Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 20, 2025

FinalMonday, Jan 20, 2025· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	2	3		TBL	6	12	12	30
TOR	1	2	2	5		TOR	11	8	9	28

: TBL 60TOR 54
: TBL 2.71TOR 4.22
PP goals: TBL 1TOR 1
Hits: TBL 19TOR 12
Blocks: TBL 10TOR 11
PIM: TBL 2TOR 4
: TBL 50%TOR 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–3 at home. Matthew Knies (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 23:21, +6:08 up on his 17:13 season average over 72 games.

Points
Matthew Knies had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 19:49.Knies
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 22:13.Marner
Points
Nick Paul had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:24.Paul
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:56.Matthews
Points
Darren Raddysh had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:21.Raddysh
Points
Victor Hedman had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 23:04.Hedman
Usage
Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 23:21, +6:08 up on his 17:13 season average over 72 games.Raddysh
New line
New look for TBL: Atkinson–Glendening–Eyssimont skated 6:00 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Atkinson Glendening Eyssimont

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · TOR 54 · TBL 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 25% of the game, TOR 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	61	55
	2.35	3.11
	2.28	3.05
	6	7
	8	6
	19	22
	−0.004	+0.004
	25%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Cirelli – Hagel
12:2146% CF
L2Guentzel – Paul – Point
7:5373% CF
L3Girgensons – Chaffee – Geekie
7:0443% CF
L4Atkinson – Glendening – Eyssimont
6:0056% CF
D1Hedman – Raddysh
18:2764% CF
D2McDonagh – Crozier
16:4949% CF
D3Perbix – Lilleberg
11:2350% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Raddysh – Chaffee
1:42100% CF
PP2Hedman – Kucherov – Paul – Cirelli – Hagel
1:07100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Girgensons
0:26
PK2FCirelli – Hagel
0:22
PK1DMcDonagh – Perbix
0:48

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
13:5362% CF
L2Nylander – Holmberg – McMann
11:1133% CF
L3Domi – Robertson – Minten
8:3847% CF
L4Lorentz – Kampf – Dewar
4:4233% CF
D1Ekman-Larsson – Tanev
19:0247% CF
D2Rielly – McCabe
17:0143% CF
D3Timmins – Benoit
11:0457% CF

PP1Nylander – Marner – Matthews – McMann – Knies
0:48100% CF
PK1FMarner – Matthews
1:33
PK2FKampf – Knies
1:12
PK1DMcCabe – Benoit
1:21
PK2DTanev – Timmins
0:59

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	-3	5	0.32	0	0	0	25:06	—	—	52	38
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.07	0	2	0	23:47	—	—	48	40
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	1	1	-3	1	0.33	0	0	0	22:57	—	—	48	40
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	1	1	0	20:26	—	—	66	53
Brayden Point C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	19:53	—	—	65	56
Nick Paul L	L2	2	0	2	+1	5	0.55	1	0	0	18:24	—	—	58	52
Mitchell Chaffee R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.21	5	0	0	12:57	—	—	45	47
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	2	1	0	10:23	—	—	41	39
Conor Geekie C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	8:56	—	—	44	33
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	0	0	8:21	—	—	50	30
Michael Eyssimont C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	7:57	—	—	55	36
Cam Atkinson R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:59	—	—	56	38
Darren Raddysh D	D1	1	1	2	0	2	0.16	1	0	0	23:21	—	—	62	48
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	2	2	+2	6	0.27	0	0	0	23:04	—	—	59	40
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	0	3	0	20:43	—	—	46	38
Maxwell Crozier D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	1	0	18:11	—	—	49	45
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	0	2	15:29	—	—	45	41
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:07	—	—	53	53

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonas Johansson(start)	L	27	23	4	.852	3.15	58:11

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	2	3	+2	2	0.59	0	1	0	22:13	—	—	56	64
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+2	5	0.46	1	1	0	21:56	—	—	63	72
Matthew Knies L	L1	2	1	3	+1	4	0.89	0	0	0	19:49	—	—	58	60
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.30	0	0	0	20:55	—	—	41	39
Bobby McMann C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.83	1	1	0	19:05	—	—	35	32
Pontus Holmberg R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	1	2	13:32	—	—	40	46
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	0	0	11:21	—	—	43	62
Fraser Minten C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	0	11:07	—	—	44	56
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	10:45	—	—	50	73
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.15	1	0	2	14:01	—	—	38	59
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:28	—	—	46	72
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	1	0	5:10	—	—	40	64
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	1	0	24:21	—	—	41	46
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	23:37	—	—	50	62
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	3	0	22:45	—	—	36	45
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.20	0	1	0	20:45	—	—	47	58
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	2	0	0	13:59	—	—	65	75
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	13:08	—	—	65	74

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	30	27	3	.900	2.71	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Auston Matthews (TOR) 1st 4:06 · assists Matthew Knies, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Odd-man rush · carried in · 3-on-1 at the blue line · 61.6 mph shot · 1.5 s from entry to goal.

Auston Matthews · 1st 4:06 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 2
Shot: 61.6 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 1.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

William Nylander · 2nd 13:45 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 88.1 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 1.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Paul · 2nd 16:07 · TBL

Play: deflection
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 46.0 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matthew Knies · 2nd 19:37 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 3
Shot: 41.3 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Entry to goal: 2.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Darren Raddysh · 3rd 8:07 · TBL

Play: faceoff
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 64.2 mph
Distance: 45 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matthew Knies · 3rd 10:09 · TOR PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 30.1 mph
Distance: 4 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Paul · 3rd 12:05 · TBL PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 11.9 mph
Distance: 5 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 3rd 18:55 · TOR EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 0
Shot: 13.0 mph
Distance: 52 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 20, 2025

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Tampa Bay Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Toronto Maple Leafs

Goal anatomy

Auston Matthews · 1st 4:06 · TOR

William Nylander · 2nd 13:45 · TOR

Nick Paul · 2nd 16:07 · TBL

Matthew Knies · 2nd 19:37 · TOR

Darren Raddysh · 3rd 8:07 · TBL

Matthew Knies · 3rd 10:09 · TOR PP

Nick Paul · 3rd 12:05 · TBL PP

Mitch Marner · 3rd 18:55 · TOR EN