Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesJan 28, 2021

Final / OTThursday, Jan 28, 2021· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	0	0	0	0	0		TBL	7	14	11	0	32
CAR	0	0	0	1	1		CAR	15	7	10	3	35

: TBL 64CAR 68
: TBL 3.70CAR 3.33
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 0
Hits: TBL 27CAR 25
Blocks: TBL 15CAR 15
PIM: TBL 8CAR 6
: TBL 51%CAR 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 (OT)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 in overtime at home. Martin Necas (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TBL scored 0 goals on 3.70 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
TBL scored 0 goals on 3.70 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
CAR scored 1 goal on 3.33 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 35 shots and stopped 34 (.971), +6 against a season average of 29.5; the overtime loss.Vasilevskiy
New line
New look for CAR: McCormick–Geekie–Rempal skated 5:19 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McCormick Geekie Rempal
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–Dzingel–Lorentz skated 8:35 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Dzingel Lorentz
New line
New look for TBL: Maroon–Joseph–Volkov skated 5:47 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Maroon Joseph Volkov
Usage
Jake Gardiner (CAR) played 21:41, +5:52 up on his 15:49 season average over 25 games.Gardiner
Usage
Luke Schenn (TBL) played 15:30, +4:52 up on his 10:38 season average over 37 games.Schenn

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · CAR 68 · TBL 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 32% of the game, CAR 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	66	65
	4.13	2.71
	3.92	2.58
	19	13
	7	5
	26	24
	+0.032	−0.032
	32%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Point
10:5758% CF
L2Killorn – Johnson – Cirelli
10:3552% CF
L3Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
8:5850% CF
L4Maroon – Joseph – Volkov
5:4757% CF
D1Hedman – Rutta
8:4760% CF
D2McDonagh – Schenn
7:0450% CF
D3Sergachev – Foote
5:0150% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
2:54100% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
1:05100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:48
PK2FColeman – Goodrow
2:38
PK1DHedman – Rutta
1:51
PK2DSchenn – Sergachev
1:44

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
10:4859% CF
L2McGinn – Aho – Svechnikov
9:4267% CF
L3Staal – Dzingel – Lorentz
8:3536% CF
L4McCormick – Geekie – Rempal
5:1940% CF
D1Gardiner – Pesce
15:3641% CF
D2Hamilton – Skjei
10:5758% CF
D3Fleury – Bean
10:1058% CF

PP1Staal – Trocheck – Hamilton – Aho – Svechnikov
3:35100% CF
PP2Gardiner – Niederreiter – Dzingel – Geekie – Necas
2:0275% CF
PK1FStaal – McGinn
1:09
PK2FAho – Necas
0:58
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
2:21
PK2DHamilton – Fleury
1:51

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

OT period

1:12
CARMartin Necas (Jordan Staal, Dougie Hamilton)wrist0.21 xG
TBL: Johnson, Hedman, PalatCAR: Staal, Hamilton, Necas
TBL 0 – 1 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	18:17	—	—	51	63
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	2	0.48	4	0	2	17:17	—	—	55	64
Ondrej Palat L	L1	-1	0	0.05	1	1	0	17:01	—	—	50	58
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	2	0.08	3	0	2	19:05	—	—	46	34
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	3	0.85	0	1	0	18:00	—	—	56	78
Tyler Johnson C	L2	-1	3	0.10	2	1	0	16:16	—	—	61	68
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	2	0.32	1	1	0	15:57	—	—	41	44
Barclay Goodrow C	L3	0	1	0.12	2	2	0	15:56	—	—	46	52
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	3	0.30	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	48	48
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	1	0.29	1	0	0	10:00	—	—	57	85
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	8:49	—	—	47	78
Alexander Volkov R	L4	0	1	0.24	2	1	0	8:04	—	—	50	82
Victor Hedman D	D1	-1	4	0.32	2	0	2	27:25	—	—	50	58
Jan Rutta D	D1	0	3	0.24	0	2	0	16:51	—	—	55	64
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	1	0.01	1	4	2	25:03	—	—	51	64
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	1	0.02	7	1	0	15:30	—	—	48	67
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	2	0.08	0	1	0	23:19	—	—	45	48
Cal Foote D	D3	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:55	—	—	53	62

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	O	35	34	1	.971	3.33	60:55

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.47	1	1	0	19:37	—	—	62	58
Vincent Trocheck C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.27	2	2	0	17:47	—	—	62	64
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	0	16:56	—	—	67	73
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.49	0	0	0	20:06	—	—	58	42
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.50	3	0	0	18:17	—	—	55	43
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	2	16:43	—	—	57	43
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.26	5	2	0	19:09	—	—	33	32
Ryan Dzingel C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	2	14:59	—	—	44	45
Steven Lorentz C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	14:41	—	—	33	20
Morgan Geekie C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	9:53	—	—	41	29
Max McCormick L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	4	0	0	7:18	—	—	31	34
Sheldon Rempal R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	6:58	—	—	32	24
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.39	0	2	0	25:11	—	—	47	49
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	1	1	0	21:41	—	—	44	46
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.15	1	1	0	21:27	—	—	50	18
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	1	0	19:14	—	—	54	30
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	15:26	—	—	47	38
Jake Bean D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	0	12:13	—	—	59	52

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	32	32	0	.1000	3.70	61:12

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.