Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Anaheim DucksJan 31, 2020

FinalFriday, Jan 31, 2020· Honda Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

home

Anaheim DucksANA

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	1	1	4		TBL	10	8	4	22
ANA	2	0	1	3		ANA	11	6	9	26

: TBL 48ANA 69
: TBL 2.35ANA 3.69
PP goals: TBL 0ANA 0
Hits: TBL 26ANA 17
Blocks: TBL 19ANA 15
PIM: TBL 6ANA 6
: TBL 45%ANA 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Anaheim Ducks 4–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Anaheim Ducks 4–3 at ANA. Rickard Rakell (ANA) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TBL scored 4 goals on 2.35 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Anthony Cirelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:18.Cirelli
Points
Michael Del Zotto had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:41.Del Zotto
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:14.Kucherov
Points
Rickard Rakell had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:22.Rakell
Points
Ryan Getzlaf had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:34.Getzlaf
Luck
TBL scored 4 goals on 2.35 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Derek Grant (ANA) played 9:53, −4:06 down on his 13:59 season average over 55 games.Grant
Usage
Erik Gudbranson (ANA) played 23:14, +3:57 up on his 19:17 season average over 50 games.Gudbranson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)ANA attacks right (top on phones) →

ANA
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · ANA 69 · TBL 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

ANA
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

ANA pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, ANA 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

ANA

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	ANA
	48	62
	2.36	3.23
	2.25	3.04
	10	14
	2	6
	18	17
	−0.047	+0.047
	27%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
13:0761% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Cirelli
9:5326% CF
L3Killorn – Maroon – Paquette
9:3150% CF
L4Gourde – Verhaeghe – Stephens
7:3731% CF
D1Hedman – Rutta
13:3541% CF
D2Shattenkirk – Sergachev
13:0535% CF
D3McDonagh – Cernak
12:2044% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:35100% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Maroon – Johnson – Palat – Sergachev
1:030% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
1:49
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:17
PK1DSergachev – Rutta
1:10
PK2DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:02

Current TBL line combinations →

Anaheim Ducks

L1Kase – Steel – Jones
10:1843% CF
L2Getzlaf – Silfverberg – Rakell
8:5244% CF
L3Henrique – Ritchie – Terry
8:2280% CF
L4Grant – Deslauriers – Rowney
6:3569% CF
D1Gudbranson – Lindholm
16:3753% CF
D2Del Zotto – Larsson
14:0956% CF
D3Fowler – Manson
13:5258% CF

PP1Lindholm – Ritchie – Kase – Terry – Steel
2:08100% CF
PP2Getzlaf – Henrique – Silfverberg – Fowler – Rakell
1:2667% CF
PK1FGrant – Rowney
1:37
PK2FGetzlaf – Silfverberg
0:45
PK1DGudbranson – Lindholm
2:20
PK2DFowler – Manson
1:40

Current ANA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:07
TBLOndrej Palat (Anthony Cirelli, Tyler Johnson)wrist0.19 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Johnson, Palat, CirelliANA: Gudbranson, Lindholm, Kase, Steel, Jones
TBL 1 – 0 ANA
8:42
ANARickard Rakell (Michael Del Zotto, Ryan Getzlaf)wrist0.07 xG
TBL: Hedman, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Cernak, StephensANA: Getzlaf, Del Zotto, Silfverberg, Rakell, Larsson
TBL 1 – 1 ANA
14:43
TBLErik Cernak (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov)tip-in0.07 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, CernakANA: Grant, Deslauriers, Fowler, Manson, Rowney
TBL 2 – 1 ANA
18:29
ANAMichael Del Zottowrist0.10 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Stephens, SergachevANA: Del Zotto, Grant, Deslauriers, Rowney, Larsson
TBL 2 – 2 ANA

2nd period

18:58
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Jan Rutta, Patrick Maroon)deflected0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Maroon, Hedman, Cirelli, RuttaANA: Getzlaf, Henrique, Gudbranson, Lindholm, Kase
TBL 3 – 2 ANA

3rd period

10:56
TBLNikita Kucherov (Steven Stamkos)backhand0.11 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, CernakANA: Grant, Fowler, Manson, Kase, Jones
TBL 4 – 2 ANA
19:47
ANATroy Terry (Rickard Rakell, Ryan Getzlaf)tip-in0.10 xG
TBL: Killorn, Maroon, McDonagh, Hedman, PaquetteANA: Getzlaf, Silfverberg, Fowler, Rakell, Lindholm, Terry
TBL 4 – 3 ANA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	+2	1	0.11	1	1	0	19:14	—	—	56	42
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.38	1	1	0	18:15	—	—	58	43
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	1	0	17:50	—	—	61	43
Ondrej Palat L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	0	2	0	16:22	—	—	27	34
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.35	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	30	31
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	0	0	2	14:51	—	—	29	35
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.35	0	0	0	16:00	—	—	50	60
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.33	3	0	0	14:29	—	—	62	69
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	5	2	0	13:18	—	—	52	57
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	4	0	0	11:30	—	—	26	20
Mitchell Stephens C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	0	0	9:51	—	—	32	31
Carter Verhaeghe C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:14	—	—	31	23
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	2	2	23:24	—	—	44	34
Jan Rutta D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	17:38	—	—	40	36
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	3	0	18:41	—	—	33	26
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	2	0	18:39	—	—	46	43
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.09	1	1	0	21:14	—	—	52	64
Erik Cernak D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.13	3	2	2	18:12	—	—	46	51

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	26	23	3	.885	3.69	60:00

Anaheim Ducks

ANA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ondrej Kase R	L1	0	0	0	-3	3	0.31	0	1	0	19:26	—	—	37	28
Max Jones L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	0	0	2	16:39	—	—	37	26
Sam Steel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	15:37	—	—	43	30
Ryan Getzlaf C	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.47	1	1	0	20:34	—	—	41	55
Rickard Rakell R	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.58	3	1	0	18:22	—	—	45	48
Jakob Silfverberg R	L2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.12	1	0	0	16:53	—	—	47	61
Nick Ritchie L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	2	0	0	15:36	—	—	77	83
Adam Henrique C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.41	0	0	0	15:15	—	—	67	65
Troy Terry R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	14:32	—	—	79	78
Carter Rowney C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	2	2	0	10:20	—	—	65	84
Derek Grant C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.20	1	0	2	9:53	—	—	65	74
Nicolas Deslauriers L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	3	2	0	7:16	—	—	69	84
Hampus Lindholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	3	0	25:10	—	—	55	45
Erik Gudbranson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	1	1	0	23:14	—	—	53	43
Michael Del Zotto D	D2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.23	1	3	0	17:41	—	—	57	66
Jacob Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:09	—	—	56	65
Cam Fowler D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	0	2	19:42	—	—	60	61
Josh Manson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	2	0	0	16:58	—	—	58	59

ANA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
John Gibson(start)	L	22	18	4	.818	2.35	56:38

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.