Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 20, 2021

FinalSaturday, Feb 20, 2021· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	0	0		TBL	6	13	5	24
CAR	0	2	2	4		CAR	9	9	10	28

: TBL 51CAR 63
: TBL 2.84CAR 4.47
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 0
Hits: TBL 32CAR 27
Blocks: TBL 17CAR 14
PIM: TBL 4CAR 2
: TBL 53%CAR 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes rout Tampa Bay Lightning 4–0

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–0 at home. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for CAR: Staal–Fast–Foegele skated 10:45 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Andrei Svechnikov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:14.Svechnikov
Points
Sebastian Aho had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:43.Aho
New line
New look for CAR: Staal–Fast–Foegele skated 10:45 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Fast Foegele
Luck
TBL scored 0 goals on 2.84 expected goals (51 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CAR: Martinook–Paquette–Lorentz skated 8:20 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (52% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martinook Paquette Lorentz
New line
New look for CAR: McGinn–Aho–Svechnikov skated 10:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.McGinn Aho Svechnikov
Usage
Haydn Fleury (CAR) played 11:41, −3:48 down on his 15:29 season average over 46 games.Fleury
Usage
Jordan Staal (CAR) played 14:46, −3:47 down on his 18:33 season average over 52 games.Staal

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · CAR 63 · TBL 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 31% of the game, CAR 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	55	61
	2.99	2.79
	2.96	2.68
	18	14
	5	5
	20	28
	−0.016	+0.016
	31%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Point
10:4962% CF
L2Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
9:5353% CF
L3Killorn – Johnson – Joseph
9:3460% CF
L4Maroon – Smith – Volkov
8:5744% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:0844% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
12:0840% CF
D3Schenn – Sergachev
6:0954% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
1:0750% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Coleman – Gourde – Sergachev
0:5350% CF
PK1FKillorn – Gourde
2:01
PK2FColeman – Goodrow
1:32
PK1DHedman – Sergachev
1:20
PK2DMcDonagh – Rutta
1:07

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Niederreiter – Trocheck – Necas
12:5759% CF
L2Staal – Fast – Foegele
10:4554% CF
L3McGinn – Aho – Svechnikov
10:2253% CF
L4Martinook – Paquette – Lorentz
8:2052% CF
D1Hamilton – Slavin
17:5457% CF
D2Skjei – Pesce
17:0952% CF
D3Fleury – Bean
10:3648% CF

PP1Staal – Trocheck – Hamilton – Aho – Svechnikov
2:03100% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Pesce – Bean – Necas
1:57100% CF
PK1FMartinook – Foegele
0:52
PK2FStaal – McGinn
0:52
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:25
PK2DHamilton – Slavin
0:27

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:19
CARVincent Trocheck (Nino Niederreiter, Martin Necas)deflected0.06 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Schenn, Johnson, JosephCAR: Niederreiter, Trocheck, Fleury, Bean, Necas
TBL 0 – 1 CAR
15:30
CARSebastian Aho (Andrei Svechnikov)wrist0.18 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, CernakCAR: Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov
TBL 0 – 2 CAR

3rd period

3:12
CARCedric Paquette (Jake Bean, Jordan Martinook)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: Maroon, Smith, Sergachev, Rutta, VolkovCAR: Martinook, Paquette, Fleury, Lorentz, Bean
TBL 0 – 3 CAR
17:41
CARAndrei SvechnikovEN (Sebastian Aho, Brock McGinn)wrist0.82 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, CernakCAR: Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov
TBL 0 – 4 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	-2	2	0.77	0	0	0	17:24	—	—	52	51
Ondrej Palat L	L1	-2	1	0.02	1	1	0	17:12	—	—	50	51
Steven Stamkos C	L1	-2	1	0.08	2	0	0	16:40	—	—	57	53
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	18:44	—	—	46	66
Blake Coleman L	L2	0	2	0.21	6	0	0	15:44	—	—	47	56
Barclay Goodrow C	L2	0	1	0.14	3	1	0	13:56	—	—	50	87
Alex Killorn L	L3	-2	2	0.18	2	0	0	14:55	—	—	54	48
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	-1	3	0.23	1	0	0	13:52	—	—	48	34
Tyler Johnson C	L3	-1	1	0.11	1	0	2	13:34	—	—	52	37
Patrick Maroon L	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:17	—	—	38	61
Gemel Smith C	L4	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	11:38	—	—	39	59
Alexander Volkov R	L4	-1	3	0.85	4	1	0	11:16	—	—	40	58
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	-2	0	0.00	0	5	0	22:10	—	—	50	69
Erik Cernak D	D1	-2	0	0.04	5	1	2	18:36	—	—	54	70
Victor Hedman D	D2	-1	2	0.14	0	2	0	26:44	—	—	47	47
Jan Rutta D	D2	-1	2	0.03	0	2	0	17:45	—	—	34	39
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	-1	1	0.02	2	3	0	21:03	—	—	44	39
Luke Schenn D	D3	-1	2	0.01	4	0	0	11:46	—	—	58	34

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	27	24	3	.889	3.00	58:44

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vincent Trocheck C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.36	5	1	0	18:41	—	—	55	39
Martin Necas C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	1	0	0	18:26	—	—	63	56
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	+1	6	0.52	0	0	0	17:29	—	—	59	54
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	1	1	0	14:59	—	—	50	35
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	1	0	14:46	—	—	50	42
Warren Foegele L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	3	0	0	13:53	—	—	45	33
Sebastian Aho C	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.48	0	1	2	16:43	—	—	59	81
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	1	1	2	+2	1	1.02	2	0	0	15:14	—	—	53	69
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.75	0	0	0	13:59	—	—	50	75
Jordan Martinook L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	2	0	0	13:03	—	—	45	29
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:10	—	—	47	31
Cedric Paquette C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	6	2	0	10:40	—	—	50	35
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.02	1	3	0	23:06	—	—	54	55
Dougie Hamilton D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.08	0	0	0	22:39	—	—	60	61
Brett Pesce D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	23:34	—	—	52	60
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	2	0	22:06	—	—	52	59
Jake Bean D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.18	0	0	0	14:17	—	—	46	30
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:41	—	—	48	25

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	W	24	24	0	.1000	2.84	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.