Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 27, 2021

FinalSaturday, Mar 27, 2021· PNC Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Carolina HurricanesCAR

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	0	1	3		TBL	11	7	4	22
CAR	0	3	1	4		CAR	12	14	14	40

: TBL 52CAR 64
: TBL 2.61CAR 4.06
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 2
Hits: TBL 34CAR 23
Blocks: TBL 10CAR 15
PIM: TBL 14CAR 10
: TBL 60%CAR 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 at home. Martin Necas (CAR) led the scoring with 2G 2A. CAR's first power-play unit (Staal, Hamilton, Aho, Necas and Svechnikov) scored 2 power-play goals on 17 attempts in 6:40 together.

Points
Martin Necas had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 6 shots in 23:16.Necas
Points
Patrick Maroon had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:19.Maroon
Points
Sebastian Aho had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 23:01.Aho
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Staal, Hamilton, Aho, Necas and Svechnikov) scored 2 power-play goals on 17 attempts in 6:40 together.Staal Hamilton Aho Necas Svechnikov
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 40 shots and stopped 36 (.900), +11 against a season average of 29.5; the loss.Vasilevskiy
New line
New look for CAR: Fast–Martinook–McGinn skated 6:44 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (27.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Fast Martinook McGinn
Usage
Jan Rutta (TBL) played 22:08, +6:17 up on his 15:51 season average over 34 games.Rutta
Usage
Martin Necas (CAR) played 23:16, +6:05 up on his 17:11 season average over 52 games.Necas

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · CAR 64 · TBL 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 24% of the game, CAR 49%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	50	47
	2.70	2.86
	2.62	2.79
	13	7
	5	5
	8	14
	+0.059	−0.059
	24%	49%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Palat – Point
10:3352% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
8:2975% CF
L3Maroon – Joseph – Colton
7:5455% CF
L4Coleman – Goodrow – Gourde
7:5350% CF
D1Sergachev – Foote
14:2650% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
10:4459% CF
D3Schenn – Borgman
7:3853% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Palat – Point
4:2467% CF
PP2Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Cirelli – Sergachev
2:49100% CF
PK1FColeman – Goodrow
3:22
PK2FGourde – Cirelli
1:38
PK1DHedman – Rutta
6:09
PK2DSergachev – Foote
1:17

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Niederreiter – Aho – Necas
9:2956% CF
L2Fast – Martinook – McGinn
6:4427% CF
L3Staal – Foegele – Svechnikov
4:5875% CF
L4Paquette – Lorentz – Geekie
4:0713% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
12:0248% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
10:5262% CF
D3Fleury – Bean
8:0940% CF

PP1Staal – Hamilton – Aho – Necas – Svechnikov
6:40100% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Fast – Pesce – Bean – Geekie
2:12100% CF
PK1FAho – Necas
2:58
PK2FStaal – McGinn
2:27
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
4:15
PK2DHamilton – Slavin
1:48

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:12
TBLBlake Coleman (Jan Rutta, Barclay Goodrow)tip-in0.09 xG
TBL: Coleman, Goodrow, Colton, Borgman, RuttaCAR: Fast, Martinook, Fleury, Bean, Svechnikov
TBL 1 – 0 CAR
5:41
TBLPatrick Maroon (Ross Colton)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Maroon, Schenn, Joseph, Colton, BorgmanCAR: Paquette, Fleury, Lorentz, Bean, Geekie
TBL 2 – 0 CAR

2nd period

2:24
CARCedric Paquette (Martin Necas, Brett Pesce)wrist0.29 xG
TBL: Maroon, Schenn, Palat, Joseph, BorgmanCAR: Skjei, Paquette, Pesce, Aho, Necas
TBL 2 – 1 CAR
3:26
CARSebastian Aho (Nino Niederreiter, Martin Necas)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Johnson, Goodrow, Point, Borgman, RuttaCAR: Niederreiter, Fleury, Aho, Bean, Necas
TBL 2 – 2 CAR
15:44
CARMartin NecasPP (Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov)snap0.15 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, RuttaCAR: Staal, Hamilton, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov
TBL 2 – 3 CAR

3rd period

0:22
TBLMathieu Joseph (Patrick Maroon)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Maroon, Joseph, Sergachev, Colton, FooteCAR: Hamilton, Slavin, Paquette, Lorentz, Geekie
TBL 3 – 3 CAR
16:07
CARMartin NecasPP (Dougie Hamilton, Jordan Staal)snap0.07 xG
TBL: Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, RuttaCAR: Staal, Hamilton, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov
TBL 3 – 4 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	1	0	17:40	—	—	48	46
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	1	0	2	16:49	—	—	50	41
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.38	1	0	0	14:54	—	—	52	52
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	17:12	—	—	63	63
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.31	4	0	0	17:02	—	—	53	68
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.21	1	1	2	15:31	—	—	60	59
Patrick Maroon L	L3	1	1	2	+1	1	0.25	1	0	0	13:19	—	—	39	33
Ross Colton C	L3	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:32	—	—	59	47
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	2	0	0	9:07	—	—	46	31
Yanni Gourde C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	0	16:30	—	—	42	53
Barclay Goodrow C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	15:46	—	—	62	58
Blake Coleman L	L4	1	0	1	+1	4	0.36	2	0	4	14:54	—	—	55	54
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.35	1	0	2	22:14	—	—	47	52
Cal Foote D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	19:02	—	—	50	43
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	2	0	25:23	—	—	54	57
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	2	3	0	22:08	—	—	52	54
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	4	13:29	—	—	56	41
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:32	—	—	54	51

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	40	36	4	.900	4.06	59:13

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	2	2	4	+2	6	0.58	0	1	0	23:16	—	—	56	68
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	1	2	+2	6	0.44	2	0	0	23:01	—	—	67	73
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	0	0	4	16:00	—	—	52	51
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	3	0	0	16:01	—	—	38	52
Jesper Fast R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	4	2	15:44	—	—	33	45
Jordan Martinook L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	4	1	0	13:30	—	—	38	41
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	1	1	0	5	0.63	4	2	0	21:14	—	—	50	46
Andrei Svechnikov R	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.15	2	0	0	15:59	—	—	53	62
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	0	11:08	—	—	63	60
Morgan Geekie C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:26	—	—	22	13
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	0	0	0	7:44	—	—	39	24
Cedric Paquette C	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.29	2	0	2	6:21	—	—	27	35
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.15	0	1	0	24:08	—	—	41	35
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	21:54	—	—	48	47
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	1	1	-1	5	0.35	0	0	2	21:52	—	—	66	69
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.50	2	2	0	21:46	—	—	51	52
Jake Bean D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	1	0	13:24	—	—	47	57
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	2	0	10:32	—	—	35	48

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	W	22	19	3	.864	2.61	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.