Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida PanthersMay 18, 2021

FinalPlayoffsTuesday, May 18, 2021· BB&T Center

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Florida PanthersFLA

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	0	1	3		TBL	16	4	9	29
FLA	0	1	0	1		FLA	9	11	13	33

: TBL 50FLA 67
: TBL 2.74FLA 3.39
PP goals: TBL 0FLA 0
Hits: TBL 42FLA 37
Blocks: TBL 15FLA 13
PIM: TBL 8FLA 18
: TBL 49%FLA 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Florida Panthers 3–1

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Florida Panthers 3–1 at FLA. Ondrej Palat (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Anton Stralman (FLA) played 11:18, −10:10 down on his 21:28 season average over 4 games.

Points
Ondrej Palat had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:52.Palat
Usage
Anton Stralman (FLA) played 11:18, −10:10 down on his 21:28 season average over 4 games.Stralman
New line
New look for FLA: Huberdeau–Wennberg–Tippett skated 7:25 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Huberdeau Wennberg Tippett
Luck
FLA scored 1 goal on 3.39 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Aleksander Barkov (FLA) played 26:28, +5:38 up on his 20:50 season average over 5 games.Barkov
New line
New look for FLA: Hornqvist–Vatrano–Acciari skated 4:51 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hornqvist Vatrano Acciari
Usage
Radko Gudas (FLA) played 11:21, −7:09 down on his 18:30 season average over 5 games.Gudas
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 22:15, +4:08 up on his 18:07 season average over 22 games.Kucherov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · FLA 67 · TBL 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 26% of the game, FLA 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	FLA
	48	61
	2.19	3.03
	2.18	2.91
	6	16
	8	5
	28	29
	+0.003	−0.003
	26%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Palat – Kucherov – Point
14:0650% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
9:4955% CF
L3Coleman – Gourde – Colton
9:4745% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
15:5835% CF
D2Savard – Sergachev
8:5467% CF
D3Hedman – Rutta
8:3528% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:26100% CF
PP2Hedman – Palat – Kucherov – Point – Sergachev
1:07100% CF
PK1FColeman – Gourde
2:23
PK2FStamkos – Cirelli
1:05
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
2:25
PK2DHedman – Savard
1:27

Current TBL line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Verhaeghe – Barkov – Marchment
7:3377% CF
L2Huberdeau – Wennberg – Tippett
7:2538% CF
L3Hornqvist – Vatrano – Acciari
4:5167% CF
D1Weegar – Forsling
15:0863% CF
D2Stralman – Nutivaara
8:2064% CF
D3Yandle – Montour
4:4671% CF

PP1Yandle – Hornqvist – Huberdeau – Barkov – Wennberg
4:06100% CF
PP2Weegar – Duclair – Wennberg – Montour – Tippett
0:440% CF
PK1FBarkov – Wennberg
2:44
PK2FDuclair – Acciari
0:45
PK1DGudas – Forsling
2:44
PK2DStralman – Nutivaara
0:22

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:52
TBLSteven Stamkos (Alex Killorn, Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.17 xG
TBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Savard, CirelliFLA: Stralman, Huberdeau, Wennberg, Nutivaara, Tippett
TBL 1 – 0 FLA
14:57
TBLOndrej Palat (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Savard, Palat, Kucherov, Point, SergachevFLA: Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Forsling
TBL 2 – 0 FLA

2nd period

14:21
FLAMason Marchment (Carter Verhaeghe, Aleksander Barkov)wrist0.16 xG
TBL: Schenn, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, PointFLA: Weegar, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Forsling, Marchment
TBL 2 – 1 FLA

3rd period

18:35
TBLYanni GourdeEN (Ondrej Palat)wrist0.61 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Palat, Coleman, Gourde, CernakFLA: Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Weegar, Barkov, Wennberg
TBL 3 – 1 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	2	0	2	22:15	—	—	50	46
Brayden Point C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.19	0	0	2	21:20	—	—	44	36
Ondrej Palat L	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.16	5	3	0	17:52	—	—	46	38
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.38	2	0	0	18:31	—	—	46	55
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	5	0	0	16:59	—	—	52	77
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.32	1	1	0	16:05	—	—	46	51
Yanni Gourde C	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.86	1	1	0	18:45	—	—	40	41
Blake Coleman L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	7	0	0	16:41	—	—	44	26
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	1	0	12:43	—	—	48	41
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.06	1	4	0	23:11	—	—	33	38
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	1	2	18:56	—	—	35	39
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	3	0	0	20:39	—	—	59	67
David Savard D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	4	2	0	16:38	—	—	70	77
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.11	2	0	0	23:22	—	—	38	29
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:02	—	—	23	32
Tyler Johnson C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	0	9:08	—	—	14	0
Patrick Maroon L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	2	6:51	—	—	25	1
Luke Schenn D	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	4:02	—	—	57	15

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	3.39	60:00

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.49	2	1	0	26:28	—	—	53	62
Carter Verhaeghe C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.25	3	0	0	19:31	—	—	59	67
Mason Marchment L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.29	3	1	2	16:08	—	—	70	94
Alexander Wennberg C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:26	—	—	54	25
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	2	2	0	18:54	—	—	46	34
Owen Tippett R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.33	2	1	0	14:53	—	—	54	37
Patric Hornqvist R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	5	1	0	18:03	—	—	61	67
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	1	0	13:46	—	—	57	76
Frank Vatrano R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.43	1	0	0	10:56	—	—	53	73
Gustav Forsling D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	1	0	24:08	—	—	65	74
MacKenzie Weegar D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.31	4	1	4	21:47	—	—	60	66
Markus Nutivaara D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:23	—	—	50	45
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	11:18	—	—	56	70
Brandon Montour D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	2	0	0	18:27	—	—	50	47
Keith Yandle D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	0	0	0	13:43	—	—	46	34
Anthony Duclair L	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	0	1	0	11:48	—	—	50	54
Radko Gudas D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	1	0	11:21	—	—	46	45
Ryan Lomberg L	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	5	0	12	8:19	—	—	62	73

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chris Driedger(start)	L	28	26	2	.929	2.12	58:34

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.