Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsOct 15, 2022

FinalSaturday, Oct 15, 2022· PPG Paints Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	0	1	2		TBL	10	9	17	36
PIT	1	1	4	6		PIT	12	17	16	45

: TBL 56PIT 77
: TBL 2.50PIT 5.69
PP goals: TBL 1PIT 2
Hits: TBL 21PIT 41
Blocks: TBL 14PIT 13
PIM: TBL 6PIT 6
: TBL 38%PIT 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins rout Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2 at home. Sidney Crosby (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 2A. PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 4:12 together.

Points
Sidney Crosby had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 19:17.Crosby
Points
Jake Guentzel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 17:36.Guentzel
Points
Jeff Carter had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 12:55.Carter
Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:18.Stamkos
Points
Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:07.Kucherov
PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust and Guentzel) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 4:12 together.Malkin Crosby Letang Rust Guentzel
Goalie
Brian Elliott (TBL) faced 44 shots and stopped 39 (.886), +13 against a season average of 31.3; the loss.Elliott
Goalie
Tristan Jarry (PIT) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +6 against a season average of 30.1; the win.Jarry

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 133 of 133 attempts · PIT 77 · TBL 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 20% of the game, PIT 52%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	PIT
	52	65
	1.76	4.09
	1.72	3.59
	5	22
	2	11
	19	19
	−0.108	+0.108
	20%	52%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
11:4756% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Paul
9:5550% CF
L3Perry – Namestnikov – Colton
4:2438% CF
L4Maroon – Bellemare – Fortier
4:2225% CF
D1Cernak – Sergachev
14:1346% CF
D2Hedman – Foote
11:4244% CF
D3Fleury – Myers
8:5153% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
4:55100% CF
PP2Perry – Namestnikov – Paul – Sergachev – Colton
1:14100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Paul
2:07
PK2FBellemare – Hagel
1:44
PK1DCernak – Sergachev
3:59
PK2DHedman – Foote
1:51

Current TBL line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Malkin – Zucker – Rust
11:5452% CF
L2Crosby – Rakell – Guentzel
11:1748% CF
L3Carter – Kapanen – Heinen
8:3957% CF
L4Archibald – McGinn – Poehling
7:3073% CF
D1Petry – Pettersson
15:0148% CF
D2Letang – Dumoulin
12:2954% CF
D3Joseph – Rutta
10:4958% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Rust – Guentzel
4:12100% CF
PP2Carter – Petry – Zucker – Rakell – Heinen
1:28100% CF
PK1FMcGinn – Poehling
2:52
PK2FCarter – Kapanen
1:23
PK1DDumoulin – Rutta
2:40
PK2DPetry – Pettersson
1:35

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:10
TBLSteven StamkosPP (Victor Hedman, Nikita Kucherov)slap0.05 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, PointPIT: Carter, Dumoulin, Kapanen, Rutta
TBL 1 – 0 PIT
17:00
PITSidney Crosby (Jake Guentzel, Brian Dumoulin)backhand0.06 xG
TBL: Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Cernak, ColtonPIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel
TBL 1 – 1 PIT

2nd period

4:11
PITDanton HeinenPP (Jeff Carter, Jason Zucker)snap0.12 xG
TBL: Hedman, Bellemare, Hagel, FootePIT: Carter, Petry, Zucker, Rakell, Heinen
TBL 1 – 2 PIT

3rd period

2:28
PITJake Guentzel (Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby)tip-in0.09 xG
TBL: Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, HagelPIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel
TBL 1 – 3 PIT
3:50
PITJeff Carter (Kasperi Kapanen, Pierre-Olivier Joseph)wrist0.10 xG
TBL: Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, MyersPIT: Carter, Kapanen, Heinen, Joseph, Rutta
TBL 1 – 4 PIT
13:31
PITBryan RustPP (Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin)tip-in0.15 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Paul, Cernak, SergachevPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel
TBL 1 – 5 PIT
14:03
TBLBrayden Point (Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos)wrist0.14 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Fleury, Point, MyersPIT: Carter, Petry, Kapanen, Pettersson, Heinen
TBL 2 – 5 PIT
15:55
PITRickard RakellENwrist0.81 xG
TBL: Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, PointPIT: Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel
TBL 2 – 6 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.36	0	0	0	21:31	—	—	48	31
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	2	2	-1	4	0.55	0	0	0	21:07	—	—	56	37
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	0	2	16:09	—	—	55	44
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	20:36	—	—	36	34
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	1	2	0	4	0.28	2	0	2	20:18	—	—	52	41
Nick Paul L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	1	0	18:42	—	—	40	30
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	1	2	0	12:15	—	—	37	33
Corey Perry R	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.12	1	0	0	11:00	—	—	47	38
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	4	1	0	10:22	—	—	41	32
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	12:09	—	—	42	17
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	1	0	0	9:06	—	—	43	19
Gabriel Fortier L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:25	—	—	35	15
Mikhail Sergachev D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	3	0	24:16	—	—	44	31
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.08	3	1	0	20:45	—	—	46	33
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	-3	5	0.26	1	2	0	24:27	—	—	41	28
Cal Foote D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	2	2	0	19:25	—	—	44	26
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	12:21	—	—	46	35
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:37	—	—	48	36

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	44	39	5	.886	4.88	59:26

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeni Malkin C	L1	0	1	1	+1	6	0.68	0	2	2	19:27	—	—	55	81
Bryan Rust R	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.67	3	0	0	17:53	—	—	53	81
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.37	4	1	0	15:42	—	—	55	84
Sidney Crosby C	L2	1	2	3	+2	2	0.27	2	0	0	19:17	—	—	47	68
Jake Guentzel C	L2	1	1	2	+3	6	1.23	2	0	0	17:36	—	—	52	69
Rickard Rakell R	L2	1	0	1	+3	3	0.83	1	4	0	15:38	—	—	44	67
Danton Heinen L	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.15	0	0	0	13:01	—	—	54	54
Jeff Carter C	L3	1	1	2	0	5	0.73	1	1	0	12:55	—	—	57	55
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:47	—	—	57	55
Ryan Poehling C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	0	0	12:27	—	—	79	77
Brock McGinn L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	12:26	—	—	75	75
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	4	1	0	10:11	—	—	75	74
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	4	3	2	22:04	—	—	44	50
Marcus Pettersson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	10	0	0	18:24	—	—	46	55
Kris Letang D	D2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.06	1	0	0	24:08	—	—	63	85
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.07	2	1	0	19:02	—	—	50	74
Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	D3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	2	0	0	15:47	—	—	69	80
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	0	2	15:09	—	—	56	54

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	2.50	59:43

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.