Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsDec 20, 2022

FinalTuesday, Dec 20, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

1

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	4	4	11	19
TOR	1	1	2	4		TOR	15	14	11	40

: TBL 44TOR 55
: TBL 1.32TOR 5.12
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 1
Hits: TBL 33TOR 20
Blocks: TBL 5TOR 14
PIM: TBL 6TOR 6
: TBL 49%TOR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1 at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Rasmus Sandin (TOR) played 8:30, −10:59 down on his 19:29 season average over 70 games.

Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 8 shots in 20:43.Nylander
Usage
Rasmus Sandin (TOR) played 8:30, −10:59 down on his 19:29 season average over 70 games.Sandin
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +7 against a season average of 31.3; the loss.Vasilevskiy
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Jarnkrok–Marner skated 9:12 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Jarnkrok Marner
Usage
Steven Stamkos (TBL) played 15:04, −4:00 down on his 19:04 season average over 80 games.Stamkos
Usage
Mark Giordano (TOR) played 22:12, +3:18 up on his 18:54 season average over 77 games.Giordano
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 17:42, −3:37 down on his 21:19 season average over 79 games.Marner
Usage
TJ Brodie (TOR) played 24:56, +3:47 up on his 21:09 season average over 57 games.Brodie

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · TOR 55 · TBL 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 23% of the game, TOR 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	49	49
	1.52	2.63
	1.49	2.50
	10	13
	2	1
	14	23
	+0.023	−0.023
	23%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
6:4833% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Paul
5:4043% CF
L3Perry – Namestnikov – Bellemare
5:2450% CF
L4Maroon – Cirelli – Colton
3:370% CF
D1Cole – Cernak
14:3150% CF
D2Hedman – Perbix
13:2756% CF
D3Bogosian – Sergachev
8:4553% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Hagel
0:56
PP2Perry – Killorn – Paul – Sergachev – Colton
0:39100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
1:33
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
0:48
PK1DCole – Cernak
0:48
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
0:36

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
12:5761% CF
L2Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
10:0825% CF
L3Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
9:1260% CF
L4Anderson – Aston-Reese – Holmberg
7:3214% CF
D1Brodie – Timmins
7:4143% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
7:3967% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
5:5862% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Bunting – Marner – Matthews
2:42100% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Engvall – Timmins – Holmberg
0:29
PK1FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
0:41
PK2FAston-Reese – Kampf
0:38
PK1DBrodie – Holl
1:33
PK2DGiordano – Timmins
0:22

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

16:45
TORMichael Bunting (William Nylander)snap0.07 xG
TBL: Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, SergachevTOR: Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins
TBL 0 – 1 TOR

2nd period

1:01
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Rasmus Sandin, Mitch Marner)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Killorn, Paul, Cernak, SergachevTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Sandin
TBL 0 – 2 TOR

3rd period

4:09
TBLVladislav Namestnikov (Steven Stamkos)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, SergachevTOR: Giordano, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins
TBL 1 – 2 TOR
18:14
TORPierre EngvallEN (David Kampf, Mark Giordano)wrist0.74 xG
TBL: Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, SergachevTOR: Giordano, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf
TBL 1 – 3 TOR
19:28
TORWilliam NylanderEN (Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.96 xG
TBL: Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PaulTOR: Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Liljegren
TBL 1 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.38	0	0	0	20:24	—	—	35	39
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:07	—	—	32	37
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.14	1	0	2	16:48	—	—	61	50
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:22	—	—	55	31
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	15:36	—	—	40	18
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	8	0	0	15:04	—	—	74	56
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:09	—	—	63	66
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.07	0	0	0	12:25	—	—	73	47
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	2	12:08	—	—	50	36
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	28	22
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	5	0	0	10:35	—	—	44	28
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	0	0	10:05	—	—	50	42
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	21:41	—	—	46	33
Ian Cole D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	0	2	19:47	—	—	46	31
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	23:41	—	—	51	38
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	16:54	—	—	52	21
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	1	0	0	22:48	—	—	58	46
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	2	0	12:40	—	—	45	51

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	38	36	2	.947	3.42	59:10

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.57	1	0	0	21:24	—	—	59	65
William Nylander R	L1	1	1	2	+1	8	1.52	0	0	0	20:43	—	—	62	61
Michael Bunting L	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.68	0	0	2	17:15	—	—	62	73
Pierre Engvall L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.81	1	0	0	15:16	—	—	33	65
David Kampf C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	3	1	0	14:20	—	—	39	31
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	0	2	0	14:00	—	—	31	61
Mitch Marner R	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.24	1	1	0	17:42	—	—	68	96
John Tavares C	L3	0	0	0	+1	5	0.93	4	1	0	17:19	—	—	52	79
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	1	0	12:50	—	—	48	72
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	0	0	12:39	—	—	33	18
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	10:22	—	—	40	51
Joey Anderson R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	8:47	—	—	25	19
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	3	0	24:56	—	—	29	54
Conor Timmins D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	0	16:11	—	—	62	67
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	1	0	22:45	—	—	41	47
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	22:12	—	—	50	65
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	1	1	4	21:17	—	—	66	67
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:30	—	—	53	68

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	19	18	1	.947	1.32	59:32

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.