Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsApr 18, 2023

FinalPlayoffsTuesday, Apr 18, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

7

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	3	3	1	7		TBL	15	14	5	34
TOR	0	2	1	3		TOR	10	10	11	31

: TBL 61TOR 64
: TBL 3.62TOR 3.05
PP goals: TBL 4TOR 2
Hits: TBL 39TOR 42
Blocks: TBL 20TOR 17
PIM: TBL 8TOR 23
: TBL 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning rout Toronto Maple Leafs 7–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 7–3 at TOR. Corey Perry (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point and Sergachev) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 5:22 together.

Points
Corey Perry had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 7 shots in 13:49.Perry
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:00.Kucherov
Points
Mitch Marner had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 23:06.Marner
Points
Brayden Point had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:23.Point
Points
Anthony Cirelli had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:31.Cirelli
Points
Ross Colton had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 12:28.Colton
Points
Auston Matthews had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:50.Matthews
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point and Sergachev) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 5:22 together.Killorn Stamkos Kucherov Point Sergachev

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · TOR 64 · TBL 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 34% of the game, TOR 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	41	60
	1.74	2.72
	1.70	2.63
	8	18
	4	4
	16	12
	−0.064	+0.064
	34%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
8:3933% CF
L2Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
7:5848% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
6:0864% CF
L4Paul – Colton – Eyssimont
4:3557% CF
D1Raddysh – Sergachev
14:3336% CF
D2Cole – Perbix
10:1346% CF
D3Hedman – Cernak
1:2933% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
5:22100% CF
PP2Perry – Paul – Raddysh – Colton – Hagel
2:18100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Bellemare
2:41
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
2:22
PK1DCole – Raddysh
3:06
PK2DCernak – Sergachev
0:00

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1O'Reilly – Tavares – Nylander
7:5774% CF
L2Bunting – Marner – Matthews
7:2541% CF
L3Lafferty – Aston-Reese – Kampf
6:4550% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Acciari
5:1020% CF
D1Brodie – McCabe
11:5562% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
11:0965% CF
D3Schenn – Rielly
10:5375% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
4:32100% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Nylander – Lafferty
1:29100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
3:18
PK2FO'Reilly – Kerfoot
1:48
PK1DBrodie – Holl
4:31
PK2DGiordano – McCabe
1:49

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:18
TBLPierre-Edouard Bellemare (Corey Perry)backhand0.02 xG
TBL: Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, PerbixTOR: Giordano, Holl, Lafferty, Aston-Reese, Kampf
TBL 1 – 0 TOR
7:18
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Brandon Hagel)snap0.03 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, PerbixTOR: Giordano, O'Reilly, Tavares, McCabe, Nylander
TBL 2 – 0 TOR
19:56
TBLNikita KucherovPP (Mikhail Sergachev, Alex Killorn)slap0.06 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, SergachevTOR: Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Acciari
TBL 3 – 0 TOR

2nd period

8:06
TORRyan O'ReillyPP (John Tavares, Mitch Marner)snap0.17 xG
TBL: Cole, Cirelli, Sergachev, HagelTOR: O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
TBL 3 – 1 TOR
13:11
TORWilliam NylanderPP (Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner)wrist0.06 xG
TBL: Killorn, Bellemare, Raddysh, SergachevTOR: Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
TBL 3 – 2 TOR
14:29
TBLBrayden PointPP (Nikita Kucherov, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, SergachevTOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, Holl, Marner
TBL 4 – 2 TOR
17:54
TBLCorey PerryPP (Ross Colton)other0.18 xG
TBL: Perry, Paul, Raddysh, Colton, HagelTOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, Holl, Kerfoot
TBL 5 – 2 TOR
19:58
TBLBrayden PointPP (Corey Perry, Nikita Kucherov)backhand0.12 xG
TBL: Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, HagelTOR: Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Marner
TBL 6 – 2 TOR

3rd period

6:59
TBLRoss Colton (Nick Perbix, Ian Cole)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Cole, Maroon, Paul, Colton, PerbixTOR: O'Reilly, Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Nylander
TBL 7 – 2 TOR
8:06
TORCalle Jarnkrok (Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews)backhand0.29 xG
TBL: Killorn, Raddysh, Cirelli, Sergachev, HagelTOR: Schenn, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Marner, Matthews
TBL 7 – 3 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	2	0	2	0	4	0.54	1	1	0	20:23	—	—	30	21
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	2	3	0	4	0.48	3	1	0	20:00	—	—	27	10
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	1	0	0	18:42	—	—	35	20
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.46	2	0	0	21:38	—	—	33	38
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.12	1	0	0	20:07	—	—	45	42
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	1	2	0	1	0.03	0	4	2	15:31	—	—	37	42
Corey Perry R	L3	1	2	3	+1	7	0.99	2	0	0	13:49	—	—	67	69
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.11	4	0	0	10:58	—	—	50	50
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	1	0	0	10:11	—	—	58	61
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.24	7	1	0	16:37	—	—	36	35
Ross Colton C	L4	1	1	2	+1	2	0.18	1	0	2	12:28	—	—	40	43
Michael Eyssimont C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	5:13	—	—	50	14
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.05	4	2	2	26:23	—	—	39	15
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	5	3	0	23:37	—	—	30	15
Ian Cole D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	4	2	0	24:18	—	—	34	39
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:36	—	—	54	61
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	3	2	9:27	—	—	25	13
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	1	1	0	6:35	—	—	57	85

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	31	28	3	.903	3.05	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	0	1	-2	1	0.20	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	77	46
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	-2	4	0.36	0	0	0	15:54	—	—	83	62
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.34	2	0	0	14:42	—	—	77	47
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	3	3	+1	3	0.09	2	1	0	23:06	—	—	55	72
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.38	5	1	0	17:50	—	—	60	73
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	15	8:32	—	—	47	51
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	2	2	2	13:05	—	—	53	62
Sam Lafferty C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	2	1	0	11:20	—	—	61	63
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	2	0	0	9:49	—	—	56	61
Noel Acciari C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	1	0	15:38	—	—	33	61
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	2	2	0	14:28	—	—	47	69
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.29	1	0	0	12:08	—	—	42	65
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	2	21:46	—	—	64	71
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	7	1	2	19:54	—	—	47	53
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	3	0	20:13	—	—	63	48
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	2	1	0	18:23	—	—	59	48
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	1	0	0	19:20	—	—	61	72
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	1	2	14:54	—	—	70	87

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	29	23	6	.793	3.14	40:00
Joseph Woll	—	5	4	1	.800	0.47	20:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.