Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Nashville PredatorsNov 19, 2018

FinalMonday, Nov 19, 2018· Bridgestone Arena

away

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

2

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TBL	1	0	1	2		TBL	8	9	14	31
NSH	1	2	0	3		NSH	16	13	5	34

: TBL 50NSH 63
: TBL 2.77NSH 3.49
PP goals: TBL 0NSH 1
Hits: TBL 16NSH 11
Blocks: TBL 16NSH 8
PIM: TBL 6NSH 4
: TBL 26%NSH 74%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2

Nashville Predators beat Tampa Bay Lightning 3–2 at home. Ryan Johansen (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Erik Cernak (TBL) played 10:22, −9:02 down on his 19:24 season average over 57 games.

Points
Ryan Johansen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:54.Johansen
Points
Brayden Point had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:03.Point
Points
Mattias Ekholm had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:00.Ekholm
Usage
Erik Cernak (TBL) played 10:22, −9:02 down on his 19:24 season average over 57 games.Cernak
Usage
Kevin Fiala (NSH) played 7:09, −8:36 down on his 15:45 season average over 82 games.Fiala
New line
New look for NSH: Salomaki–Gaudreau–Fiala skated 5:42 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (62.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Salomaki Gaudreau Fiala
Usage
Slater Koekkoek (TBL) played 9:37, −6:25 down on his 16:02 season average over 30 games.Koekkoek
Usage
Tyler Johnson (TBL) played 22:03, +6:11 up on his 15:52 season average over 79 games.Johnson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TBL attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TBL
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · NSH 63 · TBL 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TBL
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TBL pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TBL 31% of the game, NSH 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TBL

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TBL	NSH
	50	65
	2.80	3.25
	2.78	3.21
	8	8
	5	10
	16	23
	−0.207	+0.207
	31%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
11:0527% CF
L2Johnson – Gourde – Point
7:3046% CF
L3Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
5:2820% CF
D1Girardi – Hedman
9:0225% CF
D2Coburn – Sergachev
6:0163% CF
D3McDonagh – Cernak
5:3843% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
2:02
PP2Killorn – Johnson – Gourde – Erne – Sergachev
1:33
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
1:15
PK2FCallahan – Gourde
0:36
PK1DGirardi – McDonagh
1:18
PK2DCoburn – Hedman
0:33

Current TBL line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Smith – Johansen – Forsberg
13:3044% CF
L2Bonino – Watson – Sissons
11:2372% CF
L3Turris – Jarnkrok – Hartman
9:5665% CF
L4Salomaki – Gaudreau – Fiala
5:4263% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
19:0350% CF
D2Hamhuis – Ekholm
16:0066% CF
D3Weber – Bitetto
9:1371% CF

PP1Turris – Josi – Ellis – Jarnkrok – Sissons
2:090% CF
PP2Bonino – Josi – Ellis – Johansen – Forsberg
1:28100% CF
PK1FWatson – Sissons
1:35
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
1:20
PK1DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:31
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:21

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:10
TBLVictor Hedman (Brayden Point, Erik Cernak)slap0.02 xG
TBL: Johnson, Hedman, Gourde, Point, CernakNSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons
TBL 1 – 0 NSH
15:19
NSHKyle TurrisPP (Calle Jarnkrok, Mattias Ekholm)slap0.07 xG
TBL: Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, CirelliNSH: Turris, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Sissons, Fiala
TBL 1 – 1 NSH

2nd period

6:43
NSHFilip Forsberg (Mattias Ekholm, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.02 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, CernakNSH: Hamhuis, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg
TBL 1 – 2 NSH
10:16
NSHRyan Johansen (Craig Smith, Roman Josi)tip-in0.07 xG
TBL: Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller, SergachevNSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg
TBL 1 – 3 NSH

3rd period

3:25
TBLNikita Kucherov (Brayden Point, Ryan McDonagh)backhand0.09 xG
TBL: McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Koekkoek, PointNSH: Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg
TBL 2 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.22	0	0	0	21:44	—	—	42	51
J.T. Miller C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	1.13	0	1	0	18:35	—	—	38	54
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	0	0	0	18:10	—	—	39	29
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.16	0	0	0	22:03	—	—	39	35
Brayden Point C	L2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.19	1	0	0	20:03	—	—	52	73
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	0	0	17:01	—	—	57	53
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	3	1	0	15:45	—	—	52	40
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:53	—	—	45	42
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	12:00	—	—	43	30
Victor Hedman D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.18	0	2	2	23:28	—	—	44	34
Dan Girardi D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	17:54	—	—	30	18
Mikhail Sergachev D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	1	1	0	18:11	—	—	50	44
Braydon Coburn D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	1	0	14:25	—	—	61	56
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	1	4	2	21:33	—	—	47	58
Erik Cernak D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:22	—	—	42	90
Ryan Callahan R	—	0	0	0	0	5	0.19	1	0	0	12:03	—	—	35	34
Slater Koekkoek D	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	1	0	9:37	—	—	36	36
Adam Erne L	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	1	0	9:28	—	—	35	37

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Louis Domingue(start)	L	34	31	3	.912	3.49	58:48

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	19:14	—	—	42	40
Ryan Johansen C	L1	1	1	2	+1	1	0.07	2	0	0	18:54	—	—	43	39
Craig Smith C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	1	0	0	16:22	—	—	43	34
Nick Bonino C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.49	0	0	0	19:02	—	—	68	80
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.26	0	0	0	18:09	—	—	70	75
Austin Watson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.75	3	0	0	17:11	—	—	70	80
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	62	62
Kyle Turris C	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.34	0	0	0	15:34	—	—	56	47
Ryan Hartman R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	1	0	12:57	—	—	59	56
Miikka Salomaki R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	0	0	0	7:26	—	—	57	41
Kevin Fiala L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	7:09	—	—	56	35
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:05	—	—	63	45
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.19	0	2	2	26:53	—	—	50	35
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	2	0	26:29	—	—	49	38
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	2	2	0	2	0.11	1	1	0	22:00	—	—	63	78
Dan Hamhuis D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	2	0	19:14	—	—	63	81
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	12:16	—	—	65	55
Anthony Bitetto D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	2	12:03	—	—	55	48

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	31	29	2	.935	2.77	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.