Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMay 10, 2022

FinalPlayoffsTuesday, May 10, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	0	1	3		TBL	14	9	12	35
TOR	0	1	3	4		TOR	4	14	7	25

: TBL 47TOR 58
: TBL 2.82TOR 2.33
PP goals: TBL 1TOR 1
Hits: TBL 41TOR 31
Blocks: TBL 16TOR 7
PIM: TBL 8TOR 10
: TBL 38%TOR 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:39 together.

Points
William Nylander had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 16:52.Nylander
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:47.Tavares
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:13.Kucherov
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 1:39 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point
Goalie
Jack Campbell (TOR) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +6 against a season average of 29.0; the win.Campbell
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander skated 5:06 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Kerfoot Nylander
Luck
TOR scored 4 goals on 2.33 expected goals (58 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Ondrej Kase (TOR) played 7:09, −3:45 down on his 10:54 season average over 6 games.Kase

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · TOR 58 · TBL 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, TOR 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	38	54
	1.66	1.72
	1.61	1.66
	7	16
	6	8
	14	8
	−0.062	+0.062
	27%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Paul – Colton – Hagel
8:5946% CF
L2Stamkos – Palat – Kucherov
4:3162% CF
L3Killorn – Point – Cirelli
4:0460% CF
L4Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
3:420% CF
D1Hedman – Cernak
8:2419% CF
D2Sergachev – Foote
7:3440% CF
D3McDonagh – Bogosian
5:3267% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
1:39100% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Hedman – Palat – Kucherov
0:41100% CF
PK1FPaul – Bellemare
2:27
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:11
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:10
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
2:28

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
10:4677% CF
L2Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
7:0050% CF
L3Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
5:0657% CF
L4Spezza – Blackwell – Kase
3:5540% CF
D1Muzzin – Brodie
15:5446% CF
D2Rielly – Lyubushkin
13:0271% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
9:5367% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:43100% CF
PP2Spezza – Rielly – Bunting – Kase – Mikheyev
1:2650% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:19
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
0:28
PK1DGiordano – Holl
1:23
PK2DMuzzin – Brodie
1:03

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:19
TBLSteven Stamkos (Ondrej Palat, Nikita Kucherov)slap0.04 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Bogosian, Palat, KucherovTOR: Muzzin, Brodie, Kerfoot, Engvall, Kampf
TBL 1 – 0 TOR
6:11
TBLVictor HedmanPP (Nikita Kucherov, Alex Killorn)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointTOR: Giordano, Holl, Marner, Kampf
TBL 2 – 0 TOR

2nd period

3:35
TORJohn TavaresPP (William Nylander, Mark Giordano)tip-in0.12 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Bellemare, SergachevTOR: Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
TBL 2 – 1 TOR

3rd period

3:01
TORMorgan Rielly (John Tavares, William Nylander)snap0.14 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Point, CernakTOR: Giordano, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander
TBL 2 – 2 TOR
4:14
TORWilliam Nylander (Ilya Mikheyev, Justin Holl)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, PointTOR: Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Mikheyev
TBL 2 – 3 TOR
8:17
TBLRyan McDonagh (Ross Colton, Nick Paul)slap0.05 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Paul, Sergachev, Colton, HagelTOR: Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin
TBL 3 – 3 TOR
13:54
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Michael Bunting)snap0.02 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Paul, Cernak, Colton, HagelTOR: Giordano, Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
TBL 3 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Paul L	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.55	5	1	0	17:15	—	—	39	63
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:38	—	—	44	64
Ross Colton C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	47	64
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	2	2	0	6	0.67	0	0	0	20:13	—	—	56	59
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.27	5	3	4	16:57	—	—	39	57
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	5	0	0	14:41	—	—	50	57
Brayden Point C	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.54	2	0	2	21:13	—	—	54	43
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	4	1	0	20:01	—	—	37	35
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	0	1	0	16:37	—	—	47	40
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	10:01	—	—	0	0
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:00	—	—	0	0
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:08	—	—	0	0
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	0	1	-2	8	0.18	4	3	0	26:22	—	—	38	39
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	2	0	21:25	—	—	23	32
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	2	1	0	21:42	—	—	50	52
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:04	—	—	33	44
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.15	0	3	0	22:26	—	—	54	74
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	0	2	9:03	—	—	69	68

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	25	21	4	.840	2.33	58:47

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.38	4	0	2	23:52	—	—	67	68
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.22	7	1	0	23:41	—	—	74	64
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.34	2	0	0	14:20	—	—	80	76
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	0	0	2	17:12	—	—	45	20
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	47	33
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	0	0	13:25	—	—	39	15
John Tavares C	L3	1	1	2	+1	1	0.12	2	0	0	17:47	—	—	47	33
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	1	1	0	17:18	—	—	61	64
William Nylander R	L3	1	2	3	+2	3	0.59	0	0	2	16:52	—	—	67	75
Ondrej Kase R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	7:09	—	—	40	34
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	2	0	0	5:50	—	—	40	34
Colin Blackwell C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	4:48	—	—	46	34
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	22:02	—	—	48	34
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	2	0	21:49	—	—	45	33
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	21:47	—	—	67	58
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	3	1	0	14:01	—	—	62	60
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.05	2	1	2	18:44	—	—	68	65
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	3	0	0	14:57	—	—	65	67

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	35	32	3	.914	2.82	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.