Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton OilersMar 12, 2022

FinalSaturday, Mar 12, 2022· Rogers Place

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

1

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	8	13	11	32
EDM	1	1	2	4		EDM	19	14	16	49

: TBL 58EDM 74
: TBL 4.32EDM 5.96
PP goals: TBL 0EDM 1
Hits: TBL 25EDM 26
Blocks: TBL 16EDM 7
PIM: TBL 19EDM 13
: TBL 42%EDM 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Edmonton Oilers beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1

Edmonton Oilers beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–1 at home. Connor McDavid (EDM) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Brian Elliott (TBL) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +21 against a season average of 27.2; the loss.

Points
Connor McDavid had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 21:49.McDavid
Points
Kailer Yamamoto had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:40.Yamamoto
Points
Leon Draisaitl had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 24:36.Draisaitl
Points
Tyson Barrie had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:14.Barrie
Goalie
Brian Elliott (TBL) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +21 against a season average of 27.2; the loss.Elliott
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 4.32 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
EDM scored 4 goals on 5.96 expected goals (74 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for EDM: Malone–Kassian–Archibald skated 4:25 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Malone Kassian Archibald

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · EDM 74 · TBL 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 29% of the game, EDM 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	EDM
	43	54
	2.17	3.28
	2.06	2.95
	5	12
	4	1
	24	19
	−0.132	+0.132
	29%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
10:3640% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
7:3046% CF
L3Perry – Maroon – Bellemare
5:5945% CF
L4Joseph – Raddysh – Colton
5:1250% CF
D1Hedman – Rutta
10:2544% CF
D2Cernak – Sergachev
8:5965% CF
D3McDonagh – Bogosian
6:5915% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
3:3490% CF
PP2Perry – Stamkos – Kucherov – Point – Cirelli
1:23100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
5:24
PK2FBellemare – Joseph
4:58
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:56
PK2DHedman – Sergachev
2:19

Current TBL line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Hyman – Draisaitl – McLeod
10:1354% CF
L2Kane – McDavid – Yamamoto
9:2057% CF
L3Shore – Foegele – Ryan
6:3550% CF
L4Malone – Kassian – Archibald
4:2540% CF
D1Ceci – Nurse
16:3954% CF
D2Keith – Bouchard
10:0355% CF
D3Barrie – Broberg
8:1453% CF

PP1Kane – Draisaitl – McDavid – Yamamoto – Bouchard
7:42100% CF
PP2Keith – Barrie – Hyman – Foegele – McLeod
1:56
PK1FArchibald – Shore
1:26
PK2FMalone – Draisaitl
1:04
PK1DBarrie – Broberg
1:56
PK2DCeci – Nurse
1:50

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:02
EDMConnor McDavid (Kailer Yamamoto, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.26 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Hedman, CirelliEDM: Keith, Kane, McDavid, Yamamoto, Bouchard
TBL 0 – 1 EDM

2nd period

19:15
EDMConnor McDavidPP (Tyson Barrie, Leon Draisaitl)snap0.11 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, SergachevEDM: Kane, Barrie, Draisaitl, McDavid, Yamamoto
TBL 0 – 2 EDM

3rd period

9:42
TBLZach Bogosian (Corey Perry, Patrick Maroon)snap0.19 xG
TBL: Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Bellemare, SergachevEDM: Malone, Kassian, Barrie, Archibald, Broberg
TBL 1 – 2 EDM
12:52
EDMLeon Draisaitlbackhand0.11 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, RuttaEDM: Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, McLeod
TBL 1 – 3 EDM
17:46
EDMKailer YamamotoEN (Evander Kane, Darnell Nurse)wrist0.83 xG
TBL: Perry, Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, PointEDM: Kane, Ceci, Nurse, McDavid, Yamamoto
TBL 1 – 4 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.73	3	0	0	22:12	—	—	44	32
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	-2	7	1.18	0	0	0	22:02	—	—	46	33
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	14:58	—	—	37	36
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.48	3	0	0	20:00	—	—	45	43
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.43	2	4	0	18:45	—	—	46	23
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	-2	5	0.64	0	0	0	16:31	—	—	41	37
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	13:45	—	—	42	67
Corey Perry R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:02	—	—	43	66
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	2	0	0	7:21	—	—	50	73
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	2	13:54	—	—	56	45
Taylor Raddysh R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:15	—	—	47	33
Ross Colton C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	7:19	—	—	50	52
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	1	3	2	24:27	—	—	42	38
Jan Rutta D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	1	4	14:57	—	—	46	54
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	21:10	—	—	52	55
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	0	2	5	18:23	—	—	65	74
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	2	19:44	—	—	18	15
Zach Bogosian D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.30	1	1	4	12:47	—	—	33	21

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	48	45	3	.938	5.13	58:57

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	1	1	2	+1	5	0.43	0	0	0	24:36	—	—	57	65
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	+1	6	0.71	1	1	0	20:04	—	—	57	62
Ryan McLeod C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.69	0	0	0	18:46	—	—	52	59
Evander Kane L	L2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.34	3	0	0	22:36	—	—	63	68
Connor McDavid C	L2	2	0	2	+2	7	0.86	1	0	0	21:49	—	—	62	69
Kailer Yamamoto R	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	1.55	3	1	0	19:40	—	—	55	72
Warren Foegele L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.30	3	0	0	12:01	—	—	57	65
Devin Shore C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	0	0	10:12	—	—	54	62
Derek Ryan C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	8:58	—	—	50	59
Brad Malone C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	3	0	2	7:27	—	—	50	33
Zack Kassian R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	7:11	—	—	55	21
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	5	6:26	—	—	40	28
Darnell Nurse D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.10	1	2	2	22:27	—	—	54	64
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.02	2	1	2	21:58	—	—	50	61
Evan Bouchard D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.27	0	0	0	18:59	—	—	60	69
Duncan Keith D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	0	2	18:51	—	—	50	65
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	2	2	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	18:14	—	—	63	45
Philip Broberg D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	0	2	0	12:24	—	—	59	36

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mikko Koskinen(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	4.32	59:21

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.