Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsApr 4, 2019

FinalThursday, Apr 4, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	2	3		TBL	12	8	9	29
TOR	1	0	0	1		TOR	9	9	12	30

: TBL 55TOR 59
: TBL 3.03TOR 3.55
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 0
Hits: TBL 28TOR 26
Blocks: TBL 14TOR 10
PIM: TBL 4TOR 2
: TBL 55%TOR 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–1 at TOR. Steven Stamkos (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for TOR: Marleau–Kapanen–Matthews skated 14:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (58.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:31.Stamkos
Points
Ryan McDonagh had 2 assists (2 points) in 24:06.McDonagh
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Kapanen–Matthews skated 14:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (58.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Kapanen Matthews
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 3.55 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Brown–Johnsson–Nylander skated 8:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (61.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brown Johnsson Nylander
Usage
Jake Gardiner (TOR) played 16:51, −4:26 down on his 21:17 season average over 61 games.Gardiner
Usage
Connor Brown (TOR) played 9:43, −4:08 down on his 13:51 season average over 81 games.Brown

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · TOR 59 · TBL 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, TOR 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	55	58
	2.19	3.05
	2.05	2.94
	8	12
	4	5
	34	19
	+0.021	−0.021
	27%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Gourde – Point
14:0661% CF
L2Stamkos – Johnson – Palat
12:2843% CF
L3Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
9:2269% CF
L4Callahan – Paquette – Erne
8:5523% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
16:3746% CF
D2Sergachev – Rutta
14:0862% CF
D3Coburn – Stralman
13:3526% CF

PP1Stamkos – Palat – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
1:34100% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
1:25
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:24
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:44
PK2DStralman – Rutta
0:53

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
14:0858% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
12:5837% CF
L3Brown – Johnsson – Nylander
8:2261% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Moore
8:1636% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
16:1247% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
13:0656% CF
D3Dermott – Rosen
11:5756% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:5267% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Johnsson – Kapanen
0:55100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:34
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:41
TORMitch Marner (Zach Hyman)wrist0.06 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Kucherov, Gourde, Point, CernakTOR: Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Rosen
TBL 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

5:37
TBLSteven StamkosSH (Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, CirelliTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
TBL 1 – 1 TOR

3rd period

14:12
TBLAlex Killorn (Steven Stamkos, Mikhail Sergachev)snap0.11 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, SergachevTOR: Marleau, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews, Rosen
TBL 2 – 1 TOR
19:05
TBLNikita KucherovEN (Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.58 xG
TBL: Callahan, McDonagh, Kucherov, Paquette, CernakTOR: Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Rosen
TBL 3 – 1 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.75	0	1	0	20:26	—	—	56	42
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	1	1	0	18:47	—	—	56	42
Yanni Gourde C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	0	16:36	—	—	62	53
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.72	0	1	0	17:31	—	—	44	46
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.21	1	1	0	15:55	—	—	45	45
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	3	0	0	15:50	—	—	41	38
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.13	1	1	0	12:31	—	—	65	47
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	1	0	0	12:07	—	—	60	48
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	0	0	11:33	—	—	61	42
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.12	0	2	0	12:48	—	—	23	25
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:41	—	—	25	21
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:15	—	—	23	25
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.03	2	2	0	24:06	—	—	47	36
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.08	3	3	0	21:03	—	—	48	35
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.05	3	0	2	18:36	—	—	58	63
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	0	0	17:59	—	—	63	67
Anton Stralman D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	0	19:30	—	—	32	27
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	2	17:22	—	—	39	23

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	3.55	59:24

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.47	3	0	0	19:04	—	—	58	53
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-2	6	0.61	1	0	0	19:02	—	—	63	56
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.69	4	0	0	16:56	—	—	59	56
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.52	0	2	0	20:34	—	—	41	59
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.38	3	0	0	18:46	—	—	39	60
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	2	0	0	17:54	—	—	37	56
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	1	0	16:05	—	—	57	58
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:57	—	—	61	68
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	9:43	—	—	61	68
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	11:05	—	—	42	70
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:35	—	—	46	69
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	2	0	2	10:17	—	—	42	70
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	0	0	22:52	—	—	50	58
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	0	20:40	—	—	46	59
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	21:17	—	—	50	55
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	1	1	0	16:51	—	—	56	64
Calle Rosen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	18:39	—	—	50	50
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:15	—	—	59	69

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	28	26	2	.929	2.45	58:28

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.