Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 28, 2023

FinalTuesday, Mar 28, 2023· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	2	2	4		TBL	8	6	7	21
CAR	0	0	0	0		CAR	8	9	14	31

: TBL 48CAR 53
: TBL 2.19CAR 2.58
PP goals: TBL 0CAR 0
Hits: TBL 28CAR 14
Blocks: TBL 7CAR 18
PIM: TBL 6CAR 4
: TBL 48%CAR 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Carolina Hurricanes 4–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Carolina Hurricanes 4–0 at CAR. Brayden Point (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. CAR scored 0 goals on 2.58 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Brayden Point had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 18:11.Point
Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:47.Stamkos
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:44.Kucherov
Luck
CAR scored 0 goals on 2.58 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TBL: Killorn–Maroon–Cirelli skated 9:23 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (41.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Killorn Maroon Cirelli
Luck
TBL scored 4 goals on 2.19 expected goals (48 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Jesperi Kotkaniemi (CAR) played 20:56, +6:16 up on his 14:40 season average over 81 games.Kotkaniemi
Usage
Jack Drury (CAR) played 16:28, +5:50 up on his 10:38 season average over 37 games.Drury

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 101 of 101 attempts · CAR 53 · TBL 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 25% of the game, CAR 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	53	52
	1.46	2.37
	1.43	2.25
	7	12
	2	2
	16	25
	−0.038	+0.038
	25%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
13:3944% CF
L2Paul – Colton – Hagel
10:0962% CF
L3Killorn – Maroon – Cirelli
9:2342% CF
L4Perry – Bellemare – Jeannot
8:3464% CF
D1Raddysh – Sergachev
16:1264% CF
D2Hedman – Perbix
15:2543% CF
D3Fleury – Cernak
11:0740% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
1:19100% CF
PP2Perry – Hedman – Paul – Colton – Hagel
0:2950% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:31
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:26
PK1DCernak – Sergachev
2:36

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Martinook – Aho – Necas
8:3464% CF
L2Noesen – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
8:3450% CF
L3Staal – Fast – Teravainen
6:5643% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Drury
5:2836% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
17:0842% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
13:4850% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Chatfield
13:1255% CF

PP1Skjei – Teravainen – Kotkaniemi – Drury – Jarvis
2:00100% CF
PP2Burns – Gostisbehere – Necas – Drury – Jarvis
1:02100% CF
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
0:46
PK2FStaal – Fast
0:44
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
1:13
PK2DBurns – Slavin
0:46

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:58
TBLSteven Stamkos (Mikhail Sergachev, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.11 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, SergachevCAR: Staal, Fast, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce
TBL 1 – 0 CAR
14:23
TBLBrayden Point (Steven Stamkos)snap0.01 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, RaddyshCAR: Burns, Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Necas
TBL 2 – 0 CAR

3rd period

12:17
TBLBrayden Point (Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, SergachevCAR: Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Jarvis
TBL 3 – 0 CAR
15:39
TBLAlex KillornEN (Brayden Point, Erik Cernak)snap0.76 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Point, Cernak, CirelliCAR: Burns, Staal, Gostisbehere, Aho, Necas, Jarvis
TBL 4 – 0 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	2	2	+3	3	0.08	0	0	0	19:44	—	—	43	28
Brayden Point C	L1	2	1	3	+3	2	0.11	0	0	0	18:11	—	—	43	28
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	2	3	+3	2	0.17	2	1	0	17:47	—	—	44	30
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	2	0	0	16:12	—	—	50	38
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	0	0	15:55	—	—	60	48
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	12:37	—	—	61	55
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.76	0	0	2	16:54	—	—	33	32
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	4	2	4	15:11	—	—	44	34
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	0	0	12:53	—	—	53	47
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:11	—	—	56	38
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	0	10:34	—	—	65	54
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	1	0	0	10:00	—	—	63	52
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	5	1	0	23:24	—	—	67	62
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	20:55	—	—	67	56
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.03	0	0	0	23:46	—	—	44	27
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	17:26	—	—	45	35
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	3	0	0	19:33	—	—	32	22
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	1	0	13:06	—	—	41	46

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	2.58	59:41

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Martin Necas C	L1	-3	2	0.21	0	0	0	18:00	—	—	56	59
Sebastian Aho C	L1	-2	3	0.22	1	0	2	16:18	—	—	62	68
Jordan Martinook L	L1	-1	2	0.08	2	1	2	15:45	—	—	52	80
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L2	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	20:56	—	—	54	64
Seth Jarvis R	L2	-2	2	0.31	1	2	0	20:00	—	—	56	55
Stefan Noesen R	L2	0	0	0.16	2	0	0	10:24	—	—	57	79
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	-1	1	0.07	0	2	0	17:19	—	—	46	42
Jesper Fast R	L3	-1	2	0.33	1	1	0	15:27	—	—	38	60
Jordan Staal C	L3	-3	3	0.28	2	1	0	15:21	—	—	39	57
Jack Drury C	L4	0	3	0.17	0	1	0	16:28	—	—	56	65
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:48	—	—	39	57
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	2	0.17	0	1	0	7:52	—	—	47	60
Brady Skjei D	D1	-1	3	0.22	0	2	0	22:42	—	—	44	51
Brett Pesce D	D1	-1	2	0.07	0	3	0	21:48	—	—	44	52
Brent Burns D	D2	-3	2	0.01	0	2	0	20:18	—	—	49	67
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:58	—	—	56	68
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	-1	2	0.07	1	1	0	20:13	—	—	55	70
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	1	0.18	2	0	0	14:53	—	—	55	67

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pyotr Kochetkov(start)	L	20	17	3	.850	1.43	57:42

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.