Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 2, 2018

FinalTuesday, Jan 2, 2018· Air Canada Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	2	0	2		TBL	12	13	11	36
TOR	0	0	0	0		TOR	10	7	12	29

: TBL 65TOR 54
: TBL 4.48TOR 3.44
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 0
Hits: TBL 17TOR 16
Blocks: TBL 15TOR 14
PIM: TBL 6TOR 8
: TBL 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 2–0

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 2–0 at TOR. Alex Killorn (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. TOR scored 0 goals on 3.44 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
TOR scored 0 goals on 3.44 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
TBL scored 2 goals on 4.48 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +3 against a season average of 33.5; the loss.Andersen
New line
New look for TOR: Martin–Brown–Gauthier skated 4:30 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martin Brown Gauthier
Usage
Cedric Paquette (TBL) played 6:58, −3:18 down on his 10:16 season average over 55 games.Paquette
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 25:30, +3:57 up on his 21:33 season average over 75 games.Rielly
Usage
Connor Brown (TOR) played 11:53, −3:10 down on his 15:03 season average over 81 games.Brown
Usage
Vladislav Namestnikov (TBL) played 20:07, +3:04 up on his 17:03 season average over 80 games.Namestnikov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · TOR 54 · TBL 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 39% of the game, TOR 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	65	46
	3.99	2.50
	3.84	2.35
	12	7
	7	6
	15	13
	−0.075	+0.075
	39%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov
14:0957% CF
L2Johnson – Palat – Point
11:5764% CF
L3Killorn – Conacher – Gourde
8:5159% CF
L4Kunitz – Brown – Paquette
5:4044% CF
D1Hedman – Dotchin
16:2453% CF
D2Stralman – Sergachev
14:0544% CF
D3Coburn – Girardi
11:3975% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
3:1850% CF
PP2Johnson – Palat – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
2:19100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Johnson
1:38
PK2FGourde – Point
0:57
PK1DCoburn – Girardi
1:31
PK2DStralman – Hedman
1:26

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:4643% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Marner
11:2440% CF
L3Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
9:4456% CF
L4Martin – Brown – Gauthier
4:3040% CF
D1Gardiner – Carrick
14:1748% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
12:5545% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
8:3725% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:1860% CF
PP2Marleau – Komarov – Gardiner – Nylander – Matthews
1:30100% CF
PK1FBrown – Gauthier
1:39
PK2FKomarov – Hyman
1:31
PK1DHainsey – Polak
2:45

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

12:00
TBLCedric Paquette (Chris Kunitz)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Kunitz, Hedman, Brown, Paquette, DotchinTOR: Polak, Bozak, Nylander, Marner, Borgman
TBL 1 – 0 TOR
16:54
TBLAlex Killorn (Mikhail Sergachev, Yanni Gourde)wrist0.51 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Gourde, SergachevTOR: Hainsey, Polak, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews
TBL 2 – 0 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	20:24	—	—	52	37
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	1	0	20:16	—	—	58	40
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	0	0	20:07	—	—	58	40
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.61	0	3	0	20:04	—	—	62	70
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.59	0	1	0	18:58	—	—	68	85
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.94	2	1	0	18:34	—	—	63	73
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.81	0	0	0	15:15	—	—	60	83
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:23	—	—	67	89
Cory Conacher C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	2	0	2	10:09	—	—	58	64
Chris Kunitz L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	0	0	9:06	—	—	53	36
JT Brown R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:58	—	—	62	40
Cedric Paquette C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	0	0	2	6:58	—	—	36	34
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.24	4	1	2	25:05	—	—	56	55
Jake Dotchin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	2	0	19:11	—	—	53	55
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	2	1	0	21:28	—	—	56	65
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.13	2	3	0	17:27	—	—	46	51
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	1	0	15:45	—	—	71	60
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	14:52	—	—	74	62

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	29	29	0	.1000	3.44	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	0.16	1	0	0	19:46	—	—	41	64
Auston Matthews C	L1	-1	3	0.30	0	1	0	17:46	—	—	37	38
William Nylander R	L1	-2	2	0.17	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	36	34
Tyler Bozak C	L2	-1	1	0.28	0	1	0	17:25	—	—	36	29
Mitch Marner R	L2	-1	2	0.25	0	0	0	16:44	—	—	37	22
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	0	1	0.14	0	1	0	15:56	—	—	42	39
Nazem Kadri C	L3	-1	4	0.62	2	0	0	17:15	—	—	61	53
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	1	0.17	2	0	0	17:08	—	—	50	66
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	2	0.18	2	0	2	15:07	—	—	60	74
Connor Brown R	L4	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	11:53	—	—	28	18
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	2	0.30	1	1	0	8:28	—	—	31	22
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	5:39	—	—	33	34
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	3	0.38	0	0	0	23:42	—	—	47	35
Connor Carrick D	D1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:17	—	—	47	36
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	6	0.44	0	2	0	25:30	—	—	52	70
Ron Hainsey D	D2	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	22:44	—	—	45	44
Roman Polak D	D3	-2	0	0.00	2	3	4	16:07	—	—	21	22
Andreas Borgman D	D3	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	11:48	—	—	33	36

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	36	34	2	.944	4.48	57:10

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.