Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsFeb 12, 2018

FinalMonday, Feb 12, 2018· Air Canada Centre

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	2	3		TBL	9	14	11	34
TOR	1	2	1	4		TOR	9	8	6	23

: TBL 67TOR 46
: TBL 3.12TOR 2.88
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 0
Hits: TBL 27TOR 20
Blocks: TBL 11TOR 15
PIM: TBL 2TOR 4
: TBL 52%TOR 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. New look for TBL: Kunitz–Conacher–Paquette skated 4:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
William Nylander had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 14:49.Nylander
Points
Auston Matthews had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 16:48.Matthews
Points
Alex Killorn had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:52.Killorn
Points
Jake Gardiner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:09.Gardiner
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 22:41.Kucherov
New line
New look for TBL: Kunitz–Conacher–Paquette skated 4:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (80% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kunitz Conacher Paquette
Usage
Alex Killorn (TBL) played 20:52, +4:25 up on his 16:27 season average over 81 games.Killorn
Usage
James van Riemsdyk (TOR) played 11:44, −3:12 down on his 14:56 season average over 80 games.van Riemsdyk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · TOR 46 · TBL 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 40% of the game, TOR 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	60	52
	2.36	2.39
	2.29	2.33
	16	13
	2	5
	17	20
	+0.010	−0.010
	40%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Kucherov – Point
13:3856% CF
L2Stamkos – Johnson – Gourde
6:1850% CF
L3Kunitz – Conacher – Paquette
4:2280% CF
L4Callahan – Namestnikov – Erne
3:4267% CF
D1Stralman – Hedman
16:5247% CF
D2Coburn – Sustr
12:2053% CF
D3Girardi – Sergachev
10:1560% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Namestnikov
2:42100% CF
PP2Callahan – Johnson – Gourde – Point – Sergachev
1:17100% CF
PK1FKunitz – Stamkos
0:44
PK2FJohnson – Point
0:24
PK1DStralman – Hedman
1:25
PK2DCoburn – Girardi
0:20

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kadri – Marner
13:5734% CF
L2Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:4550% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
9:0355% CF
L4Moore – Komarov – Kapanen
7:2250% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
18:5946% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
13:2352% CF
D3Polak – Dermott
12:3243% CF

PP1Marleau – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
1:0750% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:5350% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
1:27
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
0:49
PK1DHainsey – Polak
2:36
PK2DRielly – Zaitsev
0:42

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:55
TORWilliam Nylander (Auston Matthews, Jake Gardiner)snap0.10 xG
TBL: Girardi, Stamkos, Johnson, Gourde, SergachevTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
TBL 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

3:08
TORWilliam Nylander (Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner)wrist0.18 xG
TBL: Coburn, Killorn, Kucherov, Sustr, PointTOR: Polak, Nylander, Dermott, Marner, Matthews
TBL 0 – 2 TOR
11:36
TORJake Gardiner (William Nylander, Auston Matthews)wrist0.06 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Gourde, SustrTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
TBL 0 – 3 TOR
15:59
TBLAlex Killorn (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, PointTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
TBL 1 – 3 TOR

3rd period

0:58
TBLNikita Kucherov (Alex Killorn)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, KucherovTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
TBL 2 – 3 TOR
1:18
TBLYanni Gourde (Braydon Coburn, Steven Stamkos)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: Coburn, Girardi, Stamkos, Gourde, ErneTOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev
TBL 3 – 3 TOR
4:37
TORJames van Riemsdyk (Tyler Bozak)snap0.03 xG
TBL: Coburn, Callahan, Johnson, Namestnikov, SustrTOR: Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, Dermott
TBL 3 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.32	0	1	2	22:41	—	—	60	49
Alex Killorn L	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.15	1	0	0	20:52	—	—	53	44
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.51	1	1	0	20:21	—	—	53	41
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.28	1	0	0	18:20	—	—	54	56
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	-3	6	0.70	1	0	0	14:41	—	—	33	35
Yanni Gourde C	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.11	2	0	0	14:15	—	—	62	55
Chris Kunitz L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:51	—	—	50	38
Cedric Paquette C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	11:07	—	—	58	43
Cory Conacher C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:56	—	—	55	18
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	3	0	0	14:45	—	—	50	62
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	0	0	14:36	—	—	50	68
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.17	1	1	0	11:40	—	—	68	91
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	4	2	0	26:51	—	—	48	36
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	0	2	0	23:02	—	—	49	47
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:49	—	—	48	46
Andrej Sustr D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.04	0	1	0	15:46	—	—	57	50
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	18:16	—	—	58	58
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	0	0	15:58	—	—	67	71

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	23	19	4	.826	2.11	58:13

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nazem Kadri C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	2	0	0	18:00	—	—	34	45
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.33	3	0	0	17:52	—	—	44	54
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.54	0	1	0	17:42	—	—	40	56
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	0	0	17:05	—	—	44	43
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	3	3	+2	2	0.10	0	1	0	16:48	—	—	59	62
William Nylander R	L2	2	1	3	+2	2	0.43	0	1	0	14:49	—	—	56	56
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	0	0	2	14:00	—	—	42	44
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.95	1	0	0	13:48	—	—	55	75
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.05	0	0	0	11:44	—	—	47	44
Leo Komarov R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	14:52	—	—	53	47
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	50	38
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:38	—	—	44	27
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	1	2	25:16	—	—	44	43
Jake Gardiner D	D1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.12	1	2	0	21:09	—	—	47	42
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	2	0	21:02	—	—	52	57
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	18:37	—	—	50	57
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	3	0	17:51	—	—	44	52
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	1	2	0	14:27	—	—	39	50

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	34	31	3	.912	3.12	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.