Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah MammothOct 24, 2026

Time TBDSaturday, Oct 24, 2026

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

at

home

Utah MammothUTA

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: UTA +12.1 pts

TBLaway−12.1 pts

Back-to-back · 596 km travel

B2B vs rested UTA −9.3 pts
Backup likely (67%) −2.8 pts

UTAhome+12.1 pts

1 day rest · 1,127 km travel · +1 h

TBL on a B2B +9.3 pts
TBL backup likely (67%) +2.8 pts

UTA has the schedule edge (+12.1 pts net win probability): tbl on a b2b, tbl backup likely (67%), b2b vs rested uta, backup likely (67%).

· Every game this week →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Dennis Hildeby67%
Andrei Vasilevskiy33%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Utah Mammoth

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Karel Vejmelka94%
Sebastian Cossa6%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: W 6–0 vs CHI · Oct 1

L1Trocheck – Schmaltz – Keller
11:26
L2Lee – Guenther – Cooley
8:55
L3Crouse – Hayton – McBain
8:28
L4Stenlund – Carcone – But
7:52
D1Weegar – Sergachev
16:08
D2Schmidt – Marino
14:10
D3Peeke – Simashev
12:35
PP1Schmaltz – Keller – Sergachev – Guenther – Cooley
1:41

Projected UTA lines →·UTA goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Oct 24.

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Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.