Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsFeb 26, 2023

FinalSunday, Feb 26, 2023· PPG Paints Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

3

@

home

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	2	0	1	3		TBL	8	9	12	29
PIT	1	6	0	7		PIT	10	19	7	36

: TBL 61PIT 58
: TBL 2.99PIT 3.20
PP goals: TBL 1PIT 1
Hits: TBL 28PIT 32
Blocks: TBL 15PIT 16
PIM: TBL 4PIT 6
: TBL 45%PIT 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins rout Tampa Bay Lightning 7–3

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Tampa Bay Lightning 7–3 at home. Nikita Kucherov (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. PIT won it by committee.

Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:52.Point
Points
Brian Dumoulin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:38.Dumoulin
Points
Evgeni Malkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:53.Malkin
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:10.Kucherov
Points
Sidney Crosby had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:45.Crosby
Points
Jeff Petry had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:31.Petry
Points
Kris Letang had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:42.Letang
Points
Marcus Pettersson had 2 assists (2 points) in 19:22.Pettersson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · PIT 58 · TBL 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 27% of the game, PIT 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	PIT
	61	62
	2.50	3.04
	2.36	2.94
	13	18
	4	8
	17	34
	−0.026	+0.026
	27%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Point – Hagel
14:0343% CF
L2Killorn – Stamkos – Cirelli
11:4353% CF
L3Maroon – Paul – Colton
10:4964% CF
L4Perry – Namestnikov – Bellemare
9:4333% CF
D1Cole – Hedman
14:4867% CF
D2Sergachev – Perbix
14:2440% CF
D3Bogosian – Fleury
13:3724% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point – Hagel
1:1250% CF
PP2Perry – Killorn – Paul – Sergachev – Colton
1:00100% CF
PK1FPaul – Bellemare
0:22
PK2FStamkos – Cirelli
0:20
PK1DCole – Hedman
0:22

Current TBL line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rakell – Guentzel
14:3338% CF
L2Malkin – Zucker – Rust
12:3771% CF
L3Carter – McGinn – Heinen
10:1231% CF
L4Archibald – Blueger – O'Connor
7:4160% CF
D1Petry – Pettersson
16:0366% CF
D2Letang – Dumoulin
15:4846% CF
D3Joseph – Rutta
14:1543% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Rakell – Guentzel
0:45100% CF
PK1FRust – Blueger
1:47
PK2FCarter – McGinn
0:28
PK1DPetry – Dumoulin
2:05
PK2DPettersson – Rutta
1:06

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:20
PITDrew O'Connor (Marcus Pettersson, Jeff Petry)tip-in0.09 xG
TBL: Cole, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, HagelPIT: Petry, Archibald, Blueger, Pettersson, O'Connor
TBL 0 – 1 PIT
16:06
TBLAnthony Cirelli (Zach Bogosian)slap0.12 xG
TBL: Killorn, Stamkos, Bogosian, Cirelli, SergachevPIT: Carter, Petry, McGinn, Pettersson, Heinen
TBL 1 – 1 PIT
18:05
TBLNikita Kucherov (Brayden Point, Ian Cole)backhand0.20 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Point, SergachevPIT: Crosby, Petry, Guentzel, Pettersson
TBL 2 – 1 PIT

2nd period

6:17
PITEvgeni Malkin (Josh Archibald, Brian Dumoulin)snap0.23 xG
TBL: Perry, Killorn, Paul, Sergachev, ColtonPIT: Malkin, Dumoulin, Archibald, McGinn, Pettersson
TBL 2 – 2 PIT
15:28
PITSidney CrosbyPP (Jake Guentzel, Kris Letang)snap0.20 xG
TBL: Cole, Hedman, Paul, BellemarePIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel
TBL 2 – 3 PIT
16:20
PITTeddy Blueger (Marcus Pettersson, Jeff Petry)other0.15 xG
TBL: Bogosian, Kucherov, Fleury, Point, HagelPIT: Petry, Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Heinen
TBL 2 – 4 PIT
17:50
PITJeff Carter (Kris Letang)wrist0.11 xG
TBL: Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, HagelPIT: Carter, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson
TBL 2 – 5 PIT
18:37
PITJason Zucker (Evgeni Malkin, Danton Heinen)backhand0.10 xG
TBL: Perry, Bogosian, Namestnikov, Bellemare, FleuryPIT: Malkin, Zucker, Heinen, Joseph, Rutta
TBL 2 – 6 PIT
19:55
PITBrian Dumoulin (Sidney Crosby)slap0.05 xG
TBL: Maroon, Paul, Sergachev, Colton, PerbixPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel
TBL 2 – 7 PIT

3rd period

7:57
TBLBrayden PointPP (Nikita Kucherov, Mikhail Sergachev)wrist0.13 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, SergachevPIT: Carter, McGinn, Pettersson, Rutta
TBL 3 – 7 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	-2	4	0.74	1	0	0	19:10	—	—	52	52
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	-2	3	0.34	4	0	0	18:52	—	—	41	42
Brandon Hagel L	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.12	1	2	0	18:21	—	—	42	46
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	1	0	0	16:32	—	—	58	41
Steven Stamkos C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	1	2	2	15:43	—	—	52	38
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	40	27
Nick Paul L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	2	0	0	15:10	—	—	60	58
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	-2	4	0.49	1	0	0	14:21	—	—	60	58
Patrick Maroon L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	0	2	12:55	—	—	62	62
Corey Perry R	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.14	0	0	0	12:47	—	—	35	26
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	1	0	11:49	—	—	42	31
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	0	1	0	10:35	—	—	33	34
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	0	1	0	22:32	—	—	65	77
Ian Cole D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.02	1	2	0	20:30	—	—	65	74
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.11	5	0	0	22:06	—	—	48	41
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	0	3	0	17:28	—	—	44	34
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	17:14	—	—	38	25
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	1	1	0	16:53	—	—	26	10

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Brian Elliott(start)	L	36	29	7	.806	3.20	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	1	1	2	0	1	0.21	2	0	0	17:45	—	—	39	41
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.31	1	0	0	17:29	—	—	40	46
Rickard Rakell R	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.26	4	4	2	16:48	—	—	39	50
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	1	1	2	+3	3	0.40	0	0	2	17:53	—	—	72	72
Bryan Rust R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.62	2	2	0	17:37	—	—	63	55
Jason Zucker L	L2	1	0	1	+1	6	0.53	3	0	0	15:37	—	—	69	66
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:38	—	—	43	58
Danton Heinen L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	13:43	—	—	42	57
Jeff Carter C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.11	2	2	0	12:46	—	—	37	43
Teddy Blueger C	L4	1	0	1	+2	3	0.18	2	0	0	12:00	—	—	64	48
Drew O'Connor L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.14	1	0	0	9:42	—	—	54	31
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	2	9:14	—	—	64	55
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	2	2	0	2	0.08	3	2	0	21:31	—	—	54	68
Marcus Pettersson D	D1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	3	2	0	19:22	—	—	69	85
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.05	3	0	0	21:38	—	—	46	47
Kris Letang D	D2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.05	0	2	0	20:42	—	—	46	43
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:26	—	—	48	47
Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	2	1	0	17:56	—	—	36	37

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	W	29	26	3	.897	2.99	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.