Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida PanthersMar 3, 2025

FinalMonday, Mar 3, 2025· Amerant Bank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	0	0	1	1		TBL	10	7	12	29
FLA	0	2	0	2		FLA	7	11	11	29

: TBL 67FLA 62
: TBL 3.84FLA 2.11
PP goals: TBL 0FLA 1
Hits: TBL 12FLA 38
Blocks: TBL 12FLA 13
PIM: TBL 6FLA 14
: TBL 48%FLA 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1

Florida Panthers beat Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 at home. Aleksander Barkov (FLA) led the scoring with 2G 0A. FLA's first power-play unit (Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett and Samoskevich) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 2:23 together.

Points
Aleksander Barkov had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:44.Barkov
PP1
FLA's first power-play unit (Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett and Samoskevich) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 2:23 together.Barkov Ekblad Reinhart Bennett Samoskevich
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 26:13, +6:50 up on his 19:23 season average over 76 games.Point
Luck
TBL scored 1 goal on 3.84 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Emil Lilleberg (TBL) played 8:27, −6:55 down on his 15:22 season average over 75 games.Lilleberg
Usage
Nikita Kucherov (TBL) played 27:58, +6:52 up on his 21:06 season average over 77 games.Kucherov
Usage
Darren Raddysh (TBL) played 20:41, +3:26 up on his 17:15 season average over 72 games.Raddysh
Usage
Dmitry Kulikov (FLA) played 13:31, −5:50 down on his 19:21 season average over 69 games.Kulikov

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 129 of 129 attempts · FLA 62 · TBL 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 37% of the game, FLA 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	FLA
	53	60
	2.39	1.93
	2.29	1.87
	5	8
	4	5
	12	14
	−0.013	+0.013
	37%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
9:2341% CF
L2Paul – Chaffee – Goncalves
6:4240% CF
L3Glendening – Girgensons – Eyssimont
3:5850% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
12:0144% CF
D2Hedman – Raddysh
8:0755% CF
D3Perbix – Lilleberg
3:4043% CF

PP1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Raddysh – Chaffee
7:4188% CF
PP2Hedman – Paul – Cirelli – Hagel – Goncalves
1:27100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Girgensons
0:59
PK2FPaul – Cirelli
0:33
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:32

Current TBL line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Verhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart
11:4556% CF
L2Boqvist – Luostarinen – Lundell
11:1348% CF
L3Bennett – Rodrigues – Samoskevich
10:2741% CF
L4Nosek – Greer – Gadjovich
4:1867% CF
D1Jones – Mikkola
15:3853% CF
D2Ekblad – Forsling
15:0854% CF
D3Kulikov – Schmidt
10:1141% CF

PP1Barkov – Ekblad – Reinhart – Bennett – Samoskevich
2:2390% CF
PK1FBarkov – Reinhart
3:37
PK2FLuostarinen – Lundell
3:31
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
4:57
PK2DJones – Mikkola
1:45

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:02
FLAAleksander Barkovsnap0.06 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, MoserFLA: Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling
TBL 0 – 1 FLA
15:16
FLAAleksander BarkovPP (Mackie Samoskevich, Aaron Ekblad)snap0.12 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Glendening, Girgensons, CernakFLA: Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, Samoskevich
TBL 0 – 2 FLA

3rd period

2:07
TBLBrayden Point (Darren Raddysh, Jake Guentzel)backhand0.33 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, RaddyshFLA: Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling
TBL 1 – 2 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.41	1	1	0	27:58	—	—	38	64
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	0	4	0.78	0	0	0	26:13	—	—	45	56
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.22	0	0	0	21:50	—	—	38	46
Mitchell Chaffee R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.66	1	0	0	17:33	—	—	44	46
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	16:38	—	—	35	45
Gage Goncalves C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	12:44	—	—	39	42
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	10:55	—	—	36	8
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	2	0	0	10:25	—	—	70	63
Michael Eyssimont C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	7:12	—	—	60	46
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.34	0	1	0	16:51	—	—	41	40
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	3	0	16:00	—	—	48	61
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	0	1	0	23:43	—	—	51	64
Darren Raddysh D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	1	1	0	20:41	—	—	52	67
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	10:47	—	—	41	33
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	8:27	—	—	43	43
Anthony Cirelli C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.40	1	0	0	18:15	—	—	62	72
Brandon Hagel L	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	0	2	17:40	—	—	63	72
J.J. Moser D	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	1	2	13:13	—	—	41	29

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	2.11	58:49

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	4	0.38	2	1	0	21:59	—	—	59	54
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	2	0	2	4	0.41	1	0	0	20:44	—	—	57	49
Carter Verhaeghe C	L1	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	0	13:48	—	—	57	56
Anton Lundell C	L2	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	2	19:21	—	—	53	34
Eetu Luostarinen C	L2	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	4	17:57	—	—	48	11
Jesper Boqvist C	L2	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	15:02	—	—	56	41
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	2	0	15:03	—	—	39	36
Mackie Samoskevich R	L3	0	1	1	2	0.13	5	1	0	14:23	—	—	46	52
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	12:39	—	—	39	36
Tomas Nosek L	L4	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	2	8:49	—	—	57	38
A.J. Greer L	L4	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	0	5:09	—	—	71	69
Jonah Gadjovich L	L4	0	0	0	2	0.34	2	0	0	4:48	—	—	69	65
Seth Jones D	D1	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	2	0	22:56	—	—	56	62
Niko Mikkola D	D1	0	0	0	1	0.01	8	1	4	20:41	—	—	55	54
Gustav Forsling D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	4	0	24:57	—	—	54	41
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	1	1	1	0.03	3	0	2	24:57	—	—	55	44
Dmitry Kulikov D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:31	—	—	42	22
Nate Schmidt D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	1	0	11:07	—	—	52	52

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	3.84	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Aleksander Barkov (FLA) 2nd 9:02 · unassisted · Forecheck turnover · 74.0 mph shot.

Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 9:02 · FLA

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 74.0 mph
Distance: 42 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 15:16 · FLA PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 3
Shot: 55.8 mph
Distance: 31 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Brayden Point · 3rd 2:07 · TBL

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 12.0 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.