2 – 1 NJD
13:55
TBLAlex Killorn (Brandon Hagel)snap0.27 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Point, Hagel, PerbixNJD: Hamilton, Graves, Meier, Bratt, Hughes
TBL 3 – 1 NJD
19:59
TBLNikita Kucherov (Brayden Point, Ian Cole)backhand0.08 xG
TBL: Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, HagelNJD: Palat, Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Bratt, Hughes
TBL 4 – 1 NJD

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Killorn L	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.33	2	1	0	18:43	—	—	56	55
Nick Paul L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	53	52
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.34	0	1	0	15:22	—	—	39	44
Brandon Hagel L	L2	1	2	3	+4	2	0.28	0	1	0	20:22	—	—	69	86
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.19	0	1	0	19:06	—	—	68	79
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.12	1	0	0	16:46	—	—	69	68
Michael Eyssimont C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	3	1	0	13:48	—	—	50	37
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:16	—	—	32	24
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	1	0	11:54	—	—	32	17
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:32	—	—	15	32
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:47	—	—	13	5
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	0	0	0	10:34	—	—	29	62
Ian Cole D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	0	0	2	19:04	—	—	41	25
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	0	3	0	18:33	—	—	48	26
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	+2	3	0.14	1	2	0	24:11	—	—	59	70
Darren Raddysh D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	4	0	16:32	—	—	55	72
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	+2	5	0.15	1	2	2	24:38	—	—	50	52
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:47	—	—	32	36

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	23	22	1	.957	2.11	60:00

New Jersey Devils

NJD skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Hughes C	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.15	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	51	47
Timo Meier R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.11	1	1	0	17:25	—	—	53	58
Jesper Bratt L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.24	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	55	57
Erik Haula L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	18:26	—	—	63	67
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	16:02	—	—	46	71
Jesper Boqvist C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	0	1	0	14:01	—	—	55	78
Dawson Mercer C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	1	0	20:24	—	—	45	41
Nico Hischier C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.26	0	3	0	19:01	—	—	38	47
Tomas Tatar L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	1	0	16:16	—	—	50	40
Curtis Lazar C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	10:07	—	—	57	20
Michael McLeod C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	8:35	—	—	55	20
Miles Wood L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	5:07	—	—	89	100
Jonas Siegenthaler D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	4	0	22:09	—	—	50	65
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.28	0	0	0	20:24	—	—	46	44
Ryan Graves D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	2	18:46	—	—	38	11
John Marino D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	2	2	16:00	—	—	36	20
Damon Severson D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.28	1	1	0	22:45	—	—	70	67
Brendan Smith D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	16:24	—	—	71	75

NJD goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Vitek Vanecek(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	2.38	59:55

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.