Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Nashville PredatorsJan 23, 2018

Final / OTTuesday, Jan 23, 2018· Bridgestone Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

4

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TBL	2	0	1	1	4		TBL	7	12	9	3	31
NSH	2	1	0	0	3		NSH	14	11	6	2	33

: TBL 54NSH 59
: TBL 2.65NSH 3.18
PP goals: TBL 0NSH 2
Hits: TBL 21NSH 21
Blocks: TBL 19NSH 17
PIM: TBL 6NSH 4
: TBL 40%NSH 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Nashville Predators 4–3 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 4–3 in overtime at NSH. Chris Kunitz (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:27 together.

Points
Chris Kunitz had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:40.Kunitz
Points
Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:29.Stamkos
Points
Vladislav Namestnikov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:00.Namestnikov
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:27 together.Subban Ekholm Smith Johansen Arvidsson
Usage
Slater Koekkoek (TBL) played 18:34, +7:33 up on his 11:01 season average over 34 games.Koekkoek
New line
New look for NSH: Hartnell–Turris–Smith skated 8:48 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hartnell Turris Smith
Usage
Chris Kunitz (TBL) played 15:40, +3:46 up on his 11:54 season average over 81 games.Kunitz
Usage
Mattias Ekholm (NSH) played 19:51, −3:46 down on his 23:37 season average over 80 games.Ekholm

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · NSH 59 · TBL 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 28% of the game, NSH 31%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NSH
	53	55
	2.37	2.41
	2.29	2.31
	16	7
	4	4
	25	12
	−0.061	+0.061
	28%	31%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Johnson – Kucherov – Point
15:2852% CF
L2Kunitz – Stamkos – Namestnikov
12:4555% CF
L3Killorn – Peca – Gourde
10:1844% CF
L4Callahan – Bournival – Paquette
8:0844% CF
D1Stralman – Dotchin
14:5452% CF
D2Girardi – Koekkoek
14:3145% CF
D3Coburn – Sustr
12:0048% CF

PP1Stralman – Stamkos – Kucherov – Namestnikov – Point
3:58100% CF
PK1FKunitz – Peca
1:17
PK2FKillorn – Johnson
0:30
PK1DCoburn – Stralman
1:17
PK2DGirardi – Koekkoek
0:29

Current TBL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Jarnkrok – Fiala
11:4560% CF
L2Johansen – Aberg – Arvidsson
10:2733% CF
L3Watson – Salomaki – Sissons
8:4867% CF
L4Hartnell – Turris – Smith
8:4844% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
16:5669% CF
D2Emelin – Subban
14:5750% CF
D3Ekholm – Irwin
12:5455% CF

PP1Subban – Ekholm – Smith – Johansen – Arvidsson
2:2780% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
1:19100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
1:32
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
1:09
PK1DJosi – Ellis
2:37
PK2DSubban – Ekholm
1:23

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:24
TBLChris Kunitzwrist0.10 xG
TBL: Kunitz, Coburn, Stamkos, Namestnikov, SustrNSH: Emelin, Subban, Johansen, Aberg, Arvidsson
TBL 1 – 0 NSH
7:28
NSHRyan EllisPP (Roman Josi, Colton Sissons)slap0.12 xG
TBL: Coburn, Girardi, Johnson, PecaNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Sissons, Fiala
TBL 1 – 1 NSH
9:11
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Pontus Aberg, Matt Irwin)wrist0.00 xG
TBL: Coburn, Johnson, Gourde, Sustr, PointNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Aberg, Arvidsson
TBL 1 – 2 NSH
10:48
TBLVladislav Namestnikov (Steven Stamkos, Chris Kunitz)wrist0.08 xG
TBL: Coburn, Stamkos, Namestnikov, Gourde, KoekkoekNSH: Subban, Ellis, Johansen, Salomaki, Arvidsson
TBL 2 – 2 NSH

2nd period

19:10
NSHP.K. SubbanPP (Mattias Ekholm, Ryan Johansen)slap0.09 xG
TBL: Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, DotchinNSH: Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson
TBL 2 – 3 NSH

3rd period

17:48
TBLSteven Stamkos (Slater Koekkoek, Chris Kunitz)slap0.14 xG
TBL: Kunitz, Girardi, Stamkos, Namestnikov, KoekkoekNSH: Josi, Ellis, Watson, Johansen, Sissons
TBL 3 – 3 NSH

OT period

1:45
TBLYanni Gourde (Vladislav Namestnikov)wrist0.09 xG
TBL: Girardi, Namestnikov, GourdeNSH: Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson
TBL 4 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.69	0	1	0	22:48	—	—	47	57
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	22:28	—	—	50	62
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	2	20:10	—	—	49	60
Steven Stamkos C	L2	1	1	2	+3	4	0.34	1	2	0	19:29	—	—	57	68
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	1	1	2	+4	3	0.35	2	0	0	18:00	—	—	57	72
Chris Kunitz L	L2	1	2	3	+2	3	0.20	1	2	0	15:40	—	—	57	74
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	0	0	13:09	—	—	42	19
Yanni Gourde C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.20	1	0	0	13:05	—	—	43	26
Matthew Peca C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:03	—	—	44	25
Ryan Callahan R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	1	0	9:35	—	—	47	36
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	2	9:11	—	—	47	27
Michael Bournival L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	1	0	9:05	—	—	44	26
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	2	0	26:41	—	—	44	42
Jake Dotchin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	17:03	—	—	50	49
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.20	1	3	2	19:22	—	—	54	74
Slater Koekkoek D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:34	—	—	46	61
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	19:17	—	—	50	46
Andrej Sustr D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	14:49	—	—	50	34

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Louis Domingue(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	3.18	61:45

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.45	0	0	0	18:11	—	—	59	59
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	0	15:58	—	—	57	49
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	2	15:50	—	—	58	51
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	1	1	-3	2	0.48	2	0	0	17:40	—	—	35	31
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	1	0	1	-2	3	0.12	1	1	0	16:42	—	—	40	32
Pontus Aberg L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.20	0	1	0	12:20	—	—	41	46
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:16	—	—	58	54
Austin Watson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	3	0	13:39	—	—	55	48
Miikka Salomaki R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.35	2	0	2	13:09	—	—	59	61
Craig Smith C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	2	0	0	14:58	—	—	50	65
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.36	0	2	0	14:21	—	—	50	63
Scott Hartnell L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	0	0	10:26	—	—	52	60
Ryan Ellis D	D1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.14	0	3	0	23:33	—	—	56	46
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	0	6	0.34	0	1	0	23:01	—	—	68	67
P.K. Subban D	D2	1	0	1	-2	1	0.09	0	1	0	23:59	—	—	40	27
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	4	2	0	16:33	—	—	45	45
Mattias Ekholm D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:51	—	—	50	58
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	3	1	0	14:48	—	—	48	66

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	O	31	27	4	.871	2.65	61:45

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.