Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 22, 2022

FinalTuesday, Mar 22, 2022· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	1	2		TBL	10	9	10	29
CAR	0	2	1	3		CAR	7	20	14	41

: TBL 52CAR 70
: TBL 2.45CAR 4.07
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 2
Hits: TBL 26CAR 21
Blocks: TBL 11CAR 10
PIM: TBL 10CAR 8
: TBL 63%CAR 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 at home. Seth Jarvis (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. CAR's first power-play unit (Trocheck, Teravainen, DeAngelo, Aho and Svechnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 3:34 together.

Points
Seth Jarvis had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:45.Jarvis
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Trocheck, Teravainen, DeAngelo, Aho and Svechnikov) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 3:34 together.Trocheck Teravainen DeAngelo Aho Svechnikov
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 41 shots and stopped 38 (.927), +11 against a season average of 29.7; the loss.Vasilevskiy
New line
New look for TBL: Palat–Point–Hagel skated 8:31 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (46.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Palat Point Hagel
Usage
Nick Paul (TBL) played 9:54, −6:42 down on his 16:36 season average over 79 games.Paul
New line
New look for TBL: Paul–Cirelli–Colton skated 5:41 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paul Cirelli Colton
Usage
Brandon Hagel (TBL) played 12:39, −3:45 down on his 16:24 season average over 76 games.Hagel
Usage
Jesperi Kotkaniemi (CAR) played 8:14, −3:51 down on his 12:05 season average over 65 games.Kotkaniemi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · CAR 70 · TBL 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 16% of the game, CAR 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	53	68
	2.04	3.72
	2.03	3.55
	12	20
	13	8
	24	31
	+0.104	−0.104
	16%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov
9:2545% CF
L2Palat – Point – Hagel
8:3147% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
7:5141% CF
L4Paul – Cirelli – Colton
5:4167% CF
D1Hedman – Rutta
14:3745% CF
D2McDonagh – Bogosian
11:2638% CF
D3Cernak – Sergachev
10:5453% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:12100% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Palat – Sergachev – Colton
0:58100% CF
PK1FPaul – Bellemare
1:15
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
0:54
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:56
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
1:12

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Trocheck – Necas – Svechnikov
12:3726% CF
L2Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis
11:3065% CF
L3Staal – Niederreiter – Fast
10:2763% CF
L4Stepan – Lorentz – Kotkaniemi
6:0056% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
16:4042% CF
D2Slavin – DeAngelo
14:5368% CF
D3Cole – Bear
11:0854% CF

PP1Trocheck – Teravainen – DeAngelo – Aho – Svechnikov
3:34100% CF
PP2Niederreiter – Bear – Necas – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
0:27100% CF
PK1FStaal – Trocheck
1:27
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
0:37
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:55
PK2DCole – Slavin
0:51

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

6:56
CARMartin NecasPP (Ethan Bear, Seth Jarvis)snap0.07 xG
TBL: Hedman, Paul, Cirelli, SergachevCAR: Niederreiter, Bear, Necas, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis
TBL 0 – 1 CAR
9:39
TBLNick Paul (Ross Colton)deflected0.08 xG
TBL: Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, ColtonCAR: Cole, Trocheck, Bear, Necas, Svechnikov
TBL 1 – 1 CAR
13:55
CARTony DeAngeloPP (Andrei Svechnikov, Teuvo Teravainen)snap0.05 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Paul, Bellemare, SergachevCAR: Trocheck, Teravainen, DeAngelo, Aho, Svechnikov
TBL 1 – 2 CAR

3rd period

8:07
CARSebastian Aho (Seth Jarvis, Jaccob Slavin)wrap-around0.02 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Hagel, RuttaCAR: Teravainen, Slavin, DeAngelo, Aho, Jarvis
TBL 1 – 3 CAR
19:00
TBLAlex Killorn (Victor Hedman, Nikita Kucherov)tip-in0.11 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointCAR: Fast, Trocheck, Skjei, Slavin
TBL 2 – 3 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	0	1	4	22:04	—	—	37	26
Alex Killorn L	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.18	1	1	0	20:23	—	—	43	26
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	0	2	18:41	—	—	41	21
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.35	1	1	0	20:55	—	—	39	40
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.41	3	0	0	16:30	—	—	37	42
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:39	—	—	43	58
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	0	0	0	11:42	—	—	37	38
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	1	0	11:16	—	—	36	24
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	0	10:59	—	—	45	40
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	1	0	2	15:25	—	—	52	37
Ross Colton C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.26	1	0	0	10:07	—	—	67	69
Nick Paul L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	3	0	0	9:54	—	—	71	65
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.06	1	1	0	27:06	—	—	43	41
Jan Rutta D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	17:41	—	—	43	42
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	6	2	0	18:53	—	—	40	29
Zach Bogosian D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	2	0	13:41	—	—	39	23
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	2	0	2	20:29	—	—	50	41
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	2	0	0	16:29	—	—	48	34

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	41	38	3	.927	4.07	57:47

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Vincent Trocheck C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.26	6	0	0	20:44	—	—	35	37
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.28	1	1	0	19:02	—	—	31	32
Martin Necas C	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:54	—	—	28	20
Sebastian Aho C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.58	1	0	0	21:21	—	—	71	82
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	1	1	+1	5	0.42	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	63	71
Seth Jarvis R	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.27	2	0	0	14:45	—	—	73	82
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	0	2	15:25	—	—	64	68
Jesper Fast R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.49	0	0	0	13:53	—	—	67	73
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	3	0	0	12:47	—	—	70	76
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	8:14	—	—	53	68
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	1	0	8:04	—	—	53	68
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	0	7:48	—	—	61	69
Brady Skjei D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	2	2	0	21:38	—	—	47	47
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	21:29	—	—	44	51
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	21:39	—	—	70	76
Tony DeAngelo D	D2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.12	0	1	2	21:23	—	—	69	79
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	1	4	15:17	—	—	53	73
Ethan Bear D	D3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.15	2	2	0	14:32	—	—	53	73

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	2.45	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.