Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 26, 2026

FinalThursday, Feb 26, 2026· Lenovo Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	2	0	4		TBL	11	11	6	28
CAR	3	1	1	5		CAR	13	10	10	33

: TBL 57CAR 62
: TBL 3.12CAR 2.83
PP goals: TBL 1CAR 1
Hits: TBL 15CAR 23
Blocks: TBL 20CAR 16
PIM: TBL 4CAR 4
: TBL 55%CAR 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Tampa Bay Lightning 5–4

Carolina Hurricanes beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–4 at home. Jake Guentzel (TBL) led the scoring with 0G 3A. CAR's first power-play unit (Staal, Gostisbehere, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:24 together.

Points
Jake Guentzel had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 22:03.Guentzel
Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:06.Point
Points
Logan Stankoven had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:02.Stankoven
Points
Seth Jarvis had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:21.Jarvis
Points
Taylor Hall had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:01.Hall
Points
Andrei Svechnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:36.Svechnikov
PP1
CAR's first power-play unit (Staal, Gostisbehere, Aho, Svechnikov and Jarvis) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:24 together.Staal Gostisbehere Aho Svechnikov Jarvis
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point and Raddysh) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:06 together.Kucherov Guentzel Bjorkstrand Point Raddysh

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · CAR 62 · TBL 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 37% of the game, CAR 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

CAR skaters (rows) against TBL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the CAR side.

Matchup matrix

CAR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	CAR
	55	58
	2.43	2.34
	2.33	2.30
	10	13
	5	10
	30	28
	+0.015	−0.016
	37%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Goncalves
11:2243% CF
L2Guentzel – Hagel – James
10:2247% CF
L3Gourde – Girgensons – Holmberg
9:2448% CF
D1Raddysh – Moser
17:1564% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
12:2662% CF
D3Hedman – D'Astous
6:2215% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Point – Raddysh
2:0680% CF
PK1FGuentzel – Hagel
1:31
PK2FGourde – Girgensons
0:53
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:29
PK2DHedman – Moser
0:55

Current TBL line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
12:4547% CF
L2Hall – Stankoven – Blake
11:5568% CF
L3Staal – Martinook – Ehlers
9:4755% CF
L4Jankowski – Carrier – Robinson
7:1857% CF
D1Slavin – Chatfield
17:2443% CF
D2Walker – Miller
16:3352% CF
D3Gostisbehere – Nikishin
14:5958% CF

PP1Staal – Gostisbehere – Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
1:24100% CF
PP2Hall – Ehlers – Nikishin – Stankoven – Blake
0:46100% CF
PK1FAho – Jarvis
1:40
PK2FStaal – Martinook
0:23
PK1DSlavin – Miller
1:17

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.27	0	1	2	25:07	—	—	47	49
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.52	1	0	0	22:06	—	—	45	49
Gage Goncalves C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	2	14:55	—	—	44	34
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	3	3	+1	4	0.52	1	1	0	22:03	—	—	50	69
Brandon Hagel L	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.19	0	1	0	20:42	—	—	48	63
Dominic James C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.71	0	0	0	16:55	—	—	56	75
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.24	4	0	0	16:04	—	—	44	37
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:53	—	—	50	43
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	0	0	14:01	—	—	55	51
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.16	0	5	0	26:01	—	—	52	40
J.J. Moser D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	19:42	—	—	65	53
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.18	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	60	73
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	0	1	0	15:26	—	—	61	71
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	14:21	—	—	35	36
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:19	—	—	20	11
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	4	0	13:01	—	—	59	55
Declan Carlile D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	1	0	11:04	—	—	47	43
Scott Sabourin R	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	5:00	—	—	29	29

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	2.44	57:03

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.27	0	0	2	19:43	—	—	46	41
Andrei Svechnikov R	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.55	1	2	0	18:36	—	—	52	60
Seth Jarvis R	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.41	0	0	0	18:21	—	—	50	53
Jackson Blake R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	0	2	17:48	—	—	50	42
Logan Stankoven C	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.18	2	0	0	16:02	—	—	54	53
Taylor Hall L	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.31	1	0	0	16:01	—	—	54	54
Jordan Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	1	0	15:19	—	—	54	41
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.30	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	38	26
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	14:31	—	—	54	35
William Carrier L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	0	1	0	9:50	—	—	54	56
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	9:45	—	—	52	55
Eric Robinson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	0	0	9:20	—	—	54	66
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	1	2	0	23:31	—	—	44	52
Jalen Chatfield D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:17	—	—	43	54
K'Andre Miller D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	5	3	0	20:42	—	—	54	46
Sean Walker D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	18:12	—	—	50	41
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	0	0	18:45	—	—	55	51
Alexander Nikishin D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	1	4	0	16:13	—	—	59	47

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brandon Bussi(start)	W	28	24	4	.857	3.12	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Nikolaj Ehlers (CAR) 1st 1:43 · assists K'Andre Miller, Jordan Martinook · Rush · carried in · 66.0 mph shot · 1.8 s from entry to goal.

Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 1:43 · CAR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 66.0 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 1.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Logan Stankoven · 1st 2:56 · CAR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 40.4 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Taylor Hall · 1st 6:41 · CAR

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 2
Shot: 19.7 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 3.4 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Hagel · 1st 16:30 · TBL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 64.2 mph
Distance: 27 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nikita Kucherov · 1st 17:05 · TBL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 1
Shot: 51.6 mph
Distance: 28 ft
Entry to goal: 3.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dominic James · 2nd 1:58 · TBL

Play: rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: No
Passes: 3
Shot: 65.5 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Seth Jarvis · 2nd 7:21 · CAR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 42.4 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brayden Point · 2nd 14:02 · TBL PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 48.3 mph
Distance: 18 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Sebastian Aho · 3rd 7:17 · CAR PP

Play: point-shot
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 47.8 mph
Distance: 49 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 26, 2026

Fantasy takeaways

Carolina Hurricanes edge Tampa Bay Lightning 5–4

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Head-to-head matchups

Matchup matrix

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Carolina Hurricanes

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Carolina Hurricanes

Goal anatomy

Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 1:43 · CAR

Logan Stankoven · 1st 2:56 · CAR

Taylor Hall · 1st 6:41 · CAR

Brandon Hagel · 1st 16:30 · TBL

Nikita Kucherov · 1st 17:05 · TBL

Dominic James · 2nd 1:58 · TBL

Seth Jarvis · 2nd 7:21 · CAR

Brayden Point · 2nd 14:02 · TBL PP

Sebastian Aho · 3rd 7:17 · CAR PP