Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 21, 2024

FinalMonday, Oct 21, 2024· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	0	1	2		TBL	11	16	7	34
TOR	1	4	0	5		TOR	8	11	10	29

: TBL 66TOR 67
: TBL 4.10TOR 4.48
PP goals: TBL 1TOR 1
Hits: TBL 20TOR 20
Blocks: TBL 14TOR 18
PIM: TBL 13TOR 17
: TBL 63%TOR 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2 at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TBL's first power-play unit (Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point and Hagel) scored 1 power-play goal on 14 attempts in 5:13 together.

Points
William Nylander had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 16:22.Nylander
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:21.Marner
Points
Victor Hedman had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:19.Hedman
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point and Hagel) scored 1 power-play goal on 14 attempts in 5:13 together.Hedman Kucherov Guentzel Point Hagel
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 4:58 together.Tavares Ekman-Larsson Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Pacioretty–Tavares–Robertson skated 8:18 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pacioretty Tavares Robertson
Luck
TBL scored 2 goals on 4.10 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Lorentz–Kampf–Holmberg skated 8:14 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lorentz Kampf Holmberg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · TOR 67 · TBL 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 35% of the game, TOR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	50	61
	2.78	2.93
	2.62	2.45
	11	11
	4	6
	19	19
	+0.076	−0.076
	35%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
11:2638% CF
L2Atkinson – Paul – Geekie
3:5450% CF
L3Cirelli – Hagel – Chaffee
3:3133% CF
L4Glendening – Girgensons – Eyssimont
3:05100% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
12:1660% CF
D2Hedman – Moser
11:0148% CF
D3Raddysh – Lilleberg
10:1929% CF

PP1Hedman – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
5:1393% CF
PP2Atkinson – Paul – Cirelli – Moser – Geekie
1:16100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
3:24
PK2FGlendening – Girgensons
2:40
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:12
PK2DHedman – Moser
3:05

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Pacioretty – Tavares – Robertson
8:1863% CF
L2Marner – Matthews – Knies
8:1767% CF
L3Lorentz – Kampf – Holmberg
8:1458% CF
L4Domi – Nylander – McMann
6:4350% CF
D1Tanev – Rielly
11:2364% CF
D2Ekman-Larsson – McCabe
9:1468% CF
D3Timmins – Benoit
7:2033% CF

PP1Tavares – Ekman-Larsson – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:5891% CF
PP2Pacioretty – Rielly – Domi – Robertson – Knies
0:54
PK1FMarner – Matthews
2:34
PK2FLorentz – Holmberg
1:15
PK1DTanev – McCabe
3:04
PK2DTimmins – Benoit
1:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	21:55	—	—	32	38
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.39	2	1	0	21:39	—	—	39	48
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.60	0	2	2	20:19	—	—	38	45
Nick Paul L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.25	4	0	0	15:24	—	—	54	59
Conor Geekie C	L2	0	0	0	-3	0	0.01	1	1	0	13:34	—	—	53	19
Cam Atkinson R	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.06	1	1	0	9:29	—	—	46	23
Brandon Hagel L	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.47	1	0	0	21:39	—	—	45	45
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	2	0	16:50	—	—	56	49
Mitchell Chaffee R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	4	0	2	13:30	—	—	30	32
Michael Eyssimont C	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.82	1	0	0	11:11	—	—	65	75
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:26	—	—	60	79
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	5	8:32	—	—	75	92
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	1	0	18:26	—	—	55	58
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	1	0	18:09	—	—	56	81
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	2	2	+1	3	0.62	0	2	0	24:19	—	—	45	51
J.J. Moser D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	0	1	0	21:52	—	—	48	46
Darren Raddysh D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.03	0	0	2	15:45	—	—	41	33
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	2	2	2	13:18	—	—	24	6

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	14	10	4	.714	2.29	29:31
Jonas Johansson	—	15	14	1	.933	1.71	28:22

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.42	1	0	2	16:32	—	—	54	30
Nick Robertson L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.18	0	1	0	12:32	—	—	70	67
Max Pacioretty L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.27	3	1	0	12:21	—	—	63	63
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.54	0	0	0	22:21	—	—	54	62
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	+1	6	1.19	0	2	0	20:38	—	—	70	86
Matthew Knies L	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.52	2	0	0	14:31	—	—	59	61
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.47	1	1	0	13:52	—	—	65	66
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.16	0	0	0	12:28	—	—	44	42
Steven Lorentz C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	3	0	0	11:41	—	—	47	44
William Nylander R	L4	2	1	3	+2	5	0.45	0	0	0	16:22	—	—	50	33
Bobby McMann C	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.03	2	0	2	11:36	—	—	42	33
Max Domi C	L4	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	0	1	9	10:35	—	—	46	34
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	0	2	0	18:29	—	—	59	75
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	7	2	18:01	—	—	60	83
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	22:09	—	—	66	62
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	4	0	2	21:40	—	—	57	52
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	3	0	18:53	—	—	43	30
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:56	—	—	36	6

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	4.10	59:35

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

William Nylander (TOR) 1st 3:57 · assists Max Domi · Rebound · dumped in · 3-on-2 at the blue line · 58.8 mph shot · 7.4 s from entry to goal.

William Nylander · 1st 3:57 · TOR

Play: rebound
Entry: dump
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 1
Shot: 58.8 mph
Distance: 23 ft
Entry to goal: 7.4 s
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 2nd 1:56 · TOR PP

Play: rebound
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-0
Passes: 3
Shot: 20.9 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 5.1 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Paul · 1st 15:57 · TBL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 4.8 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 3.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

William Nylander · 2nd 7:33 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 52.9 mph
Distance: 21 ft
Entry to goal: 2.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Max Pacioretty · 2nd 9:31 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 66.0 mph
Distance: 57 ft
Entry to goal: 2.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matthew Knies · 2nd 14:02 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 66.7 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brayden Point · 3rd 14:53 · TBL PP

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 5-on-4
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 39.5 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 4.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsOct 21, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

William Nylander · 1st 3:57 · TOR

Auston Matthews · 2nd 1:56 · TOR PP

Nick Paul · 1st 15:57 · TBL

William Nylander · 2nd 7:33 · TOR

Max Pacioretty · 2nd 9:31 · TOR

Matthew Knies · 2nd 14:02 · TOR

Brayden Point · 3rd 14:53 · TBL PP