Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMay 2, 2022

FinalPlayoffsMonday, May 2, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

0

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	0	0		TBL	5	11	8	24
TOR	1	3	1	5		TOR	8	11	13	32

: TBL 62TOR 56
: TBL 2.24TOR 4.17
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 1
Hits: TBL 56TOR 36
Blocks: TBL 10TOR 26
PIM: TBL 51TOR 62
: TBL 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Tampa Bay Lightning 5–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–0 at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Auston Matthews (TOR) played 16:47, −6:25 down on his 23:12 season average over 6 games.

Points
Auston Matthews had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 6 shots in 16:47.Matthews
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 19:18.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:44.Rielly
Points
Ondrej Kase had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:29.Kase
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 16:47, −6:25 down on his 23:12 season average over 6 games.Matthews
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 17:44, −5:40 down on his 23:24 season average over 6 games.Rielly
Luck
TBL scored 0 goals on 2.24 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 19:18, −4:14 down on his 23:32 season average over 6 games.Marner

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · TOR 56 · TBL 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 29% of the game, TOR 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	53	40
	1.55	2.59
	1.50	2.37
	8	11
	7	5
	14	19
	−0.045	+0.045
	29%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Palat – Kucherov
4:5963% CF
L2Paul – Colton – Hagel
4:5050% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
3:5050% CF
L4Killorn – Point – Cirelli
3:3940% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
6:2656% CF
D2Sergachev – Foote
4:4589% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
2:5130% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
8:1371% CF
PP2Perry – Maroon – Palat – Sergachev – Colton
3:36100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
3:36
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
2:51
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:03
PK2DSergachev – Foote
2:22

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
4:5533% CF
L2Kerfoot – Marner – Matthews
3:5750% CF
L3Tavares – Blackwell – Nylander
1:2517% CF
D1Muzzin – Brodie
9:5560% CF
D2Giordano – Liljegren
9:5538% CF
D3Rielly – Lyubushkin
8:5242% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
6:49100% CF
PP2Brodie – Engvall – Kase – Liljegren – Mikheyev
2:58100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
3:06
PK2FKerfoot – Kase
1:24
PK1DMuzzin – Brodie
5:47
PK2DGiordano – Liljegren
4:16

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

18:19
TORJake Muzzin (Ondrej Kase, Ilya Mikheyev)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: Hedman, Point, Cernak, Colton, HagelTOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Engvall, Kase, Mikheyev
TBL 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

6:18
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Mitch Marner, John Tavares)slap0.15 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Bellemare, CernakTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Mikheyev
TBL 0 – 2 TOR
9:27
TORDavid KampfSH (Mitch Marner)wrist0.15 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointTOR: Brodie, Marner, Liljegren, Kampf
TBL 0 – 3 TOR
16:39
TORMitch Marner (Morgan Rielly, Auston Matthews)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Bellemare, CernakTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews
TBL 0 – 4 TOR

3rd period

8:16
TORAuston Matthews (Ondrej Kase, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, RuttaTOR: Giordano, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
TBL 0 – 5 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.31	3	0	2	19:27	—	—	52	31
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.49	4	0	0	17:41	—	—	62	38
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	13:47	—	—	57	25
Ross Colton C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	3	0	0	14:34	—	—	65	49
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	4	0	0	14:04	—	—	53	34
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	3	0	2	13:32	—	—	58	34
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:25	—	—	42	32
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	1	0	16	10:08	—	—	53	38
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	3	0	10	10:08	—	—	56	50
Alex Killorn L	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	2	0	0	20:12	—	—	50	20
Brayden Point C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.26	3	0	0	19:28	—	—	63	50
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.11	6	0	0	14:18	—	—	71	45
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	5	0	20:16	—	—	57	39
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:28	—	—	54	21
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	4	2	4	23:30	—	—	58	45
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	7	2	0	14:24	—	—	79	61
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	-3	5	0.15	1	0	0	22:41	—	—	56	42
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	17	8:21	—	—	28	14

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	32	27	5	.844	4.17	59:29

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Kampf C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	3	1	0	19:29	—	—	56	68
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.27	2	0	2	19:13	—	—	62	74
Ilya Mikheyev R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.17	2	1	4	17:41	—	—	36	40
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	2	3	+3	2	0.47	2	1	0	19:18	—	—	50	82
Auston Matthews C	L2	2	1	3	+2	6	0.72	1	0	0	16:47	—	—	38	83
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.22	1	1	0	15:00	—	—	32	59
John Tavares C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.50	1	3	0	18:19	—	—	34	52
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.67	1	1	0	15:36	—	—	48	64
Colin Blackwell C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	0	10:45	—	—	42	64
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+3	1	0.14	2	3	2	22:47	—	—	57	70
Jake Muzzin D	D1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.03	6	3	0	22:07	—	—	46	65
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	0	20:14	—	—	35	51
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	2	5	0	19:57	—	—	39	52
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	2	2	+1	3	0.28	2	5	15	17:44	—	—	42	69
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	0	14	10:05	—	—	42	66
Ondrej Kase R	—	0	2	2	+1	3	0.31	0	2	0	13:29	—	—	44	56
Wayne Simmonds R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	10	5:40	—	—	42	43
Kyle Clifford L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	15	0:49	—	—	—	—

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	24	24	0	.1000	2.24	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.