Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida PanthersDec 10, 2019

FinalTuesday, Dec 10, 2019· BB&T Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Florida PanthersFLA

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	1	0	2		TBL	14	18	16	48
FLA	0	0	1	1		FLA	13	9	6	28

: TBL 80FLA 65
: TBL 3.84FLA 2.66
PP goals: TBL 0FLA 0
Hits: TBL 24FLA 19
Blocks: TBL 24FLA 17
PIM: TBL 6FLA 4
: TBL 50%FLA 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Florida Panthers 2–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Florida Panthers 2–1 at FLA. Alex Killorn (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +18 against a season average of 30.1; the loss.

Points
Alex Killorn had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:56.Killorn
Goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 48 shots and stopped 46 (.958), +18 against a season average of 30.1; the loss.Bobrovsky
New line
New look for TBL: Verhaeghe–Joseph–Stephens skated 5:42 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (56.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Verhaeghe Joseph Stephens
Luck
TBL scored 2 goals on 3.84 expected goals (80 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
FLA scored 1 goal on 2.66 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Mike Hoffman (FLA) played 20:10, +3:23 up on his 16:47 season average over 68 games.Hoffman
Usage
Keith Yandle (FLA) played 24:56, +5:19 up on his 19:37 season average over 68 games.Yandle
Usage
Cedric Paquette (TBL) played 17:44, +4:45 up on his 12:59 season average over 60 games.Paquette

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 145 of 145 attempts · FLA 65 · TBL 80

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 46% of the game, FLA 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	FLA
	79	52
	3.19	1.69
	3.08	1.67
	22	7
	4	4
	29	24
	+0.000	+0.000
	46%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
10:5975% CF
L2Maroon – Gourde – Paquette
10:4163% CF
L3Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
10:4056% CF
L4Verhaeghe – Joseph – Stephens
5:4256% CF
D1Shattenkirk – Sergachev
14:2650% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
13:1869% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
10:4468% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:24100% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Maroon – Palat – Cirelli – Sergachev
1:33100% CF
PK1FGourde – Paquette
2:19
PK2FKillorn – Cirelli
1:45
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:03
PK2DHedman – Rutta
1:11

Current TBL line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Hoffman – Connolly – Trocheck
13:0742% CF
L2Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov
10:5244% CF
L3Vatrano – Acciari – Saarela
7:5953% CF
L4Boyle – Sceviour – Toninato
5:4411% CF
D1Yandle – Stralman
15:0525% CF
D2Weegar – Ekblad
12:2166% CF
D3Matheson – Brown
8:5948% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
3:2275% CF
PP2Boyle – Connolly – Trocheck – Ekblad – Vatrano
2:26100% CF
PK1FSceviour – Acciari
1:50
PK2FBarkov – Vatrano
0:45
PK1DStralman – Matheson
1:41
PK2DWeegar – Ekblad
1:27

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:42
TBLSteven Stamkos (Alex Killorn)wrist0.24 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, RuttaFLA: Boyle, Matheson, Toninato, Brown, Acciari
TBL 1 – 0 FLA

2nd period

4:51
TBLAlex Killorn (Anthony Cirelli, Erik Cernak)wrist0.01 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, CirelliFLA: Yandle, Stralman, Vatrano, Acciari, Saarela
TBL 2 – 0 FLA

3rd period

18:00
FLAEvgenii Dadonov (Jonathan Huberdeau, Mike Hoffman)tip-in0.11 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Verhaeghe, Cirelli, SergachevFLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad
TBL 2 – 1 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.50	0	0	0	17:11	—	—	69	81
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.33	0	1	0	16:46	—	—	63	78
Ondrej Palat L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	2	1	2	16:14	—	—	76	95
Cedric Paquette C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	1	0	17:44	—	—	57	56
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	2	0	14:53	—	—	64	60
Patrick Maroon L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	3	0	0	14:23	—	—	70	63
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.49	0	2	0	20:41	—	—	56	59
Alex Killorn L	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.21	2	0	0	17:56	—	—	50	51
Steven Stamkos C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.48	1	2	0	15:58	—	—	52	61
Carter Verhaeghe C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.11	3	0	0	9:30	—	—	67	86
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	2	8:43	—	—	48	59
Mitchell Stephens C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	2	0	5:57	—	—	59	77
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	3	3	0	21:12	—	—	50	40
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	4	2	21:10	—	—	50	37
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	2	0	19:12	—	—	70	70
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	1	1	+1	6	0.26	0	0	0	17:56	—	—	67	67
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	4	3	0	22:28	—	—	63	77
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	5	0.27	1	1	0	16:03	—	—	66	81

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	28	27	1	.964	2.66	60:00

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mike Hoffman C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.42	0	0	0	20:10	—	—	38	32
Brett Connolly R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	0	3	0	18:45	—	—	42	37
Vincent Trocheck C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	2	1	0	17:56	—	—	40	37
Aleksander Barkov C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	1	1	0	21:35	—	—	38	40
Evgenii Dadonov L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	0	0	0	19:10	—	—	42	47
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.37	0	2	2	18:46	—	—	41	45
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	5	0	0	14:59	—	—	41	37
Frank Vatrano R	L3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.25	1	1	0	12:53	—	—	58	63
Aleksi Saarela C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	1	0	11:46	—	—	50	46
Brian Boyle C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:53	—	—	8	0
Colton Sceviour C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	8:55	—	—	25	11
Dominic Toninato C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:42	—	—	25	7
Keith Yandle D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	2	2	24:56	—	—	25	30
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	22:27	—	—	26	27
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.44	0	2	0	24:08	—	—	51	55
MacKenzie Weegar D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	2	0	18:07	—	—	61	60
Mike Matheson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	0	13:41	—	—	42	18
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	0	0	11:23	—	—	37	16

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	L	48	46	2	.958	3.84	57:48

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.