Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 5, 2020

FinalSunday, Jan 5, 2020· PNC Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	1	0	3		TBL	5	17	4	26
CAR	0	0	1	1		CAR	13	5	11	29

: TBL 37CAR 62
: TBL 2.96CAR 3.09
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 0
Hits: TBL 22CAR 17
Blocks: TBL 16CAR 4
PIM: TBL 8CAR 4
: TBL 42%CAR 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 3–1 at CAR. Steven Stamkos (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. CAR scored 1 goal on 3.09 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:34.Stamkos
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) in 16:26.Kucherov
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 3.09 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Joel Edmundson (CAR) played 14:07, −4:24 down on his 18:31 season average over 67 games.Edmundson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · CAR 62 · TBL 37

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 32% of the game, CAR 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	35	49
	2.49	1.98
	2.17	1.90
	17	10
	2	2
	12	26
	−0.046	+0.046
	32%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
11:1918% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Cirelli
10:5765% CF
L3Killorn – Maroon – Paquette
9:5029% CF
L4Gourde – Verhaeghe – Stephens
7:1364% CF
D1Shattenkirk – Sergachev
16:0379% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
14:2027% CF
D3Coburn – Cernak
12:1129% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:5567% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Maroon – Johnson – Palat – Sergachev
0:4250% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:24
PK2FPaquette – Stephens
1:04
PK1DHedman – Rutta
2:22
PK2DCernak – Sergachev
0:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Foegele – Svechnikov
11:0179% CF
L2Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
10:3767% CF
L3Haula – Dzingel – Necas
10:0446% CF
L4Martinook – McGinn – Wallmark
7:2265% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
17:1965% CF
D2Gardiner – Pesce
14:3157% CF
D3Edmundson – Fleury
12:0744% CF

PP1Haula – Hamilton – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
2:3488% CF
PP2Gardiner – Niederreiter – Dzingel – Wallmark – Necas
1:43100% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:12
PK2FFoegele – Wallmark
0:52
PK1DEdmundson – Pesce
0:51
PK2DHamilton – Slavin
0:41

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:36
TBLMitchell Stephens (Carter Verhaeghe, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.13 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Verhaeghe, Stephens, RuttaCAR: Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov
TBL 1 – 0 CAR
4:44
TBLSteven Stamkoswrist0.18 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, CernakCAR: Staal, Hamilton, Slavin, Foegele, Svechnikov
TBL 2 – 0 CAR

2nd period

5:19
TBLBrayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos)backhand0.13 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, SergachevCAR: Staal, Hamilton, Slavin, Foegele, Svechnikov
TBL 3 – 0 CAR

3rd period

11:48
CARAndrei Svechnikov (Jaccob Slavin, Brett Pesce)snap0.11 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, CernakCAR: Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele, Svechnikov
TBL 3 – 1 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.56	1	0	0	16:42	—	—	14	39
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.24	2	0	0	16:34	—	—	15	43
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.14	0	2	0	16:26	—	—	22	61
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.55	0	1	0	18:09	—	—	52	64
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	3	0	16:05	—	—	56	68
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	0	0	0	14:00	—	—	65	74
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:02	—	—	22	16
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:41	—	—	38	20
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	0	4	14:33	—	—	23	15
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.55	1	2	0	13:07	—	—	47	62
Carter Verhaeghe C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	1	0	0	9:40	—	—	63	78
Mitchell Stephens C	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.23	2	0	0	9:21	—	—	62	84
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	2	1	2	21:13	—	—	68	77
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	20:29	—	—	67	84
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	2	2	0	25:47	—	—	33	53
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	18:11	—	—	27	51
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	2	2	16:32	—	—	26	36
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:02	—	—	26	39

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	3.09	60:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	1	0	1	-2	2	0.62	2	0	0	19:29	—	—	61	40
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.11	1	0	0	18:08	—	—	73	47
Warren Foegele L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	14:01	—	—	79	54
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.42	1	0	0	19:24	—	—	60	79
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	1	0	0	18:29	—	—	60	79
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	3	0	2	16:47	—	—	70	82
Erik Haula L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	17:36	—	—	48	38
Martin Necas C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	16:27	—	—	44	30
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.54	0	0	0	13:50	—	—	46	32
Lucas Wallmark C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	0	0	11:34	—	—	61	32
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:18	—	—	67	50
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	1	0	0	9:20	—	—	63	42
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.03	0	0	0	23:09	—	—	67	35
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.09	0	0	0	22:10	—	—	72	43
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.10	1	2	0	21:44	—	—	59	48
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	0	0	19:10	—	—	56	48
Joel Edmundson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	2	14:07	—	—	33	38
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:19	—	—	46	57

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	26	23	3	.885	2.74	57:06

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.