Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 15, 2018

FinalThursday, Nov 15, 2018· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	3	0	4		TBL	7	12	7	26
PIT	2	1	0	3		PIT	14	8	9	31

: TBL 46PIT 53
: TBL 3.12PIT 2.31
PP goals: TBL 4PIT 2
Hits: TBL 32PIT 24
Blocks: TBL 14PIT 13
PIM: TBL 12PIT 18
: TBL 54%PIT 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Pittsburgh Penguins 4–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–3 at PIT. Brayden Point (TBL) led the scoring with 3G 0A. PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:30 together.

Points
Brayden Point had a hat trick (3 points) on 4 shots in 15:33.Point
Points
Patric Hornqvist had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:37.Hornqvist
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 18:43.Kucherov
Points
Phil Kessel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:00.Kessel
Points
Evgeni Malkin had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:26.Malkin
PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:30 together.Malkin Letang Hornqvist Kessel Guentzel
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 5:48 together.Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Miller Point
New line
New look for PIT: Malkin–Hornqvist–Pearson skated 10:38 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Malkin Hornqvist Pearson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · PIT 53 · TBL 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 33% of the game, PIT 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	PIT
	40	40
	0.98	1.46
	0.95	1.43
	8	10
	2	1
	7	17
	+0.059	−0.059
	33%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
11:0453% CF
L2Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
9:4845% CF
L3Johnson – Gourde – Point
9:0667% CF
L4Callahan – Paquette – Erne
7:2220% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
13:4526% CF
D2Coburn – Sergachev
12:0642% CF
D3Girardi – Hedman
9:5171% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
5:4888% CF
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Gourde – Erne – Sergachev
0:59100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:44
PK2FCallahan – Paquette
1:01
PK1DGirardi – McDonagh
2:08
PK2DCoburn – Hedman
1:29

Current TBL line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Malkin – Hornqvist – Pearson
10:3858% CF
L2Kessel – Grant – Guentzel
6:1429% CF
L3Cullen – Wilson – Aston-Reese
5:0344% CF
L4Sheahan – Rust – Simon
3:4783% CF
D1Oleksiak – Maatta
12:0956% CF
D2Johnson – Letang
11:2331% CF
D3Dumoulin – Ruhwedel
10:5950% CF

PP1Malkin – Letang – Hornqvist – Kessel – Guentzel
3:30100% CF
PP2Johnson – Grant – Pearson – Maatta – Simon
1:15100% CF
PK1FCullen – Aston-Reese
3:21
PK2FGrant – Rust
1:42
PK1DLetang – Dumoulin
2:39
PK2DJohnson – Maatta
2:26

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:33
PITPatric HornqvistPP (Phil Kessel, Kris Letang)tip-in0.11 xG
TBL: Coburn, Callahan, Hedman, GourdePIT: Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel, Guentzel
TBL 0 – 1 PIT
13:49
PITPhil KesselPP (Evgeni Malkin, Patric Hornqvist)snap0.16 xG
TBL: Girardi, McDonagh, CirelliPIT: Malkin, Hornqvist, Kessel, Maatta
TBL 0 – 2 PIT
19:57
TBLBrayden PointPP (Tyler Johnson, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.22 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Miller, PointPIT: Dumoulin, Sheahan, Aston-Reese
TBL 1 – 2 PIT

2nd period

0:41
TBLBrayden PointPP (Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.23 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Miller, PointPIT: Johnson, Wilson, Sheahan
TBL 2 – 2 PIT
1:28
TBLBrayden PointPP (J.T. Miller, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.18 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller, PointPIT: Letang, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Rust
TBL 3 – 2 PIT
4:29
PITPatric Hornqvist (Evgeni Malkin)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point, CernakPIT: Malkin, Hornqvist, Oleksiak, Pearson, Maatta
TBL 3 – 3 PIT
7:56
TBLYanni GourdePP (Mikhail Sergachev, Alex Killorn)slap0.12 xG
TBL: Killorn, Johnson, Gourde, Erne, SergachevPIT: Cullen, Letang, Dumoulin, Aston-Reese
TBL 4 – 3 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Killorn L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	16:23	—	—	59	37
Anthony Cirelli C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.94	3	1	0	16:21	—	—	50	29
Mathieu Joseph R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	12:38	—	—	53	30
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.45	1	1	2	19:41	—	—	50	45
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	3	3	0	4	0.38	0	0	2	18:43	—	—	56	53
J.T. Miller C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	16:46	—	—	46	44
Brayden Point C	L3	3	0	3	-1	4	0.69	0	0	0	15:33	—	—	60	21
Yanni Gourde C	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.12	3	0	0	13:46	—	—	67	32
Tyler Johnson C	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	71	45
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	2	13:30	—	—	18	37
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	2	2	11:42	—	—	23	45
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	4	0	0	11:07	—	—	50	80
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	23:32	—	—	30	34
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	6	3	0	15:38	—	—	33	9
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.12	0	1	0	16:46	—	—	46	34
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	3	1	2	16:03	—	—	54	65
Victor Hedman D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	1	0	21:20	—	—	67	38
Dan Girardi D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	1	0	18:06	—	—	67	48

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Louis Domingue(start)	W	31	28	3	.903	2.31	59:56

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeni Malkin C	L1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.38	1	2	4	24:26	—	—	42	48
Patric Hornqvist R	L1	2	1	3	+1	5	0.42	4	0	0	19:37	—	—	53	57
Tanner Pearson L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:43	—	—	62	60
Phil Kessel R	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.28	0	1	2	23:00	—	—	37	46
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.17	1	0	0	21:26	—	—	46	63
Derek Grant C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	16:19	—	—	33	45
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	3	0	0	10:09	—	—	44	61
Matt Cullen C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	2	9:21	—	—	44	61
Garrett Wilson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	6:32	—	—	40	58
Bryan Rust R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	0	0	12:39	—	—	70	83
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	0	0	0	11:56	—	—	71	71
Dominik Simon C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	10:47	—	—	64	65
Olli Maatta D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	2	0	18:21	—	—	52	48
Jamie Oleksiak D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	4	1	4	14:38	—	—	58	51
Kris Letang D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	1	2	4	25:52	—	—	41	39
Jack Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	19:11	—	—	35	54
Brian Dumoulin D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	0	18:39	—	—	53	72
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	2	0	15:33	—	—	53	74

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	26	22	4	.846	2.28	57:20

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.