Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida PanthersOct 5, 2019

FinalSaturday, Oct 5, 2019· BB&T Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	1	2	3		TBL	10	8	17	35
FLA	0	3	1	4		FLA	8	14	6	28

: TBL 53FLA 43
: TBL 2.35FLA 2.59
PP goals: TBL 0FLA 2
Hits: TBL 24FLA 26
Blocks: TBL 5FLA 14
PIM: TBL 6FLA 4
: TBL 55%FLA 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3

Florida Panthers beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 at home. Mike Hoffman (FLA) led the scoring with 3G 0A. FLA's first power-play unit (Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau and Barkov) scored 2 power-play goals on 7 attempts in 2:26 together.

Points
Mike Hoffman had a hat trick (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:03.Hoffman
Points
Jonathan Huberdeau had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:23.Huberdeau
PP1
FLA's first power-play unit (Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau and Barkov) scored 2 power-play goals on 7 attempts in 2:26 together.Yandle Dadonov Hoffman Huberdeau Barkov
Usage
Keith Yandle (FLA) played 13:54, −5:53 down on his 19:47 season average over 68 games.Yandle
Usage
Kevin Shattenkirk (TBL) played 24:36, +5:47 up on his 18:49 season average over 69 games.Shattenkirk
Usage
Mike Matheson (FLA) played 25:38, +7:44 up on his 17:54 season average over 58 games.Matheson
New line
New look for FLA: Hawryluk–Vatrano–Borgstrom skated 8:09 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hawryluk Vatrano Borgstrom
Goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +5 against a season average of 30.1; the win.Bobrovsky

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · FLA 43 · TBL 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 36% of the game, FLA 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	FLA
	49	41
	2.20	2.24
	2.08	2.18
	17	7
	1	1
	20	16
	+0.064	−0.064
	36%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Palat – Cirelli
10:2453% CF
L2Stamkos – Johnson – Kucherov
8:4336% CF
L3Gourde – Verhaeghe – Joseph
8:2386% CF
D1Shattenkirk – Hedman
17:2250% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
13:3552% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
12:5750% CF

PP1Maroon – Stamkos – Johnson – Hedman – Kucherov
1:43100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Palat
1:00
PK2FStamkos – Cirelli
0:39
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:17
PK2DShattenkirk – Hedman
0:54

Current TBL line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov
11:5467% CF
L2Hoffman – Connolly – Trocheck
11:1344% CF
L3Sceviour – Hunt – Acciari
8:4263% CF
L4Hawryluk – Vatrano – Borgstrom
8:0936% CF
D1Matheson – Ekblad
20:3854% CF
D2Stralman – Weegar
16:5557% CF
D3Yandle – Brown
10:5221% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
2:26100% CF
PP2Connolly – Trocheck – Ekblad – Vatrano – Borgstrom
1:00
PK1FSceviour – Barkov
0:48
PK2FTrocheck – Acciari
0:23
PK1DStralman – Weegar
0:39

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:39
FLAMike HoffmanPP (Jonathan Huberdeau, Keith Yandle)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Palat, GourdeFLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov
TBL 0 – 1 FLA
11:05
FLAMike HoffmanPP (Jonathan Huberdeau, Aleksander Barkov)snap0.14 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, CernakFLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov
TBL 0 – 2 FLA
12:32
FLANoel Acciari (Colton Sceviour, Dryden Hunt)backhand0.15 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, KucherovFLA: Stralman, Sceviour, Matheson, Hunt, Acciari
TBL 0 – 3 FLA
16:23
TBLGemel Smith (Luke Witkowski, Patrick Maroon)wrist0.04 xG
TBL: Maroon, McDonagh, Witkowski, Smith, CernakFLA: Yandle, Connolly, Trocheck, Brown, Acciari
TBL 1 – 3 FLA

3rd period

0:17
FLAMike Hoffman (Aaron Ekblad, Brett Connolly)tip-in0.06 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Maroon, Witkowski, Hedman, SmithFLA: Hoffman, Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad
TBL 1 – 4 FLA
6:40
TBLSteven Stamkos (Victor Hedman, Kevin Shattenkirk)wrist0.03 xG
TBL: Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Hedman, CirelliFLA: Stralman, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Weegar
TBL 2 – 4 FLA
15:41
TBLMathieu Joseph (Yanni Gourde, Carter Verhaeghe)backhand0.07 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Joseph, SergachevFLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Brown, Barkov
TBL 3 – 4 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	3	0	2	18:40	—	—	48	18
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	18:22	—	—	41	13
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:42	—	—	57	29
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.19	0	0	0	22:09	—	—	42	41
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	1	1	0	20:16	—	—	45	43
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	25	28
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.22	0	0	0	11:23	—	—	83	89
Carter Verhaeghe C	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	0	0	0	9:18	—	—	83	89
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.29	2	0	2	9:03	—	—	86	88
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.22	2	0	0	24:36	—	—	56	44
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	23:25	—	—	48	37
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	0	1	0	20:31	—	—	56	59
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	6	2	0	18:43	—	—	56	59
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	2	0	0	15:36	—	—	55	43
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	0	15:16	—	—	58	44
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	1	1	0	4	0.27	1	0	0	13:13	—	—	63	56
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	50	48
Gemel Smith C	—	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	0	0	2	9:53	—	—	47	39

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	28	24	4	.857	2.34	58:30

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.09	0	1	0	20:38	—	—	54	64
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	2	2	-2	1	0.10	2	0	0	20:23	—	—	52	56
Evgenii Dadonov L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.43	1	0	0	18:48	—	—	52	57
Mike Hoffman C	L2	3	0	3	+1	4	0.33	1	1	2	16:03	—	—	35	39
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.38	0	1	0	15:44	—	—	39	40
Brett Connolly R	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:41	—	—	44	45
Noel Acciari C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.25	5	0	0	14:29	—	—	50	60
Colton Sceviour C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.25	3	1	0	13:59	—	—	39	58
Dryden Hunt L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	2	0	0	11:38	—	—	70	85
Henrik Borgstrom C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:39	—	—	33	44
Frank Vatrano R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	1	0	11:16	—	—	43	50
Jayce Hawryluk R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	0	9:46	—	—	42	38
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	0	1	2	25:44	—	—	57	59
Mike Matheson D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	1	4	0	25:38	—	—	56	60
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	20:02	—	—	50	53
MacKenzie Weegar D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	4	1	0	19:57	—	—	57	69
Keith Yandle D	D3	0	1	1	-2	1	0.04	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	24	25
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	1	0	0	11:41	—	—	20	30

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	W	35	32	3	.914	2.35	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.