Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsApr 20, 2023

FinalPlayoffsThursday, Apr 20, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	1	2		TBL	8	9	5	22
TOR	3	3	1	7		TOR	12	17	8	37

: TBL 50TOR 65
: TBL 1.75TOR 4.41
PP goals: TBL 0TOR 2
Hits: TBL 53TOR 41
Blocks: TBL 16TOR 17
PIM: TBL 49TOR 23
: TBL 50%TOR 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Tampa Bay Lightning 7–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 7–2 at home. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 4A. TOR's first power-play unit (O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:20 together.

Points
John Tavares had a hat trick (3 points) on 6 shots in 17:00.Tavares
Points
Morgan Rielly had 4 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 20:04.Rielly
Points
Mitch Marner had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 18:05.Marner
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:37.Nylander
Points
Auston Matthews had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:52.Matthews
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 3:20 together.O'Reilly Tavares Rielly Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander skated 9:06 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (52.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Kerfoot Nylander
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 16:52, −6:37 down on his 23:29 season average over 10 games.Matthews

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · TOR 65 · TBL 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 24% of the game, TOR 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	52	58
	1.55	2.97
	1.50	2.86
	8	14
	5	5
	22	14
	−0.020	+0.020
	24%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Point
13:0159% CF
L2Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel
8:0933% CF
L3Maroon – Paul – Colton
6:0225% CF
L4Perry – Bellemare – Jeannot
4:4845% CF
D1Raddysh – Sergachev
15:5042% CF
D2Cole – Perbix
14:5047% CF
D3Bogosian – Fleury
12:1159% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
2:27100% CF
PP2Perry – Paul – Raddysh – Colton – Hagel
1:18100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
1:42
PK2FKillorn – Bellemare
1:06
PK1DCole – Bogosian
1:38
PK2DRaddysh – Sergachev
0:45

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
9:0653% CF
L2Lafferty – Aston-Reese – Kampf
9:0546% CF
L3O'Reilly – Acciari – Knies
8:3559% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Marner – Matthews
8:0860% CF
D1Brodie – McCabe
15:1941% CF
D2Schenn – Rielly
12:4952% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
11:0054% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:20100% CF
PP2Giordano – Brodie – Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Knies
1:00100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:13
PK2FJarnkrok – Acciari
0:42
PK1DBrodie – Holl
1:48
PK2DGiordano – Schenn
1:02

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:47
TORMitch MarnerPP (Morgan Rielly, Auston Matthews)slap0.04 xG
TBL: Raddysh, Cirelli, Sergachev, HagelTOR: O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
TBL 0 – 1 TOR
12:45
TORJohn Tavares (Morgan Rielly)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Cirelli, Hagel, PerbixTOR: Schenn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander
TBL 0 – 2 TOR
15:08
TORWilliam Nylander (Morgan Rielly, Auston Matthews)wrist0.06 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Paul, Point, Raddysh, SergachevTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
TBL 0 – 3 TOR

2nd period

8:58
TBLIan Cole (Steven Stamkos, Brayden Point)backhand0.14 xG
TBL: Cole, Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, PointTOR: Giordano, O'Reilly, Holl, Nylander, Matthews
TBL 1 – 3 TOR
13:14
TORJohn Tavares (Morgan Rielly, William Nylander)backhand0.17 xG
TBL: Cole, Maroon, Paul, Colton, PerbixTOR: Schenn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander
TBL 1 – 4 TOR
15:52
TORZachary Aston-Reese (David Kampf, Sam Lafferty)wrist0.05 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, SergachevTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Lafferty, Aston-Reese, Kampf
TBL 1 – 5 TOR
18:02
TORMitch Marner (TJ Brodie)tip-in0.01 xG
TBL: Killorn, Cole, Cirelli, Hagel, PerbixTOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Marner, Matthews
TBL 1 – 6 TOR

3rd period

12:38
TBLCorey Perry (Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Patrick Maroon)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Perry, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare, PerbixTOR: Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Acciari, Matthews
TBL 2 – 6 TOR
15:06
TORJohn TavaresPP (Mitch Marner, Ryan O'Reilly)wrist0.43 xG
TBL: Cole, Maroon, Bogosian, BellemareTOR: O'Reilly, Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
TBL 2 – 7 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.36	3	1	0	17:46	—	—	61	45
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	3	0	0	17:08	—	—	58	37
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.16	3	0	2	16:58	—	—	59	40
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	0	0	15:35	—	—	33	7
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	5	2	0	13:05	—	—	26	8
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	3	0	0	12:55	—	—	28	8
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	5	1	2	16:08	—	—	33	14
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	14:22	—	—	50	39
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.18	3	0	14	11:17	—	—	50	39
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:38	—	—	54	54
Corey Perry R	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.27	1	1	7	13:13	—	—	56	58
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	5	11:38	—	—	29	25
Darren Raddysh D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	3	4	0	22:24	—	—	37	18
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	3	3	10	21:48	—	—	43	29
Ian Cole D	D2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.14	1	2	4	21:21	—	—	47	40
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	2	2	0	16:36	—	—	49	38
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	5	0	5	18:18	—	—	65	44
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	5	0	0	15:41	—	—	56	25

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	37	30	7	.811	4.41	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	3	0	3	+3	6	1.19	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	54	67
William Nylander R	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.12	0	0	0	15:37	—	—	54	61
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	0	0	+3	2	0.41	4	0	0	15:05	—	—	48	70
David Kampf C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.19	3	1	0	14:24	—	—	41	82
Sam Lafferty C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	2	0	0	12:15	—	—	33	49
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	5	2	0	11:59	—	—	44	63
Ryan O'Reilly C	L3	0	1	1	-1	6	0.68	3	0	0	18:40	—	—	58	67
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	3	1	0	14:38	—	—	57	75
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	5	0	4	13:10	—	—	52	87
Mitch Marner R	L4	2	1	3	+1	3	0.12	0	1	0	18:05	—	—	61	43
Auston Matthews C	L4	0	2	2	0	3	0.45	1	1	0	16:52	—	—	54	28
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.11	0	0	0	11:51	—	—	67	89
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	3	0	23:11	—	—	54	85
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	1	2	20:03	—	—	40	56
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	4	4	+4	2	0.07	2	2	0	20:04	—	—	53	68
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	5	0	5	17:48	—	—	58	77
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	3	7	17:51	—	—	57	45
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.31	0	2	5	16:10	—	—	55	53

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	22	20	2	.909	1.75	59:33

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.