Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 10, 2019

FinalThursday, Oct 10, 2019· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

7

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	4	1	2	7		TBL	14	10	9	33
TOR	3	0	0	3		TOR	13	11	4	28

: TBL 61TOR 58
: TBL 3.15TOR 1.58
PP goals: TBL 2TOR 1
Hits: TBL 25TOR 15
Blocks: TBL 19TOR 14
PIM: TBL 4TOR 6
: TBL 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Toronto Maple Leafs 7–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 7–3 at TOR. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 2A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:02 together.

Points
Nikita Kucherov had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 20:23.Kucherov
Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and 3 assists (4 points) on 4 shots in 20:05.Stamkos
Points
Brayden Point had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:19.Point
Points
Anthony Cirelli had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:08.Cirelli
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 18:02.Matthews
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:02 together.Tavares Rielly Johnsson Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TBL: Stamkos–Kucherov–Point skated 14:39 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (59.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Stamkos Kucherov Point
Luck
TBL scored 7 goals on 3.15 expected goals (61 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · TOR 58 · TBL 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 50% of the game, TOR 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	56	64
	2.48	1.69
	2.34	1.65
	13	7
	8	4
	12	17
	−0.008	+0.008
	50%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
14:3959% CF
L2Killorn – Palat – Cirelli
11:5843% CF
L3Johnson – Gourde – Joseph
9:5853% CF
D1Hedman – Sergachev
16:1544% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
15:2548% CF
D3Coburn – Shattenkirk
12:1950% CF

PP1Maroon – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
3:3888% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Johnson – Gourde – Verhaeghe – Sergachev
0:54100% CF
PK1FPalat – Joseph
1:13
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:07
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:49
PK2DShattenkirk – Hedman
0:37

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
13:3062% CF
L2Tavares – Kapanen – Marner
12:0243% CF
L3Kerfoot – Moore – Mikheyev
10:3550% CF
L4Spezza – Petan – Gauthier
8:2760% CF
D1Rielly – Ceci
14:4952% CF
D2Muzzin – Barrie
13:5343% CF
D3Holl – Sandin
8:3167% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
2:02100% CF
PP2Spezza – Barrie – Kerfoot – Nylander – Kapanen
1:01100% CF
PK1FMarner – Mikheyev
2:53
PK2FGauthier – Kapanen
0:33
PK1DMuzzin – Ceci
3:40
PK2DHoll – Rielly
0:50

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:28
TBLBrayden Point (Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.04 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, SergachevTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner
TBL 1 – 0 TOR
4:19
TORAndreas JohnssonPP (Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner)snap0.13 xG
TBL: Coburn, Shattenkirk, Palat, CirelliTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews
TBL 1 – 1 TOR
7:46
TORJohn Tavares (Justin Holl, Kasperi Kapanen)tip-in0.07 xG
TBL: Witkowski, Hedman, Verhaeghe, Cirelli, SergachevTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Kapanen, Marner
TBL 1 – 2 TOR
11:24
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Victor Hedman, Anthony Cirelli)snap0.01 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, CirelliTOR: Rielly, Ceci, Marner, Mikheyev
TBL 2 – 2 TOR
12:45
TBLKevin Shattenkirk (Tyler Johnson)backhand0.08 xG
TBL: Coburn, Shattenkirk, Johnson, Gourde, JosephTOR: Barrie, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews
TBL 3 – 2 TOR
17:56
TORAuston Matthews (Jake Muzzin, William Nylander)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, SergachevTOR: Muzzin, Holl, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews
TBL 3 – 3 TOR
19:17
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Anthony Cirelli, Brayden Point)snap0.20 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, CirelliTOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Ceci, Kapanen
TBL 4 – 3 TOR

2nd period

10:46
TBLBrayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos)tip-in0.08 xG
TBL: Coburn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Kucherov, PointTOR: Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Petan, Gauthier
TBL 5 – 3 TOR

3rd period

3:56
TBLOndrej Palat (Anthony Cirelli, Mikhail Sergachev)deflected0.01 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli, SergachevTOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner
TBL 6 – 3 TOR
6:57
TBLNikita Kucherov (Steven Stamkos)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, SergachevTOR: Muzzin, Barrie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Kapanen
TBL 7 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	2	2	4	+3	2	0.15	0	1	2	20:23	—	—	59	73
Steven Stamkos C	L1	1	3	4	+2	4	0.70	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	56	71
Brayden Point C	L1	2	1	3	+2	5	0.69	1	0	0	19:19	—	—	56	72
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	3	3	0	2	0.04	1	3	0	17:08	—	—	31	47
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	36	54
Ondrej Palat L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.44	4	0	0	14:33	—	—	41	61
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.45	1	1	0	13:52	—	—	48	40
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:19	—	—	58	50
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:17	—	—	50	49
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	2	3	2	23:50	—	—	45	71
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	1	0	0	19:59	—	—	48	72
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	3	0	19:55	—	—	41	34
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	5	0	0	18:46	—	—	52	43
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.13	0	3	0	18:47	—	—	46	49
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	+3	2	0.01	2	2	0	15:05	—	—	52	58
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:57	—	—	41	58
Carter Verhaeghe C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:21	—	—	43	47
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	3	1	0	10:10	—	—	35	47

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	28	25	3	.893	1.58	59:43

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	0	6	0.48	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	66	42
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	17:27	—	—	57	35
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	57	29
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.11	1	0	0	20:47	—	—	48	46
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.18	0	0	0	16:59	—	—	45	38
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	2	0	2	15:56	—	—	41	42
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:27	—	—	52	40
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	1	1	0	15:30	—	—	54	41
Trevor Moore L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	2	4	0	12:10	—	—	50	47
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:39	—	—	53	54
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	10:24	—	—	60	54
Nic Petan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	2	8:50	—	—	60	54
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	0	0	0	22:57	—	—	49	35
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	2	0	20:52	—	—	57	49
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.01	3	3	0	24:02	—	—	47	31
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	-4	3	0.05	1	0	0	19:37	—	—	50	39
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	+2	3	0.02	0	0	0	15:28	—	—	63	48
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	2	0	13:51	—	—	59	50

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	28	21	7	.750	2.64	46:41
Michael Hutchinson	—	5	5	0	.1000	0.51	13:03

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.