Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 7, 2026

FinalSaturday, Mar 7, 2026· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	4	0	1	5		TBL	12	7	14	33
TOR	1	0	1	2		TOR	11	8	10	29

: TBL 56TOR 47
: TBL 4.65TOR 2.52
PP goals: TBL 1TOR 0
Hits: TBL 26TOR 22
Blocks: TBL 11TOR 11
PIM: TBL 11TOR 11
: TBL 42%TOR 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–2 at TOR. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 0G 4A. TBL's first power-play unit (Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point and Raddysh) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 4:43 together.

Points
Nikita Kucherov had 4 assists (4 points) on 1 shot in 18:36.Kucherov
Points
Brandon Hagel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:50.Hagel
Points
Jake Guentzel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:06.Guentzel
Points
Anthony Cirelli had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 15:43.Cirelli
Points
Brayden Point had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:52.Point
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point and Raddysh) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 4:43 together.Kucherov Guentzel Bjorkstrand Point Raddysh
New line
New look for TBL: Perry–Sabourin–Geekie skated 8:18 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Perry Sabourin Geekie
New line
New look for TBL: Girgensons–Cirelli–Hagel skated 5:34 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (76.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Cirelli Hagel

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · TOR 47 · TBL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 44% of the game, TOR 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

TOR skaters (rows) against TBL skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the TOR side.

Matchup matrix

TOR xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	TOR
	53	44
	3.14	2.28
	3.01	2.21
	14	14
	1	5
	19	17
	−0.044	+0.044
	44%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
8:5450% CF
L2Perry – Sabourin – Geekie
8:1854% CF
L3Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Holmberg
7:4538% CF
L4Girgensons – Cirelli – Hagel
5:3477% CF
D1McDonagh – D'Astous
11:4332% CF
D2Hedman – Cernak
10:3371% CF
D3Raddysh – Moser
10:1060% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Bjorkstrand – Point – Raddysh
4:4380% CF
PP2Perry – Hedman – Cirelli – Hagel – Holmberg
1:16100% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
3:34
PK2FGourde – Girgensons
2:14
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:50
PK2DHedman – Moser
2:47

Current TBL line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Knies – Cowan
10:3833% CF
L2Nylander – Matthews – Maccelli
9:5162% CF
L3Domi – Joshua – Robertson
9:1658% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Lorentz – Quillan
4:2713% CF
D1Stecher – Benoit
12:0835% CF
D2McCabe – Carlo
9:0667% CF
D3Ekman-Larsson – Rielly
7:2962% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Matthews – Knies
3:48100% CF
PP2Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Robertson – Maccelli – Cowan
1:410% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Lorentz
3:43
PK2FKnies – Quillan
2:03
PK1DMcCabe – Carlo
3:44
PK2DRielly – Benoit
0:45

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:50
TORMatias Maccelli (William Nylander)wrist0.20 xG
TBL: Hedman, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, HolmbergTOR: Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews, Maccelli
TBL 0 – 1 TOR
5:36
TBLRyan McDonagh (Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, D'AstousTOR: McCabe, Nylander, Lorentz, Matthews, Benoit
TBL 1 – 1 TOR
12:30
TBLJake Guentzel (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov)backhand0.49 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, CernakTOR: Jarnkrok, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit, Quillan
TBL 2 – 1 TOR
13:48
TBLCorey Perry (Brandon Hagel, Anthony Cirelli)snap0.22 xG
TBL: Perry, McDonagh, Raddysh, Cirelli, HagelTOR: Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies
TBL 3 – 1 TOR
15:06
TBLOliver BjorkstrandPP (Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel)slap0.17 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, RaddyshTOR: Jarnkrok, McCabe, Lorentz, Stecher
TBL 4 – 1 TOR

3rd period

15:41
TBLBrandon HagelEN (Anthony Cirelli, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.96 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, HagelTOR: Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Knies, Cowan
TBL 5 – 1 TOR
19:29
TORNick Robertsonwrap-around0.13 xG
TBL: Perry, Hedman, Girgensons, D'Astous, HolmbergTOR: Domi, Joshua, Stecher, Benoit, Robertson
TBL 5 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	4	4	+3	1	0.19	0	0	0	18:36	—	—	48	76
Jake Guentzel C	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.68	0	1	0	17:06	—	—	43	70
Brayden Point C	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.55	0	0	0	16:52	—	—	36	63
Corey Perry R	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.52	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	60	67
Scott Sabourin R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	2	10:07	—	—	60	69
Conor Geekie C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	5	0	2	10:04	—	—	57	69
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:33	—	—	53	36
Oliver Bjorkstrand R	L3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.19	3	1	0	14:56	—	—	42	33
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.19	0	1	0	14:01	—	—	47	32
Brandon Hagel L	L4	1	1	2	+2	3	1.15	0	0	0	18:50	—	—	69	67
Anthony Cirelli C	L4	0	2	2	+2	5	0.43	1	2	0	15:43	—	—	72	72
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	13:18	—	—	56	16
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.03	1	1	0	17:25	—	—	36	46
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	5	16:04	—	—	32	37
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	0	0	20:54	—	—	64	75
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	19:45	—	—	67	74
Darren Raddysh D	D3	0	0	0	+1	5	0.51	3	0	2	20:45	—	—	63	57
J.J. Moser D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	1	0	18:44	—	—	59	40

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	29	27	2	.931	2.52	59:19

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.20	1	1	0	19:58	—	—	38	30
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	2	0	19:13	—	—	38	40
Easton Cowan R	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	1	0	15:18	—	—	41	42
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	-2	6	0.72	0	0	0	19:17	—	—	58	57
William Nylander R	L2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.31	0	0	0	17:53	—	—	54	52
Matias Maccelli L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.27	1	0	0	14:07	—	—	61	65
Nick Robertson L	L3	1	0	1	+1	6	0.57	2	0	0	15:08	—	—	63	70
Dakota Joshua C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:06	—	—	60	64
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	5	13:39	—	—	57	62
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	11:55	—	—	19	1
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	2	1	0	11:50	—	—	21	3
Jacob Quillan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	0	0	8:44	—	—	30	6
Troy Stecher D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	1	2	16:07	—	—	33	33
Simon Benoit D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	15:13	—	—	31	33
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	22:11	—	—	56	47
Brandon Carlo D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	1	2	19:56	—	—	50	47
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	20:39	—	—	43	41
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	0	0	18:49	—	—	61	47

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	3.69	59:22

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Matias Maccelli (TOR) 1st 4:50 · assists William Nylander · Odd-man rush · carried in · 1-on-0 at the blue line · 49.0 mph shot · 2.6 s from entry to goal.

Matias Maccelli · 1st 4:50 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 49.0 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan McDonagh · 1st 5:36 · TBL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 2
Shot: 51.6 mph
Distance: 35 ft
Entry to goal: 4.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jake Guentzel · 1st 12:30 · TBL

Play: rebound
Passes: 3
Shot: 18.4 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Corey Perry · 1st 13:48 · TBL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 38.2 mph
Distance: 17 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 15:06 · TBL PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 58.6 mph
Distance: 23 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:41 · TBL EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 23.3 mph
Distance: 1 ft
Entry to goal: 2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Robertson · 3rd 19:29 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 22.8 mph
Distance: 3 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.